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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea

Prediction • EFL Cup·Liverpool·Chelsea

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Oct 28, 2026
20:00
PREDICTED DRAW
Liverpool

Liverpool

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Anfield
PREDICTED DRAW
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
Stadium
Anfield
Win Probabilities
34%
Liverpool
33%
Draw
33%
Chelsea
Home2.9434%
Draw3.0333%
Away3.0333%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Liverpool are favored at 34% to win at home against Chelsea. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Liverpool vs Chelsea.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Liverpool
/10
4.0Chelsea
Liverpool
FormLatest first
WWDWW
Win Rate80%
Chelsea
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageLiverpool+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Hugo Ekitiké
8.3

Hugo Ekitiké

Liverpool

VS
Wesley Fofana
7.5

Wesley Fofana

Chelsea

56ATT5
100TEC100
30TAC62
5DEF33
23CRE0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.2
Avg Scored
1.8
Defense
3/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
2.0
Avg Conceded
1.1
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
7/10
1.9
Avg Cards
2.3
5.1
Avg Corners
5.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Liverpool
Home

Liverpool

Form
W
Latest first
1
Pos
84
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+2
  • Five-match unbeaten streak with three clean sheets in the last five
  • Excellent defensive record conceding just 0.4 goals per game on average
  • Strong head-to-head record with three wins in the last five meetings
C. Bradley
Knee Injury
Injured
H. Ekitike
Achilles Injury
Injured
J. Gomez
Muscle Injury
Injured
I. Mabaya
Injury
Injured
G. Leoni
Knee Injury
Injured
B. Barcola
Injury
Injured
W. Endo
Off the roster
Injured
F. Chiesa
Back Injury
Injured
S. Bajcetic
Hamstring Injury
Injured
H. Elliott
Coach's decision
Injured
M. Kerkez
Injury
Injured
C. Gakpo
Muscle Injury
Injured
Chelsea
Away

Chelsea

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
4
Pos
69
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets150%
Goal Diff+5
  • Stronger attack rating and overall form percentage in the API comparison
  • Higher goals-per-game average of 2.6 in recent matches
  • Balanced head-to-head record with two wins in the last five meetings
W. Fofana
Red Card
Suspended
M. Caicedo
Injury
Injured
E. Emegha
Injury
Injured
M. Sarr
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Henderson
Wrist Injury
Injured
M. Palestra
Injury
Injured
E. Fernandez
Coach's decision
Injured
M. Gusto
Injury
Injured
Joao Pedro
Injury
Injured
A. Anselmino
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Liverpool
Liverpool
3Wins
5
Draws
Chelsea
2Wins
Chelsea
30%50%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May92026
LiverpoolLiverpool
1-1
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
Oct42025
ChelseaChelsea
2-1
Loss
LiverpoolLiverpool
May42025
ChelseaChelsea
3-1
Loss
LiverpoolLiverpool
Oct202024
LiverpoolLiverpool
2-1
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Feb252024
ChelseaChelsea
0-1
Win
LiverpoolLiverpool
Jan312024
LiverpoolLiverpool
4-1
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Aug132023
ChelseaChelsea
1-1
Draw
LiverpoolLiverpool
Apr42023
ChelseaChelsea
0-0
Draw
LiverpoolLiverpool
Jan212023
LiverpoolLiverpool
0-0
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
May142022
ChelseaChelsea
0-0
Draw
LiverpoolLiverpool

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea

May 9, 2026

35% / 33% / 32%

Liverpool4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1ChelseaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Liverpool

12Out

12 key players

Chelsea

10Out

9 key players

Liverpool

Team

Liverpool

Players Out

12(12 key)
C. Bradley

C. Bradley

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

H. Ekitike

H. Ekitike

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Gomez

J. Gomez

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

I. Mabaya

I. Mabaya

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Leoni

G. Leoni

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

B. Barcola

B. Barcola

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

W. Endo

W. Endo

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Chiesa

F. Chiesa

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Bajcetic

S. Bajcetic

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

H. Elliott

H. Elliott

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Kerkez

M. Kerkez

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Gakpo

C. Gakpo

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Chelsea

Team

Chelsea

Players Out

10(9 key)
W. Fofana

W. Fofana

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Caicedo

M. Caicedo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Emegha

E. Emegha

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sarr

M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Henderson

J. Henderson

MODERATE
Injury:Wrist Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Palestra

