Everton enter this EFL Cup tie as clear favourites, with the market and statistical model both pointing to an away victory. The Toffees have been in solid form, unbeaten in their last three matches, while Preston have lost two straight and are missing four key players through suspension and injury.
Form Analysis: Preston's recent form is concerning: they have lost their last two matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game while scoring just 1.0. Everton, by contrast, are on a three-match unbeaten streak, have kept a clean sheet in that run, and average 1.8 goals scored per game. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.
Key Factors: Preston are severely depleted, missing four players including a red-card suspension and three injuries. Everton also have three injuries but have greater squad depth. Head-to-head, Everton have won both recent meetings, giving them a psychological edge. The weather forecast calls for heavy rain, which could level the playing field slightly, but Everton's superior quality should still shine through.
Conclusion: All data points to an Everton victory. Preston's injury crisis and poor form make them vulnerable, while Everton's consistency and head-to-head dominance make them the clear favourites. A 1-2 away win is the most likely outcome.
