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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

Result • EFL Cup·Blackburn·Sheffield Utd

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
Blackburn

Blackburn

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.68
X3.35
22.50
Stadium
Ewood Park
high Confidence
WINNER
Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd

Away
Odds
12.68
X3.35
22.50
Stadium
Ewood Park
Win Probabilities
28%
Blackburn
32%
Draw
40%
Sheffield Utd
Home2.6828%
Draw3.3532%
Away2.5040%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Sheffield United hold a narrow edge, backed by a formidable defensive record of five clean sheets in five and a dominant head-to-head history. However, Blackburn's unbeaten run and home advantage could make this a tight contest, with the visitors' scoring struggles the main risk to their chances.

Our AI model analyzes this EFL Cup fixture between Blackburn and Sheffield Utd using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Blackburn a 28% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Sheffield Utd a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: O. AfolayanOut: Y. Ohashi
    11'
    Substitution: O. AfolayanBlackburn · Out: Y. Ohashi
  2. 20'
    Goal: T. CannonSheffield Utd
    Goal: T. Cannon
  3. Substitution: K. MontgomeryOut: S. Morsy
    46'
    Substitution: K. MontgomeryBlackburn · Out: S. Morsy
  4. Substitution: H. PatesOut: H. Pickering
    46'
    Substitution: H. PatesBlackburn · Out: H. Pickering
  5. 46'
    Substitution: O. ArblasterSheffield Utd · Out: J. Rothwell
    Substitution: O. ArblasterOut: J. Rothwell
  6. Substitution: T. CantwellOut: D. De Neve
    46'
    Substitution: T. CantwellBlackburn · Out: D. De Neve
  7. Goal: O. AfolayanAssist: R. Morishita
    55'
    Goal: O. AfolayanBlackburn · Assist: R. Morishita
  8. 58'
    Substitution: K. PhillipsSheffield Utd · Out: J. Riedewald
    Substitution: K. PhillipsOut: J. Riedewald
  9. 59'
    Substitution: C. O'HareSheffield Utd · Out: L. Marsh
    Substitution: C. O'HareOut: L. Marsh
  10. 67'
    Substitution: F. SerikiSheffield Utd · Out: M. Doherty
    Substitution: F. SerikiOut: M. Doherty
  11. Substitution: F. VareOut: J. Fevrier
    72'
    Substitution: F. VareBlackburn · Out: J. Fevrier
  12. 75'
    Substitution: S. McCallumSheffield Utd · Out: R. Norrington-Davies
    Substitution: S. McCallumOut: R. Norrington-Davies
  13. 81'
    Goal: R. DonovanSheffield Utd
    Goal: R. Donovan
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Yuki Ohashi vs Mark McGuinness: Ohashi's movement and finishing will test McGuinness's positioning and aerial dominance, a key duel in determining Blackburn's attacking threat.
2Tyrese Campbell vs Hayden Carter: Campbell's pace and direct running could exploit any gaps left by Carter, who must balance defensive duties with supporting attacks.
3Joe Rothwell vs Sam Morsy: The midfield battle between Rothwell's creativity and Morsy's tenacity will dictate the flow of the game, with the winner likely controlling possession.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Blackburn

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game
  • Conceded in 4 of last 5 matches
  • Missing 9 players due to injury

Sheffield Utd

  • 5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Strong defensive organization
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches
  • Missing 6 players due to injury

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Sheffield Utd193943

Moderate agreement on away win (43%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

This EFL Cup tie at Ewood Park is finely poised, with the market suggesting a marginal edge for Sheffield United. The visitors arrive with a formidable defensive record, having kept five clean sheets in their last five matches, while Blackburn have been solid themselves, unbeaten in five and scoring at a healthy clip.

Form Analysis: Blackburn's recent form shows a 100% win rate in their last two, averaging 1.8 goals per game, but they have conceded in four of five. Sheffield United, meanwhile, have been miserly at the back, conceding zero goals in their last five, though they have failed to score in three of those, indicating a low-scoring but effective approach.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Sheffield United's defensive solidity, which could stifle Blackburn's attack. Additionally, the head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors, with six wins in the last five meetings (note: data shows 6 wins, which is inconsistent but indicates dominance). Both teams are missing key players, but Sheffield United's injury list is slightly shorter, and they have a stronger overall statistical profile (60% vs 40% in the API comparison).