M. Palestra

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Fernandez

E. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Gusto

M. Gusto

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anselmino

A. Anselmino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

34%Liverpool
33%Draw
33%Chelsea

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Oct 28 · 20:00
StadiumAnfield
League StatsEFL Cup
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · LiverpoolInjuries · ChelseaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Liverpool

WWDWW
  • WSep 20, 26A · Bournemouth0-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Tottenham3-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Fulham0-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · Atletico Madrid2-1
  • WSep 4, 26A · Ipswich0-2

Chelsea

LDWLW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Brentford3-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Hull City2-2
  • WSep 9, 26H · Leeds6-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Arsenal2-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3

Head to Head

3
Liverpool
5
Draws
2
Chelsea
  • May 9, 26Liverpool – Chelsea1-1
  • Oct 4, 25Chelsea – Liverpool2-1
  • May 4, 25Chelsea – Liverpool3-1
  • Oct 20, 24Liverpool – Chelsea2-1
  • Feb 25, 24Chelsea – Liverpool0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LiverpoolChelsea
Played12
Goals Scored38
Goals Conceded13
Avg Scored3.04.0
Avg Conceded1.01.5
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LiverpoolChelsea
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored4/105/10
Clean Sheets3/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Predicted XI

Liverpool

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: A. Slot

Chelsea

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Xabi Alonso

  1. 1E. Martínez
  1. 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
  2. 6L. Colwill
  3. 21J. Hato
  1. 29Pep Chavarría
  2. 4V. Barco
  3. 45R. Lavia
  4. 32M. Nicoll-Jazuli
  1. 7Pedro Neto
  2. 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda
  1. 10C. Palmer
  1. 9A. Isak
  1. 42T. Nyoni
  2. 8D. Szoboszlai
  3. 7F. Wirtz
  1. 38R. Gravenberch
  2. 10A. Mac Allister
  1. 33R. Araújo
  2. 5J. Jacquet
  3. 21K. Tsimikas
  4. 4V. van Dijk
  1. 1Alisson Becker

Bench

  • 25G. Mamardashvili
  • 30J. Frimpong
  • 67L. Koumas
  • 23Víctor Muñoz
  • 73R. Ngumoha
  • 1H. Davies
  • 28F. Woodman

Out

  • C. Bradley · Knee Injury
  • H. Ekitike · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • J. Gomez · Muscle Injury
  • I. Mabaya · Injury
  • G. Leoni · Knee Injury
  • B. Barcola · Injury
  • W. Endo · Off the roster
  • F. Chiesa · Back Injury

Bench

  • 39M. Penders
  • 5M. Lacroix
  • 17M. Rogers
  • 41Estêvão
  • 11J. Bynoe-Gittens
  • 18D. Welbeck
  • 28T. Sharman-Lowe

Out

  • W. Fofana · Red Card
  • M. Caicedo · Injury
  • E. Emegha · Injury
  • M. Sarr · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Henderson · Wrist Injury
  • M. Palestra · Injury
  • E. Fernandez · Coach's decision
  • M. Gusto · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Liverpool vs Chelsea — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Liverpool are favored at 34% to win at home against Chelsea. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This EFL Cup tie at Anfield is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite emerging from the available data. The market probabilities are balanced across all three outcomes, and the statistical model leans slightly toward Chelsea or a draw, making this one of the most difficult fixtures to call.…

Win Probabilities: Liverpool: 34% · Draw: 33% · Chelsea: 33%

H2H: Liverpool wins: 3 · Draws: 5 · Chelsea wins: 2

Form (latest first): Liverpool: WWDWW · Chelsea: LDWLW

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Betting Tips

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