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  1. Home
  2. Série B
  3. Botafogo SP vs Ceara

Botafogo SP vs Ceara

Result • Série B·Botafogo SP·Ceara

Série B
Série B
Oct 13, 2026
00:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.15
X3.10
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Santa Cruz
low Confidence
Ceara

Ceara

Away
Odds
12.15
X3.10
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Santa Cruz
Win Probabilities
35%
Botafogo SP
33%
Draw
32%
Ceara
Home2.1535%
Draw3.1033%
Away3.3032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Ceará's superior form and head-to-head dominance make them narrow favourites to avoid defeat, though Botafogo SP's home advantage keeps the contest finely balanced. The main risk is Botafogo SP's ability to grind out a narrow win if they can capitalize on set-pieces or moments of individual brilliance.

Our AI model analyzes this Série B fixture between Botafogo SP and Ceara using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Botafogo SP a 35% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Ceara a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 49%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 49%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Morelli
    44'
    Yellow Card: MorelliBotafogo SP
  2. Substitution: Marco Antonio de Freitas BatistussiOut: Matheus Sales
    59'
    Substitution: Marco Antonio de Freitas BatistussiBotafogo SP · Out: Matheus Sales
  3. 66'
    Yellow Card: Luiz OtávioCeara
    Yellow Card: Luiz Otávio
  4. 72'
    Substitution: Rian SantanaCeara · Out: Enzo Lodovico
    Substitution: Rian SantanaOut: Enzo Lodovico
  5. 72'
    Substitution: Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliCeara · Out: Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
    Substitution: Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliOut: Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
  6. Substitution: Pedro HenriqueOut: Gabriel de Souza Inocencio
    73'
    Substitution: Pedro HenriqueBotafogo SP · Out: Gabriel de Souza Inocencio
  7. Substitution: José Hugo Sousa dos SantosOut: Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos
    73'
    Substitution: José Hugo Sousa dos SantosBotafogo SP · Out: Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos
  8. Goal: Hygor
    74'
    Goal: HygorBotafogo SP
  9. 78'
    Substitution: Renzo LópezCeara · Out: Matheus Araujo
    Substitution: Renzo LópezOut: Matheus Araujo
  10. 83'
    Substitution: Rafael RamosCeara · Out: Julio Cesar
    Substitution: Rafael RamosOut: Julio Cesar
  11. 83'
    Substitution: Lucas MugniCeara · Out: Vinicius Zanocelo
    Substitution: Lucas MugniOut: Vinicius Zanocelo
  12. Substitution: Arthur CaíkeOut: Hygor
    83'
    Substitution: Arthur CaíkeBotafogo SP · Out: Hygor
  13. Substitution: Hebert Willian Badaro OliveiraOut: Rafael Gava
    84'
    Substitution: Hebert Willian Badaro OliveiraBotafogo SP · Out: Rafael Gava
  14. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: João Gabriel Santos BatistaCeara
    Yellow Card: João Gabriel Santos Batista
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Marco Antônio vs Richardson: Botafogo SP's creative midfielder will look to find pockets of space, but Richardson's defensive screening will be crucial in limiting his influence.
2Arthur Caíke vs Luiz Otávio: The Botafogo SP striker's movement and finishing will be tested against Ceará's experienced center-back, who will aim to dominate aerially and on the ground.
3N. Ferreira vs Felipe Vieira: Ceará's striker will look to exploit any gaps in Botafogo SP's back three, with Felipe Vieira tasked with keeping him quiet.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Botafogo SP

  • Home advantage with a supportive crowd
  • Recent win provides a confidence boost
  • Inconsistent form (LWWLW in last five)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (1.2 goals conceded per game)

Ceara

  • Unbeaten in last five matches (WWDWD)
  • Solid defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game, two clean sheets)
  • Slightly lower win rate (34%) compared to league average
  • Away form can be inconsistent

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
39%
Ceara233939

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Série B encounter between Botafogo SP and Ceará shapes up as a tight, evenly-matched contest, with the market giving Botafogo SP a narrow edge largely due to home advantage. However, Ceará arrive in far better form and will be confident of taking something from the Estadio Santa Cruz.

Form Analysis: Ceará are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWD), showing defensive solidity with two clean sheets and an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Botafogo SP have been inconsistent (LWWLW), winning their most recent outing but conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game and keeping only one clean sheet in five. The API-Football comparison reinforces this, favouring Ceará in form, attack, defense and overall metrics.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily towards Ceará, who have won three of the last five meetings. Botafogo SP's home record is modest (6W-3D-7L), offering only a slight home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be minor, with overcast skies and light rain, which could favour a physical approach. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: While the market marginally favours Botafogo SP due to home advantage, Ceará's superior form and head-to-head dominance suggest they are well-placed to avoid defeat. The most likely outcome is a closely-fought draw or a narrow Ceará win, with both teams likely to score in a low-to-moderate scoring affair.