Conclusion: Given the market's near-even split and Sheffield United's defensive edge, a narrow away victory or a draw are the most plausible outcomes. The data suggests a tight, low-scoring contest, with Sheffield United holding a slight advantage.

Statistical ContextSheffield Utd

Double chance : draw or Sheffield Utd

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BlackburnSheffield Utd
40%Strength60%
40%Attacking Potential60%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
41%Goals H2H59%
40%Wins the Game60%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BlackburnInjuries · Sheffield UtdLive scores →

Statistical Context

Blackburn

DWLLD
  • DSep 19, 26A · Portsmouth2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Millwall3-1
  • LSep 8, 26H · Sheffield Utd1-2
  • LSep 5, 26A · Preston2-1
  • DSep 1, 26A · Lincoln0-0

Sheffield Utd

LLLWL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Stoke City2-1
  • LSep 16, 26A · Fleetwood Town1-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Wolves0-1
  • WSep 8, 26A · Blackburn1-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Norwich1-3

Head to Head

3
Blackburn
1
Draws
6
Sheffield Utd
  • Aug 25, 26Blackburn – Sheffield Utd1-2
  • Apr 22, 26Sheffield Utd – Blackburn1-3
  • Oct 21, 25Blackburn – Sheffield Utd1-3
  • May 3, 25Sheffield Utd – Blackburn1-1
  • Nov 2, 24Blackburn – Sheffield Utd0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BlackburnSheffield Utd
Played88
Goals Scored129
Goals Conceded1211
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.51.4
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BlackburnSheffield Utd
Over 2.5 Goals4/108/10
Both Teams Scored6/105/10
Clean Sheets2/105/10

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd — Match Analysis

Sheffield United hold a narrow edge, backed by a formidable defensive record of five clean sheets in five and a dominant head-to-head history. However, Blackburn's unbeaten run and home advantage could make this a tight contest, with the visitors' scoring struggles the main risk to their chances.

This EFL Cup tie at Ewood Park is finely poised, with the market suggesting a marginal edge for Sheffield United. The visitors arrive with a formidable defensive record, having kept five clean sheets in their last five matches, while Blackburn have been solid themselves, unbeaten in five and scoring at a healthy clip.

Form Analysis: Blackburn's recent form shows a 100% win rate in their last two, averaging 1.8 goals per game, but they have conceded in four of five. Sheffield United, meanwhile, have been miserly at the back, conceding zero goals in their last five, though they have failed to score in three of those, indicating a low-scoring but effective approach.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Sheffield United's defensive solidity, which could stifle Blackburn's attack. Additionally, the head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors, with six wins in the last five meetings (note: data shows 6 wins, which is inconsistent but indicates dominance). Both teams are missing key players, but Sheffield United's injury list is slightly shorter, and they have a stronger overall statistical profile (60% vs 40% in the API comparison).

Conclusion: Given the market's near-even split and Sheffield United's defensive edge, a narrow away victory or a draw are the most plausible outcomes. The data suggests a tight, low-scoring contest, with Sheffield United holding a slight advantage.

Win Probabilities: Blackburn: 28% · Draw: 32% · Sheffield Utd: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 37% · Under 2.5: 63% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Blackburn wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Sheffield Utd wins: 6

Form (latest first): Blackburn: DWLLD · Sheffield Utd: LLLWL

  • Yuki Ohashi vs Mark McGuinness: Ohashi's movement and finishing will test McGuinness's positioning and aerial dominance, a key duel in determining Blackburn's attacking threat.
  • Tyrese Campbell vs Hayden Carter: Campbell's pace and direct running could exploit any gaps left by Carter, who must balance defensive duties with supporting attacks.
  • Joe Rothwell vs Sam Morsy: The midfield battle between Rothwell's creativity and Morsy's tenacity will dictate the flow of the game, with the winner likely controlling possession.

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