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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas

Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas

Result • Primera A·Independiente Medellin·Águilas Doradas

Primera A
Primera A
May 3, 2026
20:30
high Confidence
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.40
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
high Confidence
WINNER
Águilas Doradas

Águilas Doradas

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Win Probabilities
62%
Independiente Medellin
27%
Draw
11%
Águilas Doradas
Home1.4062%
Draw4.5027%
Away8.0011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a fortress standing firm; Independiente Medellin's defense shall repel the Doradas' attack. A home victory is written in the stars.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera A fixture between Independiente Medellin and Águilas Doradas using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Independiente Medellin a 62% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Águilas Doradas a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. 20'
    Goal: J. RivaldoÁguilas Doradas · Assist: R. A. Benitez Hernandez
    Goal: J. RivaldoAssist: R. A. Benitez Hernandez
  2. 29'
    Substitution: F. A. Suarez ChalareÁguilas Doradas · Out: J. Rivaldo
    Substitution: F. A. Suarez ChalareOut: J. Rivaldo
  3. 31'
    Substitution: D. HernandezÁguilas Doradas · Out: H. Lopes
    Substitution: D. HernandezOut: H. Lopes
  4. 40'
    Yellow Card: I. ArboledaÁguilas Doradas
    Yellow Card: I. Arboleda
  5. Substitution: E. Mena PereaOut: F. Chaverra
    46'
    Substitution: E. Mena PereaIndependiente Medellin · Out: F. Chaverra
  6. Substitution: J. MontanoOut: H. Loboa
    46'
    Substitution: J. MontanoIndependiente Medellin · Out: H. Loboa
  7. Yellow Card: D. Londono
    52'
    Yellow Card: D. LondonoIndependiente Medellin
  8. Substitution: D. CatanoOut: D. Londono
    64'
    Substitution: D. CatanoIndependiente Medellin · Out: D. Londono
  9. 66'
    Substitution: J. PinedaÁguilas Doradas · Out: J. Mena
    Substitution: J. PinedaOut: J. Mena
  10. 66'
    Substitution: J. ObregonÁguilas Doradas · Out: R. A. Benitez Hernandez
    Substitution: J. ObregonOut: R. A. Benitez Hernandez
  11. 66'
    Substitution: J. RoaÁguilas Doradas · Out: A. Ricaurte
    Substitution: J. RoaOut: A. Ricaurte
  12. Yellow Card: F. Fabra
    67'
    Yellow Card: F. FabraIndependiente Medellin
  13. 67'
    Yellow Card: F. A. Suarez ChalareÁguilas Doradas
    Yellow Card: F. A. Suarez Chalare
  14. Yellow Card: Yony Gonzalez
    77'
    Yellow Card: Yony GonzalezIndependiente Medellin
  15. Substitution: D. MorenoOut: A. Serna
    78'
    Substitution: D. MorenoIndependiente Medellin · Out: A. Serna
  16. 78'
    Goal: N. Lara VasquezÁguilas Doradas
    Goal: N. Lara Vasquez
  17. Yellow Card: Yony Gonzalez
    80'
    Yellow Card: Yony GonzalezIndependiente Medellin
  18. Red Card: Yony Gonzalez
    80'
    Red Card: Yony GonzalezIndependiente Medellin
  19. Yellow Card: F. Fydriszewski
    88'
    Yellow Card: F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin
  20. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: D. HernandezÁguilas Doradas
    Yellow Card: D. Hernandez
  21. Goal: D. MorenoAssist: F. Fabra
    90+4'
    Goal: D. MorenoIndependiente Medellin · Assist: F. Fabra
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
2N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
3N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
Strengths · Weaknesses

Independiente Medellin

  • Solid defense with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home form
  • Occasional scoring droughts
  • Inconsistent attack

Águilas Doradas

  • Capable of scoring on the counter
  • Physical style suits weather
  • Poor recent form with 4 losses in 5
  • Weak defense conceding 1.8 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
45%
54%
Independiente Medellin533611

Moderate agreement on home win (54%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Independiente Medellin is the clear favorite to win, supported by strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: Independiente Medellin has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLD) with an excellent defense, keeping 4 clean sheets. Águilas Doradas has lost 4 of their last 5 (DLLWL) and failed to score in 2 of those games, conceding 1.8 goals per match on average.

