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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Manchester United vs Brighton

Manchester United vs Brighton

Prediction • EFL Cup·Manchester United·Brighton

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Sep 16, 2026
19:00
Manchester United

Manchester United

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Old Trafford
PREDICTED WINNER
Brighton

Brighton

Away
Stadium
Old Trafford
Win Probabilities
30%
Manchester United
30%
Draw
40%
Brighton
Home3.3330%
Draw3.3330%
Away2.5040%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Brighton are the clear favourites based on their five-match unbeaten run with five clean sheets, while Manchester United are struggling with injuries and poor form. The main risk is United's home advantage and individual quality sparking an upset.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Manchester United
/10
4.0Brighton
Manchester United
FormLatest first
WLWWD
Win Rate60%
Brighton
FormLatest first
LWWDL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageManchester United+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

17°
Overcast
Wind
12 km/h
Humidity
50%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Manchester United
Home

Manchester United

Form
LW
Latest first
15
Pos
42
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Home advantage at Old Trafford
  • Individual quality in attack with players like Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha
  • Strong midfield options including Andrey Santos and Y. Tielemans
K. Darlow
Post-Surgery Recovery
Injured
B. Sesko
Leg Injury
Injured
C. Baleba
Ankle Injury
Injured
M. Ugarte
Knee Injury
Injured
M. de Ligt
Back Injury
Injured
T. Heaton
Injury
Injured
M. Mount
Foot Injury
Injured
A. Diallo
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Manchester United
Manchester United
7Wins
1
Draws
Brighton
2Wins
Brighton
70%10%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan112026
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1-2
Loss
BrightonBrighton
Oct252025
Manchester UnitedManchester United
4-2
Win
BrightonBrighton
Jan192025
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1-3
Loss
BrightonBrighton
Aug242024
BrightonBrighton
2-1
Loss
Manchester UnitedManchester United
May192024
BrightonBrighton
0-2
Win
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Sep162023
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1-3
Loss
BrightonBrighton
May42023
BrightonBrighton
1-0
Loss
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Apr232023
BrightonBrighton
0-0
Draw
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Aug72022
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1-2
Loss
BrightonBrighton
May72022
BrightonBrighton
4-0
Loss
Manchester UnitedManchester United

Past Predictions

0%0/2 correct

Brighton 0 - 3 Manchester United

May 24, 2026

47% / 26% / 27%

Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton

Jan 11, 2026

51% / 24% / 25%

Manchester United4-2-3-1vs4-3-3BrightonPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Central creativity vs wide threat. Balance key.

BrightonBrighton4-3-3
Manchester UnitedManchester United4-2-3-1
BrightonBenchBrighton7
Manchester UnitedBenchManchester United7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Manchester United

8Out

8 key players

Brighton

8Out

7 key players

Manchester United

Team

Manchester United

Players Out

8(8 key)
K. Darlow

K. Darlow

SEVERE
Injury:Post-Surgery Recovery

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

6-12 weeks

B. Sesko

B. Sesko

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

C. Baleba

C. Baleba

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Ugarte

M. Ugarte

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. de Ligt

M. de Ligt

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

T. Heaton

T. Heaton

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Mount

M. Mount

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Diallo

A. Diallo

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Brighton

Team

Brighton

Players Out

8(7 key)
M. Orozco

M. Orozco

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Hinshelwood

J. Hinshelwood

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Ferguson

E. Ferguson

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Y. Minteh

Y. Minteh

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Baleba

C. Baleba

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

K. Mitoma

K. Mitoma

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Tzimas

S. Tzimas

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. O'Riley

M. O'Riley

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Brighton

Confidence

Win Probabilities

30%Manchester United
30%Draw
40%Brighton

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Sep 16 · 19:00
StadiumOld Trafford
League StatsEFL Cup

Statistical Context

Manchester United

WLWWD
  • WAug 30, 26H · Ipswich5-2
  • LAug 22, 26A · Hull City2-0
  • WMay 24, 26A · Brighton0-3
  • WMay 17, 26H · Nottingham Forest3-2
  • DMay 9, 26A · Sunderland0-0

Brighton

LWWDL
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chelsea4-3
  • WAug 27, 26H · Tromso4-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Aston Villa4-0
  • DAug 20, 26A · Tromso0-0
  • LMay 24, 26H · Manchester United0-3

Head to Head

7
Manchester United
1
Draws
2
Brighton
  • Jan 11, 26Manchester United – Brighton1-2
  • Oct 25, 25Manchester United – Brighton4-2
  • Jan 19, 25Manchester United – Brighton1-3
  • Aug 24, 24Brighton – Manchester United2-1
  • May 19, 24Brighton – Manchester United0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Manchester UnitedBrighton
Played—1
Goals Scored—4
Goals Conceded—0
Avg Scored—4.0
Avg Conceded—0.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Manchester UnitedBrighton
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Manchester United

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GS. Lammens
  2. 2DDiogo Dalot
  3. 13DP. Dorgu
  4. 26DA. Heaven
  5. 5DH. Maguire
  6. 17MAndrey Santos
  7. 8MBruno Fernandes
  8. 37MK. Mainoo
  9. 18MY. Tielemans
  10. 33MTobias Christopher Collyer
  11. 10AMatheus Cunha

Coach: E. ten Hag

Brighton

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 38GT. McGill
  2. 21DO. Boscagli
  3. 20DCostinha
  4. 29DM. De Cuyper
  5. 5DL. Dunk
  6. 26MY. Ayari
  7. 25MD. Gómez
  8. 13MP. Groß
  9. 19AC. Kostoulas
  10. 49AN. Oriola
  11. 15AI. Osman

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Manchester United vs Brighton — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Brighton are the clear favourites based on their five-match unbeaten run with five clean sheets, while Manchester United are struggling with injuries and poor form. The main risk is United's home advantage and individual quality sparking an upset.

This EFL Cup tie at Old Trafford presents a fascinating clash between a Manchester United side in poor form and a Brighton team that has been defensively resolute. The market suggests a closely contested match, but the statistical model and recent form point towards Brighton holding the edge.…

Win Probabilities: Manchester United: 30% · Draw: 30% · Brighton: 40%

H2H: Manchester United wins: 7 · Draws: 1 · Brighton wins: 2

Form (latest first): Manchester United: WLWWD · Brighton: LWWDL

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EFL Cup

EFL Cup

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EFL CupEngland
Bournemouth
Sep 818:45
Lincoln
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Crystal Palace
Sep 818:45
Middlesbrough
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Sunderland
Sep 818:45
Hull City
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Leyton Orient
Sep 818:45
Bradford
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Millwall
Sep 819:00
Newcastle
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Everton
Sep 918:45
Wolves
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Chelsea
Sep 919:00
Leeds
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Peterborough
Sep 1518:45
Barnsley
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
West Ham
Sep 1518:45
Fulham
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Reading
Sep 1519:00
Brentford
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Ipswich
Sep 1519:00
Arsenal
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Fleetwood Town
Sep 1618:45
Sheffield Utd
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Liverpool
Sep 1619:00
Tottenham
12.0050%
X4.0025%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Coventry
Sep 1619:00
Aston Villa
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EFL CupEngland
Manchester City
Sep 1718:30
Norwich
12.0050%
X4.0025%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access