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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia

Result • First League·Ludogorets·Septemvri Sofia

First League
First League
Sep 14, 2026
17:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Ludogorets

Ludogorets

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.22
X5.00
211.00
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena
high Confidence
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia

Away
Odds
11.22
X5.00
211.00
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena
Win Probabilities
83%
Ludogorets
12%
Draw
5%
Septemvri Sofia
Home1.2283%
Draw5.0012%
Away11.005%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Ludogorets are favoured at 83%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Ludogorets and Septemvri Sofia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Ludogorets a 83% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Septemvri Sofia a 5% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 14'
    Substitution: Valentine OzornwaforSeptemvri Sofia · Out: Sebastian Wade
    Substitution: Valentine OzornwaforOut: Sebastian Wade
  2. VAR: VARSon
    19'
    VAR: VARLudogorets · Son
  3. Goal: Ivajlo Čočev
    21'
    Goal: Ivajlo ČočevLudogorets
  4. 50'
    Yellow Card: Kubrat OnasciSeptemvri Sofia
    Yellow Card: Kubrat Onasci
  5. Yellow Card: Son
    56'
    Yellow Card: SonLudogorets
  6. 58'
    Yellow Card: Bozidar Krasimirov PenchevSeptemvri Sofia
    Yellow Card: Bozidar Krasimirov Penchev
  7. Substitution: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do CarmoOut: Caio Vidal Rocha
    58'
    Substitution: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do CarmoLudogorets · Out: Caio Vidal Rocha
  8. Goal: Aguibou Camara
    59'
    Goal: Aguibou CamaraLudogorets
  9. 62'
    Yellow Card: Galin IvanovSeptemvri Sofia
    Yellow Card: Galin Ivanov
  10. Substitution: Filip KalocOut: Ivajlo Čočev
    68'
    Substitution: Filip KalocLudogorets · Out: Ivajlo Čočev
  11. Substitution: Joel AnderssonOut: Son
    68'
    Substitution: Joel AnderssonLudogorets · Out: Son
  12. Substitution: aleksandar marinovOut: Bernard Tekpetey
    68'
    Substitution: aleksandar marinovLudogorets · Out: Bernard Tekpetey
  13. 76'
    Substitution: Andre LiberalSeptemvri Sofia · Out: edney ribeiro
    Substitution: Andre LiberalOut: edney ribeiro
  14. 81'
    Goal: Frantzety HerardSeptemvri Sofia
    Goal: Frantzety Herard
  15. 87'
    Substitution: Stoyan StoichkovSeptemvri Sofia · Out: Yoan Baurenski
    Substitution: Stoyan StoichkovOut: Yoan Baurenski
  16. Substitution: Edvin KurtulusOut: aleksandar marinov
    88'
    Substitution: Edvin KurtulusLudogorets · Out: aleksandar marinov
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · LudogoretsInjuries · Septemvri SofiaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Ludogorets

LWWDL
  • LOct 26, 26A · CSKA Sofia2-0
  • WOct 12, 26H · Arda Kardzhali5-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Lokomotiv Sofia1-2
  • DJul 30, 26H · Hapoel Tel Aviv2-2
  • LFeb 26, 26A · Ferencvarosi TC2-0

Septemvri Sofia

LLL
  • LOct 27, 26A · Cherno More Varna2-0
  • LOct 11, 26H · Dunav Ruse2-3
  • LSep 19, 26H · Botev Plovdiv0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Levski Sofia10+1928WDWWW
3Ludogorets11+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 194812+1225WLWWL
13Cherno More Varna12-99WLDDL
14Septemvri Sofia12-138LLLLL

Season Statistics — 2025

LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
Played11—
Goals Scored19—
Goals Conceded19—
Avg Scored1.7—
Avg Conceded1.7—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia — Match Analysis

Ludogorets are favoured at 83%; our projected score is 1-0.

Ludogorets host Septemvri Sofia in the First League on Monday, 14 September 2026. Our model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 83%, with the draw at 12% and Septemvri Sofia at 5%.

Form and league position

Ludogorets sit 3rd of 14 with 20 points from 8 games (14 scored, 6 conceded), recent form W-W-L-D-W. Septemvri Sofia sit 10th of 14 with 8 points from 8 games (7 scored, 13 conceded), recent form L-D-W-W-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–0.9, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Ludogorets at 1.23, the draw at 5.80 and Septemvri Sofia at 11.30; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Ludogorets to win (83%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Ludogorets: 83% · Draw: 12% · Septemvri Sofia: 5%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Ludogorets: LWWDL · Septemvri Sofia: LLL

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA 1948
Oct 3015:00
Spartak Varna
11.4171%
X5.5618%
29.0911%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Oct 3017:30
Botev Plovdiv
13.1332%
X3.7027%
22.4441%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Oct 3112:00
Ludogorets
110.0010%
X5.2619%
21.4171%
First LeagueBulgaria
Dunav Ruse
Oct 3114:30
Levski Sofia
114.297%
X8.3312%
21.2381%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA Sofia
Oct 3117:30
Slavia Sofia
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Nov 215:00
Botev Vratsa
12.1746%
X3.7027%
23.7027%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Nov 217:30
Septemvri Sofia
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 615:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 617:15
Dunav Ruse
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 711:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 714:00
Cherno More Varna
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 716:30
CSKA 1948
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 812:00
Arda Kardzhali
13.3330%
X4.3523%
22.1347%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 815:00
CSKA Sofia
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 2016:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%

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