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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Primera B
  3. Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica

Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica

Result • Primera B·Antofagasta·San Marcos de Arica

Primera B
Primera B
Oct 11, 2026
15:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Antofagasta

Antofagasta

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.78
X3.38
24.01
Stadium
Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
medium Confidence
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

Away
Odds
11.78
X3.38
24.01
Stadium
Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
Win Probabilities
51%
Antofagasta
25%
Draw
24%
San Marcos de Arica
Home1.7851%
Draw3.3825%
Away4.0124%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Antofagasta are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera B fixture between Antofagasta and San Marcos de Arica using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Antofagasta a 51% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and San Marcos de Arica a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 51%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 51%

Match Events

  1. Goal: B. Hurtado
    22'
    Goal: B. HurtadoAntofagasta
  2. 30'
    Yellow Card: A. GalleguillosSan Marcos de Arica
    Yellow Card: A. Galleguillos
  3. Yellow Card: D. Rojas
    41'
    Yellow Card: D. RojasAntofagasta
  4. 42'
    Yellow Card: G. CubillosSan Marcos de Arica
    Yellow Card: G. Cubillos
  5. Goal: J. Monreal
    45+1'
    Goal: J. MonrealAntofagasta
  6. Yellow Card: D. Rojas
    54'
    Yellow Card: D. RojasAntofagasta
  7. Red Card: D. Rojas
    54'
    Red Card: D. RojasAntofagasta
  8. 57'
    Substitution: A. CazulaSan Marcos de Arica · Out: M. Iturra
    Substitution: A. CazulaOut: M. Iturra
  9. Substitution: V. ArosOut: S. Hinojosa
    61'
    Substitution: V. ArosAntofagasta · Out: S. Hinojosa
  10. Substitution: F. ManzanoOut: A. Cuadra
    61'
    Substitution: F. ManzanoAntofagasta · Out: A. Cuadra
  11. 70'
    Substitution: N. ZedanSan Marcos de Arica · Out: G. Cubillos
    Substitution: N. ZedanOut: G. Cubillos
  12. 70'
    Substitution: D. PereiraSan Marcos de Arica · Out: A. Galleguillos
    Substitution: D. PereiraOut: A. Galleguillos
  13. Substitution: J. D. BandezOut: J. Monreal
    72'
    Substitution: J. D. BandezAntofagasta · Out: J. Monreal
  14. 79'
    Substitution: N. DonadellSan Marcos de Arica · Out: C. Rencoret
    Substitution: N. DonadellOut: C. Rencoret
  15. 79'
    Substitution: A. AbalosSan Marcos de Arica · Out: G. Reyes
    Substitution: A. AbalosOut: G. Reyes
  16. Goal: B. Hurtado
    86'
    Goal: B. HurtadoAntofagasta
  17. Substitution: C. DiazOut: B. Hurtado
    88'
    Substitution: C. DiazAntofagasta · Out: B. Hurtado
  18. 88'
    Yellow Card: A. BarbozaSan Marcos de Arica
    Yellow Card: A. Barboza
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAntofagasta – San Marcos de AricaInjuriesAntofagastaInjuriesSan Marcos de AricaLive scores

Statistical Context

Antofagasta

WDWLD
  • WOct 25, 26H · Curico Unido4-0
  • DOct 18, 26A · Deportes Santa Cruz0-0
  • WOct 4, 26H · Rangers de Talca2-0
  • LSep 15, 26A · San Luis2-1
  • DSep 10, 26H · Cobreloa0-0

San Marcos de Arica

WDWWL
  • WOct 25, 26A · Deportes Temuco1-2
  • DOct 18, 26H · D. Puerto Montt0-0
  • WOct 3, 26A · Deportes Santa Cruz1-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Curico Unido3-0
  • LSep 9, 26A · Recoleta2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Santiago Wanderers29+1650WWLLL
4Antofagasta29+2548WDWWL
5Magallanes29+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de Arica29+743WDLWW
7Recoleta29-242DLLWD

Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica — Match Analysis

Antofagasta are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 1-0.

Antofagasta host San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 49%, with the draw at 25% and San Marcos de Arica at 26%.

Form and league position

Antofagasta sit 5th of 16 with 41 points from 26 games (44 scored, 26 conceded), recent form L-D-L-W. San Marcos de Arica sit 7th of 16 with 39 points from 26 games (33 scored, 24 conceded), recent form W-L-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.1, about 2.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 51%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Antofagasta at 1.95, the draw at 3.45 and San Marcos de Arica at 3.70; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Antofagasta to win (49%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Antofagasta: 51% · Draw: 25% · San Marcos de Arica: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 44% · Under 2.5: 56% · BTTS: 51%

Form (latest first): Antofagasta: WDWLD · San Marcos de Arica: WDWWL

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