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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe

Prediction • Primera A·Independiente Medellin·Santa Fe

Primera A
Primera A
Oct 4, 2026
01:15
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Early projection · Odds pending
Santa Fe

Santa Fe

Away
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Win Probabilities
71%
Independiente Medellin
15%
Draw
14%
Santa Fe
Home1.4171%
Draw6.6715%
Away7.1414%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Independiente Medellin are favored at 71% to win at home against Santa Fe. The draw is rated 15% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Independiente Medellin
/10
4.0Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
FormLatest first
WDLWW
Win Rate60%
Santa Fe
FormLatest first
LWLWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageIndependiente Medellin+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Jarlan Barrera
7.5

Jarlan Barrera

Independiente Medellin

VS
Hugo Rodallega
7.5

Hugo Rodallega

Santa Fe

24ATT34
100TEC100
55TAC48
23DEF13
19CRE30

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.1
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
0.8
Avg Conceded
0.8
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
6/10
2.6
Avg Cards
3.5
3.7
Avg Corners
4.2

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Independiente Medellin
Home

Independiente Medellin

Form
WWLDW
Latest first
4
Pos
5
Pts
+7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 27 matches)

Clean Sheets726%
Goal Diff+7
  • Strong recent form with two consecutive wins
  • Solid home record with 7 wins in 14 games
  • Effective attack averaging 1.8 goals per game

Key Players

F. Chaverra
F. Chaverra
7.0
Goals
3
Assists
2
Y. González
Y. González
6.3
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 9
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin
2Wins
4
Draws
Santa Fe
3Wins
Santa Fe
22%44%33%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Mar232026
Santa FeSanta Fe
2-1
Loss
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Oct212025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-1
Draw
Santa FeSanta Fe
Oct22025
Santa FeSanta Fe
0-3
Win
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Sep242025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-2
Loss
Santa FeSanta Fe
Jun292025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-2
Loss
Santa FeSanta Fe
Jun252025
Santa FeSanta Fe
0-0
Draw
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Apr152025
Santa FeSanta Fe
1-2
Win
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Oct192024
Santa FeSanta Fe
1-1
Draw
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Feb112024
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-1
Draw
Santa FeSanta Fe
Independiente Medellin4-4-2vs4-2-3-1Santa FePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Two strikers vs one holding midfielder. Physical battle expected.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primera A

League Statistics

Primera A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
America de Cali
America de Cali
11731226+1624
2
Millonarios
Millonarios
12552169+720
3
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
9612189+919
4
Independiente Medellin
Independiente MedellinHome
96121711+619
5
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
10532158+718
6
Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga
9450148+617
7
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
105231311+217
8
Santa Fe
Santa FeAway
104421611+516
9
Llaneros
Llaneros
104241312+114
10
Once Caldas
Once Caldas
103341312+112
11
Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas
92521213-111
12
Internacional de Bogota
Internacional de Bogota
112541317-411
13
Cucuta
Cucuta
10235918-99
14
Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC
101541116-58
15
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
10226915-68
16
Alianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar
10226920-118
17
Chico
Chico
9225718-118
18
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira
8143611-57
19
Jaguares
Jaguares
91441016-67
20
Junior
Junior
81341214-26
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Independiente Medellin

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

71%Independiente Medellin
15%Draw
14%Santa Fe

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 4 · 01:15
StadiumEstadio Atanasio Girardot
League StatsPrimera A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Independiente MedellinInjuries · Santa FeLive scores →

Statistical Context

Independiente Medellin

WDLWW
  • WSep 22, 26H · Jaguares2-1
  • DSep 18, 26A · Bucaramanga2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Chico2-1
  • WSep 4, 26A · Deportivo Pereira0-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Llaneros2-1

Santa Fe

LWLWD
  • LSep 23, 26H · Deportivo Cali0-1
  • WSep 19, 26A · Alianza Valledupar1-4
  • LSep 15, 26A · Vasco DA Gama2-0
  • WSep 12, 26H · Deportes Tolima1-0
  • DSep 8, 26H · Vasco DA Gama0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Atletico Nacional9+919DLWWW
4Independiente Medellin9+619WDLWW
5Deportivo Cali10+718WWWDD
6Bucaramanga9+617WDWDD
7Deportes Tolima10+217DLLWW
8Santa Fe10+516LWWDW
9Llaneros10+114WLLLL

Head to Head

2
Independiente Medellin
4
Draws
3
Santa Fe
  • Mar 23, 26Santa Fe – Independiente Medellin2-1
  • Oct 21, 25Independiente Medellin – Santa Fe1-1
  • Oct 2, 25Santa Fe – Independiente Medellin0-3
  • Sep 24, 25Independiente Medellin – Santa Fe1-2
  • Jun 29, 25Independiente Medellin – Santa Fe1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
Played2732
Goals Scored4151
Goals Conceded3434
Avg Scored1.51.6
Avg Conceded1.31.1
Clean Sheets77

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
Over 2.5 Goals5/104/10
Both Teams Scored5/104/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

Predicted line-ups: Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe

Predicted XI

Independiente Medellin

4-4-2Formation· Coach: H. Sierra

Santa Fe

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: P. Camps

  1. 12W. Asprilla
  1. 32C. Mafla
  2. 3V. Moreno
  3. 18E. Olivera
  4. 13H. Palacios
  1. 14L. Palacios
  2. 39C. Portocarrero
  1. 16D. Torres
  2. 6K. Toscano
  3. 42J. Zuniga
  1. 19N. Bustos
  1. 32C. Lucumi
  2. 9J. Medina
  1. 34K. Klinger
  2. 16H. Loboa
  3. 21A. Martegani
  4. 6D. Moreno
  1. 39L. Escorcia
  2. 4K. Mantilla
  3. 13J. Mena
  4. 26E. Mena
  1. 25E. Chaux

Bench

  • 1S. Ichazo
  • 30H. Palacios
  • 19A. Simarra
  • 5J. Varela
  • 31D. Moreno
  • 14B. Perlaza
  • 8J. Quintero

Bench

  • 31Juan Espitia
  • 4M. Puerta
  • 15I. Scarpeta
  • 9F. Fagúndez
  • 17M. Lovera
  • 25E. Rodríguez
  • 77J. Obrian

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Independiente Medellin are favored at 71% to win at home against Santa Fe. The draw is rated 15% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Primera A clash at Estadio Atanasio Girardot pits second-placed Independiente Medellin against ninth-placed Santa Fe. While the home side holds a superior league position and recent form, the head-to-head record and Santa Fe's unbeaten run suggest a tightly contested affair.…

Win Probabilities: Independiente Medellin: 71% · Draw: 15% · Santa Fe: 14%

H2H: Independiente Medellin wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Santa Fe wins: 3

Form (latest first): Independiente Medellin: WDLWW · Santa Fe: LWLWD

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 2621:00
Internacional de Bogota
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Sep 2623:15
Llaneros
12.6338%
X3.3330%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Junior
Sep 2701:20
Independiente Medellin
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Sep 2721:00
Alianza Valledupar
12.4441%
X2.8635%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Sep 2723:05
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Cali
Sep 2801:10
Águilas Doradas
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 2923:00
Santa Fe
14.5522%
X3.1332%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Sep 3001:05
Millonarios
13.4529%
X3.1332%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 101:00
Junior
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Internacional de Bogota
Oct 201:00
Once Caldas
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Cali
Oct 300:45
Alianza Valledupar
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Águilas Doradas
Oct 319:00
Jaguares
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportes Tolima
Oct 321:05
Chico
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pasto
Oct 419:00
Fortaleza FC
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Oct 421:05
Deportivo Pereira
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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