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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse

Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse

Result • First League·Septemvri Sofia·Dunav Ruse

First League
First League
Oct 11, 2026
12:00
medium Confidence
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.15
X2.90
23.30
Stadium
Dragalevtsi Stadium,
medium Confidence
WINNER
Dunav Ruse

Dunav Ruse

Away
Odds
12.15
X2.90
23.30
Stadium
Dragalevtsi Stadium,
Win Probabilities
44%
Septemvri Sofia
29%
Draw
27%
Dunav Ruse
Home2.1544%
Draw2.9029%
Away3.3027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Septemvri Sofia are favoured at 44%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Septemvri Sofia a 44% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Dunav Ruse a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. Missed penalty: Frantzety HerardMissed penalty
    12'
    Missed penalty: Frantzety HerardSeptemvri Sofia · Missed penalty
  2. 15'
    Yellow Card: dimitar todorovDunav Ruse
    Yellow Card: dimitar todorov
  3. 20'
    Yellow Card: jose cabarcasDunav Ruse
    Yellow Card: jose cabarcas
  4. Goal: Frantzety HerardAssist: Andre Liberal
    25'
    Goal: Frantzety HerardSeptemvri Sofia · Assist: Andre Liberal
  5. Yellow Card: Sergeev petar gospodinov
    35'
    Yellow Card: Sergeev petar gospodinovSeptemvri Sofia
  6. Goal: Andre Liberal
    37'
    Goal: Andre LiberalSeptemvri Sofia
  7. Substitution: aleksandar dzhamovOut: Andre Liberal
    40'
    Substitution: aleksandar dzhamovSeptemvri Sofia · Out: Andre Liberal
  8. 41'
    Substitution: Bartosz ZelazowskiDunav Ruse · Out: George kitanov
    Substitution: Bartosz ZelazowskiOut: George kitanov
  9. 46'
    Substitution: Elie SouDunav Ruse · Out: Radoslav Apostolov
    Substitution: Elie SouOut: Radoslav Apostolov
  10. 46'
    Substitution: Mario dilchovskiDunav Ruse · Out: Kyriakos Antoniou
    Substitution: Mario dilchovskiOut: Kyriakos Antoniou
  11. Missed penalty: Pedro IgorMissed penalty
    56'
    Missed penalty: Pedro IgorSeptemvri Sofia · Missed penalty
  12. 63'
    Goal: Ilker BudinovDunav Ruse
    Goal: Ilker Budinov
  13. 65'
    Substitution: Vladan VidakovićDunav Ruse · Out: Njomgang William Fonkeu
    Substitution: Vladan VidakovićOut: Njomgang William Fonkeu
  14. 73'
    Goal: Andre AlvesDunav Ruse
    Goal: Andre Alves
  15. Substitution: Stoyan StoichkovOut: Pedro Igor
    80'
    Substitution: Stoyan StoichkovSeptemvri Sofia · Out: Pedro Igor
  16. Substitution: nicolas fontaineOut: Galin Ivanov
    80'
    Substitution: nicolas fontaineSeptemvri Sofia · Out: Galin Ivanov
  17. 84'
    Substitution: Bozhidar ChorbadzhiyskiDunav Ruse · Out: Ilker Budinov
    Substitution: Bozhidar ChorbadzhiyskiOut: Ilker Budinov
  18. 90'
    Goal: Alexander Valiño NavasalDunav Ruse
    Goal: Alexander Valiño Navasal
  19. Yellow Card: Yellow Card
    90+5'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardSeptemvri Sofia
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Septemvri SofiaInjuries · Dunav RuseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Septemvri Sofia

LL
  • LSep 19, 26H · Botev Plovdiv0-3
  • LSep 14, 26A · Ludogorets2-1

Dunav Ruse

WDLL
  • WOct 24, 26H · Spartak Varna2-0
  • DSep 19, 26H · Botev Vratsa2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · CSKA 19482-1
  • LSep 7, 26H · Slavia Sofia0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Slavia Sofia12012DLLDW
9Dunav Ruse12-611WWDLL
10Botev Vratsa12-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv Sofia12-79DDWLD
12Lokomotiv Plovdiv12-89DDDLW
13Septemvri Sofia11-118LLLLD
14Cherno More Varna11-116LDDLL

Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse — Match Analysis

Septemvri Sofia are favoured at 44%; our projected score is 2-1.

Septemvri Sofia host Dunav Ruse in the First League on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Septemvri Sofia the favourite at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Dunav Ruse at 28%.

Form and league position

Septemvri Sofia sit 10th of 14 with 8 points from 10 games (8 scored, 18 conceded). Dunav Ruse sit 14th of 14 with 5 points from 10 games (10 scored, 19 conceded), recent form L-L-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.3, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Septemvri Sofia at 2.20, the draw at 3.10 and Dunav Ruse at 3.30; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Septemvri Sofia to win (44%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Septemvri Sofia: 44% · Draw: 29% · Dunav Ruse: 27%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 57%

Form (latest first): Septemvri Sofia: LL · Dunav Ruse: WDLL

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Oct 2715:00
Septemvri Sofia
11.7956%
X4.1724%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Oct 2717:30
Levski Sofia
15.5618%
X4.1724%
21.7258%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA 1948
Oct 3015:00
Spartak Varna
11.4171%
X5.5618%
29.0911%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Oct 3017:30
Botev Plovdiv
13.1332%
X3.7027%
22.4441%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Oct 3112:00
Ludogorets
110.0010%
X5.2619%
21.4171%
First LeagueBulgaria
Dunav Ruse
Oct 3114:30
Levski Sofia
114.297%
X8.3312%
21.2381%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA Sofia
Oct 3117:30
Slavia Sofia
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Nov 215:00
Botev Vratsa
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Nov 217:30
Septemvri Sofia
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 615:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 617:15
Dunav Ruse
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 711:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 714:00
Cherno More Varna
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 716:30
CSKA 1948
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 812:00
Arda Kardzhali
13.3330%
X4.3523%
22.1347%

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