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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Concepción vs Union La Calera

Concepción vs Union La Calera

Result • Primera División·Concepción·Union La Calera

Primera División
Primera División
Oct 11, 2026
20:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Concepción

Concepción

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X3.10
23.50
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion
medium Confidence
DRAW
Union La Calera

Union La Calera

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.10
23.50
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion
Win Probabilities
50%
Concepción
26%
Draw
24%
Union La Calera
Home1.9550%
Draw3.1026%
Away3.5024%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Concepción are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Concepción and Union La Calera using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Concepción a 50% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Union La Calera a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Yellow Card: juan salomoniUnion La Calera
    Yellow Card: juan salomoni
  2. Yellow Card: Cristian Riquelme
    21'
    Yellow Card: Cristian RiquelmeConcepción
  3. Yellow Card: Mario Sandoval
    28'
    Yellow Card: Mario SandovalConcepción
  4. 28'
    Yellow Card: Daniel GutiérrezUnion La Calera
    Yellow Card: Daniel Gutiérrez
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Maximiliano FernándezUnion La Calera · Out: Martín Hiriart Espinoza
    Substitution: Maximiliano FernándezOut: Martín Hiriart Espinoza
  6. Goal: Ethan EspinozaAssist: Cristian Riquelme
    50'
    Goal: Ethan EspinozaConcepción · Assist: Cristian Riquelme
  7. Substitution: Diego AcostaOut: Jorge Henríquez
    66'
    Substitution: Diego AcostaConcepción · Out: Jorge Henríquez
  8. Substitution: Misael DávilaOut: Cristian Riquelme
    66'
    Substitution: Misael DávilaConcepción · Out: Cristian Riquelme
  9. 68'
    Substitution: Matías Campos LópezUnion La Calera · Out: Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
    Substitution: Matías Campos LópezOut: Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
  10. 68'
    Substitution: Bayron OyarzoUnion La Calera · Out: Joan Cruz
    Substitution: Bayron OyarzoOut: Joan Cruz
  11. 74'
    Yellow Card: Rodrigo Perez CasadaUnion La Calera
    Yellow Card: Rodrigo Perez Casada
  12. VAR: VAR · Penalty cancelledFausto Grillo
    79'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty cancelledConcepción · Fausto Grillo
  13. 80'
    Substitution: Joaquín SotoUnion La Calera · Out: Rodrigo Perez Casada
    Substitution: Joaquín SotoOut: Rodrigo Perez Casada
  14. Substitution: Fernando MartinezOut: Mario Sandoval
    84'
    Substitution: Fernando MartinezConcepción · Out: Mario Sandoval
  15. 89'
    Substitution: Yerko LeivaUnion La Calera · Out: Camilo Moya
    Substitution: Yerko LeivaOut: Camilo Moya
  16. Substitution: Matías CavalleriOut: Ethan Espinoza
    90+3'
    Substitution: Matías CavalleriConcepción · Out: Ethan Espinoza
  17. Substitution: Carlos EscobarOut: Joaquín Larrivey
    90+3'
    Substitution: Carlos EscobarConcepción · Out: Joaquín Larrivey
  18. 90+7'
    Goal: Christopher DíazUnion La Calera · Assist: Bayron Oyarzo
    Goal: Christopher DíazAssist: Bayron Oyarzo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headConcepción – Union La CaleraInjuriesConcepciónInjuriesUnion La CaleraLive scores

Statistical Context

Concepción

WLDL
  • WNov 2, 26H · Palestino1-0
  • LOct 24, 26A · D. La Serena3-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Colo Colo1-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · A. Italiano0-1

Union La Calera

LWWL
  • LOct 30, 26A · Coquimbo Unido1-0
  • WOct 25, 26H · U. Catolica3-1
  • WSep 14, 26H · Deportes Limache1-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · O'Higgins2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Coquimbo Unido25+335WLWLL
8Concepción26-235WLDDL
9Nublense26-935LWLLL
15Universidad de Concepcion26-2823LLDLL
16Union La Calera26-2021LWDWL

Concepción vs Union La Calera — Match Analysis

Concepción are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 1-0.

Concepción host Union La Calera in the Primera División on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Concepción the favourite at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Union La Calera at 24%.

Form and league position

Concepción sit 8th of 16 with 31 points from 23 games (25 scored, 26 conceded). Union La Calera sit 16th of 16 with 17 points from 23 games (19 scored, 40 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.1, about 2.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 50%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Concepción at 2.15, the draw at 3.25 and Union La Calera at 3.65; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Concepción to win (50%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Concepción: 50% · Draw: 26% · Union La Calera: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 44% · Under 2.5: 56% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Concepción: WLDL · Union La Calera: LWWL

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Primera División

Primera División

Chile15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónChile
Universidad de Concepcion
Nov 523:00
O'Higgins
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
Primera DivisiónChile
Universidad de Chile
Nov 821:00
Cobresal
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Primera DivisiónChile
Everton de Vina
Nov 821:00
Concepción
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Primera DivisiónChile
Union La Calera
Nov 821:00
Huachipato
12.2245%
X3.8526%
23.4529%
Primera DivisiónChile
A. Italiano
Nov 821:00
Coquimbo Unido
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Primera DivisiónChile
Nublense
Nov 821:00
Colo Colo
14.0025%
X4.0025%
22.0050%
Primera DivisiónChile
D. La Serena
Nov 821:00
Palestino
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Primera DivisiónChile
U. Catolica
Nov 821:00
Deportes Limache
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Primera DivisiónChile
Colo Colo
Nov 2221:00
U. Catolica
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Primera DivisiónChile
Palestino
Nov 2221:00
Union La Calera
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Primera DivisiónChile
O'Higgins
Nov 2221:00
Universidad de Chile
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Primera DivisiónChile
Universidad de Concepcion
Nov 2221:00
Nublense
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Primera DivisiónChile
Huachipato
Nov 2221:00
Concepción
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Primera DivisiónChile
Coquimbo Unido
Nov 2221:00
Everton de Vina
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Primera DivisiónChile
Cobresal
Nov 2221:00
A. Italiano
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%

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