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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
TodayScoresLivePlay
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. D. La Serena vs Concepción

D. La Serena vs Concepción

Result • Primera División·D. La Serena·Concepción

Primera División
Primera División
Oct 24, 2026
15:30
low Confidence
WINNER
D. La Serena

D. La Serena

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.25
X3.10
22.88
Stadium
La Portada
low Confidence
Concepción

Concepción

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.10
22.88
Stadium
La Portada
Win Probabilities
41%
D. La Serena
27%
Draw
32%
Concepción
Home2.2541%
Draw3.1027%
Away2.8832%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

D. La Serena are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between D. La Serena and Concepción using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns D. La Serena a 41% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Concepción a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. 5'
    Yellow Card: Y. RodríguezConcepción
    Yellow Card: Y. Rodríguez
  2. Goal: Matías Marín
    14'
    Goal: Matías MarínD. La Serena
  3. Yellow Card: Francis Mac Allister
    20'
    Yellow Card: Francis Mac AllisterD. La Serena
  4. 21'
    Goal: Jorge HenríquezConcepción
    Goal: Jorge Henríquez
  5. Goal: Matías MarínAssist: Rafael Delgado
    37'
    Goal: Matías MarínD. La Serena · Assist: Rafael Delgado
  6. 39'
    Yellow Card: Ariel CáceresConcepción
    Yellow Card: Ariel Cáceres
  7. 41'
    Red Card: Y. RodríguezConcepción
    Red Card: Y. Rodríguez
  8. Yellow Card: Matías Marín
    42'
    Yellow Card: Matías MarínD. La Serena
  9. 45'
    Substitution: Misael DávilaConcepción · Out: Aldrix Jara
    Substitution: Misael DávilaOut: Aldrix Jara
  10. 45+2'
    Yellow Card: Fausto GrilloConcepción
    Yellow Card: Fausto Grillo
  11. Yellow Card: Diego Rubio
    57'
    Yellow Card: Diego RubioD. La Serena
  12. Substitution: Sebastián DíazOut: Francis Mac Allister
    65'
    Substitution: Sebastián DíazD. La Serena · Out: Francis Mac Allister
  13. 72'
    Substitution: Diego AcostaConcepción · Out: Jorge Henríquez
    Substitution: Diego AcostaOut: Jorge Henríquez
  14. 72'
    Substitution: Cristian RiquelmeConcepción · Out: Mario Sandoval
    Substitution: Cristian RiquelmeOut: Mario Sandoval
  15. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedLucas Alarcon
    81'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedD. La Serena · Lucas Alarcon
  16. Penalty: Jeisson Vargas (Penalty)
    84'
    Penalty: Jeisson Vargas (Penalty)D. La Serena
  17. Substitution: Matias PintoOut: Yahir Salazar
    86'
    Substitution: Matias PintoD. La Serena · Out: Yahir Salazar
  18. Substitution: Matías PérezOut: Diego Rubio
    86'
    Substitution: Matías PérezD. La Serena · Out: Diego Rubio
  19. 90+1'
    Substitution: Joaquín MontecinosConcepción · Out: Ethan Espinoza
    Substitution: Joaquín MontecinosOut: Ethan Espinoza
  20. 90+1'
    Substitution: Carlos EscobarConcepción · Out: Joaquín Larrivey
    Substitution: Carlos EscobarOut: Joaquín Larrivey
  21. Substitution: Ángelo HenríquezOut: Matías Marín
    90+2'
    Substitution: Ángelo HenríquezD. La Serena · Out: Matías Marín
  22. Substitution: Milovan Joseph Velásquez BlasetOut: G. Figueroa
    90+2'
    Substitution: Milovan Joseph Velásquez BlasetD. La Serena · Out: G. Figueroa
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headD. La Serena – ConcepciónInjuriesD. La SerenaInjuriesConcepciónLive scores

Statistical Context

D. La Serena

WDLLW
  • WNov 7, 26H · Palestino1-0
  • DNov 1, 26A · Huachipato0-0
  • LOct 11, 26A · Everton de Vina3-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Universidad de Chile0-3
  • WSep 6, 26H · Nublense2-1

Concepción

WWDDL
  • WNov 7, 26A · Everton de Vina0-2
  • WNov 2, 26H · Palestino1-0
  • DOct 11, 26H · Union La Calera1-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Colo Colo1-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · A. Italiano0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Palestino27+138LLDDL
8Concepción27038WWLDD
9D. La Serena27-237WDWLL
10Nublense27-1035LLWLL

D. La Serena vs Concepción — Match Analysis

D. La Serena are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

D. La Serena host Concepción in the Primera División on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Our model makes D. La Serena the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 26% and Concepción at 34%.

Form and league position

D. La Serena sit 11th of 16 with 30 points from 24 games (36 scored, 41 conceded), recent form W-L-L. Concepción sit 8th of 16 with 32 points from 24 games (26 scored, 27 conceded), recent form L-D-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.3, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price D. La Serena at 2.40, the draw at 3.30 and Concepción at 2.55; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

D. La Serena to win (40%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: D. La Serena: 41% · Draw: 27% · Concepción: 32%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 56%

Form (latest first): D. La Serena: WDLLW · Concepción: WWDDL

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Primera División

Primera División

Chile15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónChile
Colo Colo
Nov 2221:00
U. Catolica
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Primera DivisiónChile
Palestino
Nov 2221:00
Union La Calera
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Primera DivisiónChile
O'Higgins
Nov 2221:00
Universidad de Chile
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Primera DivisiónChile
Universidad de Concepcion
Nov 2221:00
Nublense
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Primera DivisiónChile
Huachipato
Nov 2221:00
Concepción
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Primera DivisiónChile
Coquimbo Unido
Nov 2221:00
Everton de Vina
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Primera DivisiónChile
Cobresal
Nov 2221:00
A. Italiano
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Primera DivisiónChile
Deportes Limache
Nov 2221:00
D. La Serena
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Primera DivisiónChile
Colo Colo
Nov 2921:00
D. La Serena
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Primera DivisiónChile
Everton de Vina
Nov 2921:00
O'Higgins
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
Primera DivisiónChile
Union La Calera
Nov 2921:00
Universidad de Concepcion
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Primera DivisiónChile
A. Italiano
Nov 2921:00
Palestino
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primera DivisiónChile
Coquimbo Unido
Nov 2921:00
Deportes Limache
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primera DivisiónChile
Nublense
Nov 2921:00
Cobresal
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primera DivisiónChile
U. Catolica
Nov 2921:00
Huachipato
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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