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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
TodayScoresLivePlay
  1. Home
  2. HNL
  3. Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split

Result • HNL·Istra 1961·HNK Hajduk Split

HNL
HNL
Oct 26, 2026
17:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Istra 1961

Istra 1961

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.00
X3.80
21.73
Stadium
Stadion Aldo Drosina
medium Confidence
DRAW
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split

Away
Odds
14.00
X3.80
21.73
Stadium
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Win Probabilities
19%
Istra 1961
29%
Draw
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
Home4.0019%
Draw3.8029%
Away1.7352%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

HNK Hajduk Split are clear favourites to win, backed by a four-match winning streak and superior head-to-head record. The main risk is Istra 1961's home advantage and their ability to raise their game against stronger opposition.

Our AI model analyzes this HNL fixture between Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Istra 1961 a 19% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and HNK Hajduk Split a 52% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 7'
    Goal: Khalil FayadHNK Hajduk Split · Assist: Dennis Hadzikadunić
    Goal: Khalil FayadAssist: Dennis Hadzikadunić
  2. 13'
    Yellow Card: Dennis HadzikadunićHNK Hajduk Split
    Yellow Card: Dennis Hadzikadunić
  3. Yellow Card: Demirel Hodzic
    30'
    Yellow Card: Demirel HodzicIstra 1961
  4. Yellow Card: Hamza Jaganjac
    39'
    Yellow Card: Hamza JaganjacIstra 1961
  5. 39'
    Yellow Card: Michele ŠegoHNK Hajduk Split
    Yellow Card: Michele Šego
  6. Yellow Card: Gustavo Albarracin
    51'
    Yellow Card: Gustavo AlbarracinIstra 1961
  7. 54'
    Goal: Michele ŠegoHNK Hajduk Split · Assist: Khalil Fayad
    Goal: Michele ŠegoAssist: Khalil Fayad
  8. Substitution: Dukan AhmetiOut: Isaac Aguiar Tomich
    60'
    Substitution: Dukan AhmetiIstra 1961 · Out: Isaac Aguiar Tomich
  9. Substitution: Matija KablarOut: Demirel Hodzic
    60'
    Substitution: Matija KablarIstra 1961 · Out: Demirel Hodzic
  10. Substitution: Nik Skafar ZuzicOut: Vinko Rozic
    60'
    Substitution: Nik Skafar ZuzicIstra 1961 · Out: Vinko Rozic
  11. Goal: Hamza JaganjacAssist: Emil Frederiksen
    66'
    Goal: Hamza JaganjacIstra 1961 · Assist: Emil Frederiksen
  12. 69'
    Substitution: Alec Van HoorenbeeckHNK Hajduk Split · Out: Dario Marešić
    Substitution: Alec Van HoorenbeeckOut: Dario Marešić
  13. Yellow Card: Matija Kablar
    70'
    Yellow Card: Matija KablarIstra 1961
  14. 76'
    Substitution: Carlos Martín DomínguezHNK Hajduk Split · Out: Abdoulie Sanyang
    Substitution: Carlos Martín DomínguezOut: Abdoulie Sanyang
  15. 76'
    Substitution: Roko GabricHNK Hajduk Split · Out: Mathieu Acapandie
    Substitution: Roko GabricOut: Mathieu Acapandie
  16. Penalty: Emil Frederiksen (Penalty)
    81'
    Penalty: Emil Frederiksen (Penalty)Istra 1961
  17. 83'
    Substitution: Leander DendonckerHNK Hajduk Split · Out: Dalisson De Almeida Leite
    Substitution: Leander DendonckerOut: Dalisson De Almeida Leite
  18. 83'
    Substitution: Adam HuramHNK Hajduk Split · Out: Marin Šotiček
    Substitution: Adam HuramOut: Marin Šotiček
  19. Substitution: Mutari MomohOut: Gustavo Albarracin
    89'
    Substitution: Mutari MomohIstra 1961 · Out: Gustavo Albarracin
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Istra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 3.5 – 5.6Real 4 – 4HNK Hajduk Split more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 9.1Real 8chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.6Real 6Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-1chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 3.8 – 5.2Real 4 – 6HNK Hajduk Split more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 10.5 – 13.5Real 12 – 14chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Kolić vs D. Fesyuk: The goalkeepers' performances could be crucial in a match where chances may be limited.
2M. Momoh vs M. Acapandié: The battle between Istra's forward and Hajduk's defender could determine the outcome.
3R. Hrvatin vs Carlos Martín: The midfield duel will be key in controlling the tempo of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Istra 1961

  • Solid home record with 2 wins in 5
  • Ability to score goals (2.2 average)
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

HNK Hajduk Split

  • On a 4-match winning streak
  • Strong attacking record (19 goals in last 5)
  • Occasional defensive lapses (conceded 9 in last 5)
  • Can be vulnerable to counter-attacks

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
HNK Hajduk Split153749

Moderate agreement on away win (49%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

HNK Hajduk Split are the clear favourites to win this HNL encounter at Stadion Aldo Drosina, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Hajduk arrive on a four-match winning streak, having scored 19 goals and conceded just 9 in their last five outings. Istra 1961 have been inconsistent, with two losses and a win in their last five, and they have failed to score in two of those games. The form guide strongly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Hajduk's attacking and defensive metrics are superior, and their head-to-head record shows a clear edge. Istra's home advantage is modest, and they have struggled for goals. The weather is neutral, so no impact is expected.