Statistical ContextCeara

Double chance : draw or Ceara

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Botafogo SPCeara
39%Strength60%
46%Attacking Potential54%
40%Defensive Potential60%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
28%Goals H2H72%
39%Wins the Game60%

More information

Brazil Série B predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3610/10Head-to-headBotafogo SP – CearaInjuriesBotafogo SPInjuriesCearaLive scores

Statistical Context

Botafogo SP

WWWLW
  • WOct 24, 26A · Avai0-2
  • WOct 18, 26A · CRB0-1
  • WOct 7, 26A · Operario-PR1-2
  • LOct 3, 26H · Vila Nova0-1
  • WSep 29, 26H · Ponte Preta2-0

Ceara

LDWWD
  • LOct 27, 26H · Goias0-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · Juventude2-2
  • WOct 8, 26H · Criciuma1-0
  • WOct 3, 26A · Avai0-1
  • DSep 26, 26A · Operario-PR2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11São Bernardo35+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SP35+247WWWWL
13Cuiaba35+447LLLDW
14Athletic Club35044LDDLL
15Nautico Recife35-743LDLLD
16Ceara35-743LDLWW
17Avai35-1237LDWWL

Head to Head

1
Botafogo SP
1
Draws
3
Ceara
  • Jun 20, 26Ceara – Botafogo SP0-1
  • Nov 13, 24Botafogo SP – Ceara1-4
  • Jul 26, 24Ceara – Botafogo SP4-1
  • Nov 4, 23Botafogo SP – Ceara2-2
  • Jul 8, 23Ceara – Botafogo SP3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Botafogo SPCeara
Played3434
Goals Scored3837
Goals Conceded3842
Avg Scored1.11.1
Avg Conceded1.11.2
Clean Sheets87

Botafogo SP vs Ceara — Match Analysis

Ceará's superior form and head-to-head dominance make them narrow favourites to avoid defeat, though Botafogo SP's home advantage keeps the contest finely balanced. The main risk is Botafogo SP's ability to grind out a narrow win if they can capitalize on set-pieces or moments of individual brilliance.

This Série B encounter between Botafogo SP and Ceará shapes up as a tight, evenly-matched contest, with the market giving Botafogo SP a narrow edge largely due to home advantage. However, Ceará arrive in far better form and will be confident of taking something from the Estadio Santa Cruz.

Form Analysis: Ceará are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWD), showing defensive solidity with two clean sheets and an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Botafogo SP have been inconsistent (LWWLW), winning their most recent outing but conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game and keeping only one clean sheet in five. The API-Football comparison reinforces this, favouring Ceará in form, attack, defense and overall metrics.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily towards Ceará, who have won three of the last five meetings. Botafogo SP's home record is modest (6W-3D-7L), offering only a slight home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be minor, with overcast skies and light rain, which could favour a physical approach. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: While the market marginally favours Botafogo SP due to home advantage, Ceará's superior form and head-to-head dominance suggest they are well-placed to avoid defeat. The most likely outcome is a closely-fought draw or a narrow Ceará win, with both teams likely to score in a low-to-moderate scoring affair.

Win Probabilities: Botafogo SP: 35% · Draw: 33% · Ceara: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 42% · Under 2.5: 58% · BTTS: 49%

H2H: Botafogo SP wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Ceara wins: 3

Form (latest first): Botafogo SP: WWWLW · Ceara: LDWWD

  • Marco Antônio vs Richardson: Botafogo SP's creative midfielder will look to find pockets of space, but Richardson's defensive screening will be crucial in limiting his influence.
  • Arthur Caíke vs Luiz Otávio: The Botafogo SP striker's movement and finishing will be tested against Ceará's experienced center-back, who will aim to dominate aerially and on the ground.
  • N. Ferreira vs Felipe Vieira: Ceará's striker will look to exploit any gaps in Botafogo SP's back three, with Felipe Vieira tasked with keeping him quiet.

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Série B

Série B

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série BBrazil
Botafogo SP
Oct 3119:00
Sport Recife
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série BBrazil
Vila Nova
Oct 3120:30
Juventude
12.3842%
X2.9434%
24.1724%
Série BBrazil
Nautico Recife
Oct 3122:30
Avai
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
Série BBrazil
Londrina
Nov 119:00
America Mineiro
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
Série BBrazil
Cuiaba
Nov 121:30
São Bernardo
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
Série BBrazil
Novorizontino
Nov 121:30
Operario-PR
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série BBrazil
Fortaleza EC
Nov 219:00
Atletico Goianiense
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
Série BBrazil
Athletic Club
Nov 221:00
Ceara
12.2744%
X3.0333%
24.3523%
Série BBrazil
Goias
Nov 223:30
CRB
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Série BBrazil
Operario-PR
Nov 622:30
Sport Recife
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Série BBrazil
Botafogo SP
Nov 622:30
Londrina
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Série BBrazil
Vila Nova
Nov 623:30
Criciuma
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.5522%
23.5728%
Série BBrazil
Cuiaba
Nov 700:30
Juventude
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Série BBrazil
Avai
Nov 719:00
São Bernardo
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Série BBrazil
Novorizontino
Nov 719:10
Fortaleza EC
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%

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