Key Factors: 1) Home advantage for Independiente Medellin at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. 2) Águilas Doradas' poor form and defensive vulnerabilities. 3) Head-to-head record is balanced, but current form heavily favors the home side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Independiente Medellin, with a high probability of keeping a clean sheet.

Statistical ContextIndependiente Medellin

Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Independiente MedellinÁguilas Doradas
60%Strength39%
58%Attacking Potential42%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
60%Wins the Game39%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Independiente MedellinInjuries · Águilas DoradasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Independiente Medellin

DLWDL
  • DSep 30, 26H · Millonarios2-2
  • LSep 27, 26A · Junior2-0
  • WSep 22, 26H · Jaguares2-1
  • DSep 18, 26A · Bucaramanga2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Chico2-1

Águilas Doradas

LLDLD
  • LSep 28, 26A · Deportivo Cali2-0
  • LSep 24, 26A · America de Cali1-0
  • DSep 18, 26H · Deportivo Pereira2-2
  • LSep 13, 26A · Atletico Nacional2-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Internacional de Bogota2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Bucaramanga10+820WWDWD
6Independiente Medellin11+420DLWDL
7Santa Fe11+619WLWWD
8Deportes Tolima11+218DDLLW
9Llaneros11014LWLLL
10Once Caldas11-112LLWLL
11Internacional de Bogota12-412DLLWD
12Cucuta11-812WLLDL
13Águilas Doradas10-311LLDLD
14Chico10-811WLLWW

Head to Head

4
Independiente Medellin
3
Draws
3
Águilas Doradas
  • Oct 8, 25Águilas Doradas – Independiente Medellin2-1
  • Mar 30, 25Independiente Medellin – Águilas Doradas0-0
  • Sep 15, 24Águilas Doradas – Independiente Medellin1-1
  • Mar 3, 24Independiente Medellin – Águilas Doradas1-0
  • Aug 26, 23Águilas Doradas – Independiente Medellin1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Independiente MedellinÁguilas Doradas
Played2828
Goals Scored4332
Goals Conceded3538
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.31.4
Clean Sheets74

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Independiente MedellinÁguilas Doradas
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a fortress standing firm; Independiente Medellin's defense shall repel the Doradas' attack. A home victory is written in the stars.

Independiente Medellin is the clear favorite to win, supported by strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: Independiente Medellin has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLD) with an excellent defense, keeping 4 clean sheets. Águilas Doradas has lost 4 of their last 5 (DLLWL) and failed to score in 2 of those games, conceding 1.8 goals per match on average.

Key Factors: 1) Home advantage for Independiente Medellin at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. 2) Águilas Doradas' poor form and defensive vulnerabilities. 3) Head-to-head record is balanced, but current form heavily favors the home side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Independiente Medellin, with a high probability of keeping a clean sheet.

Win Probabilities: Independiente Medellin: 62% · Draw: 27% · Águilas Doradas: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: Independiente Medellin wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Águilas Doradas wins: 3

Form (latest first): Independiente Medellin: DLWDL · Águilas Doradas: LLDLD

  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Cali
Oct 300:45
Alianza Valledupar
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
Primera AColombia
Águilas Doradas
Oct 319:00
Jaguares
11.6959%
X3.7027%
27.1414%
Primera AColombia
Deportes Tolima
Oct 321:05
Chico
11.4171%
X4.7621%
212.508%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pasto
Oct 419:00
Fortaleza FC
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Oct 421:05
Deportivo Pereira
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
Primera AColombia
Bucaramanga
Oct 423:10
Junior
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Primera AColombia
Llaneros
Oct 501:15
America de Cali
14.7621%
X3.2331%
22.0848%
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Oct 600:00
Santa Fe
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 801:20
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
Primera AColombia
Alianza Valledupar
Oct 1000:30
Águilas Doradas
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
Primera AColombia
Once Caldas
Oct 1021:00
Llaneros
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1023:10
Internacional de Bogota
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 1101:15
Deportivo Pasto
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Oct 1119:00
Deportivo Cali
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Oct 1120:00
Millonarios
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

Betting Tips

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