Conclusion: The data points to a comfortable away win for Hajduk Split, with a likely scoreline of 1-2.

Statistical ContextHNK Hajduk Split

Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
37%Strength62%
43%Attacking Potential57%
40%Defensive Potential60%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
35%Goals H2H65%
37%Wins the Game62%

More information

HNL predicted line-ups: Gameweek 145/5Head-to-headIstra 1961 – HNK Hajduk SplitInjuriesIstra 1961InjuriesHNK Hajduk SplitLive scores

Statistical Context

Istra 1961

WWLWL
  • WNov 7, 26H · HNK Rijeka3-1
  • WOct 30, 26A · NK Slaven Belupo0-2
  • LOct 17, 26A · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · NK Osijek1-3
  • LSep 19, 26H · HNK Gorica0-1

HNK Hajduk Split

WLWWW
  • WNov 8, 26A · NK Osijek0-1
  • LNov 5, 26A · Lincoln Red Imps FC1-0
  • WOct 31, 26H · HNK Gorica5-0
  • WOct 22, 26A · FC Thun0-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · NK Varazdin1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk Split13+1629WWDWW
2Dinamo Zagreb12+1325WLWWL
3NK Osijek13+420LWLDL
4Istra 196113+519WWDLW
5NK Varazdin13+319LDLLW

Head to Head

2
Istra 1961
5
Draws
3
HNK Hajduk Split
  • Aug 9, 26HNK Hajduk Split – Istra 19612-2
  • Apr 7, 26Istra 1961 – HNK Hajduk Split1-3
  • Jan 25, 26HNK Hajduk Split – Istra 19611-2
  • Oct 19, 25Istra 1961 – HNK Hajduk Split0-3
  • Aug 3, 25HNK Hajduk Split – Istra 19612-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Played127
Goals Scored2117
Goals Conceded188
Avg Scored1.82.4
Avg Conceded1.51.1
Clean Sheets32

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split — Match Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split are clear favourites to win, backed by a four-match winning streak and superior head-to-head record. The main risk is Istra 1961's home advantage and their ability to raise their game against stronger opposition.

HNK Hajduk Split are the clear favourites to win this HNL encounter at Stadion Aldo Drosina, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Hajduk arrive on a four-match winning streak, having scored 19 goals and conceded just 9 in their last five outings. Istra 1961 have been inconsistent, with two losses and a win in their last five, and they have failed to score in two of those games. The form guide strongly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Hajduk's attacking and defensive metrics are superior, and their head-to-head record shows a clear edge. Istra's home advantage is modest, and they have struggled for goals. The weather is neutral, so no impact is expected.

Conclusion: The data points to a comfortable away win for Hajduk Split, with a likely scoreline of 1-2.

Win Probabilities: Istra 1961: 19% · Draw: 29% · HNK Hajduk Split: 52%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Istra 1961 wins: 2 · Draws: 5 · HNK Hajduk Split wins: 3

Form (latest first): Istra 1961: WWLWL · HNK Hajduk Split: WLWWW

  • F. Kolić vs D. Fesyuk: The goalkeepers' performances could be crucial in a match where chances may be limited.
  • M. Momoh vs M. Acapandié: The battle between Istra's forward and Hajduk's defender could determine the outcome.
  • R. Hrvatin vs Carlos Martín: The midfield duel will be key in controlling the tempo of the game.

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HNL

HNL

Croatia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
HNLCroatia
HNK Rijeka
Nov 2116:00
HNK Gorica
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
HNLCroatia
HNK Hajduk Split
Nov 2116:00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
HNLCroatia
Dinamo Zagreb
Nov 2116:00
Istra 1961
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
HNLCroatia
NK Slaven Belupo
Nov 2116:00
NK Osijek
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
HNLCroatia
Rudes
Nov 2116:00
NK Varazdin
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
HNLCroatia
HNK Hajduk Split
Nov 2816:00
Rudes
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
HNLCroatia
NK Osijek
Nov 2816:00
HNK Rijeka
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
HNLCroatia
Istra 1961
Nov 2816:00
NK Varazdin
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
HNLCroatia
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Nov 2816:00
NK Slaven Belupo
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
HNLCroatia
HNK Gorica
Nov 2816:00
Dinamo Zagreb
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.6715%
21.3972%
HNLCroatia
HNK Rijeka
Dec 317:00
Dinamo Zagreb
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
HNLCroatia
HNK Rijeka
Dec 516:00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
HNLCroatia
Dinamo Zagreb
Dec 516:00
NK Osijek
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
HNLCroatia
NK Slaven Belupo
Dec 516:00
HNK Hajduk Split
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
HNLCroatia
Rudes
Dec 516:00
Istra 1961
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

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