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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Newcastle vs Fulham

Newcastle vs Fulham

Result • EFL Cup·Newcastle·Fulham

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Dec 17, 2025
20:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
medium Confidence
Fulham

Fulham

Away
Win Probabilities
55%
Newcastle
30%
Draw
15%
Fulham
Home1.8255%
Draw3.3330%
Away6.6715%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clash where Newcastle's attacking stars shine through the fog, guided by home spirits. Ancient wisdom reveals Fulham's defense may hold but ultimately yield to relentless pressure.

Our AI model analyzes this EFL Cup fixture between Newcastle and Fulham using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Newcastle a 55% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Fulham a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Bruno Guimarães vs S. Lukić: Central midfield battle where Guimarães' creativity and goal threat will test Lukić's defensive contributions and playmaking.
2H. Barnes vs Fulham's full-backs: Barnes' pace and scoring ability on the wing will challenge Fulham's defensive wide areas, crucial for Newcastle's attacking width.
3Newcastle's forwards vs Fulham's center-backs: Newcastle's multiple scorers like Woltemade will pressure Fulham's defensive line, testing their clean sheet record.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Newcastle

  • Strong attacking options with multiple goal scorers
  • Home advantage and supportive crowd
  • Inconsistent recent form with losses
  • Defensive vulnerabilities conceding 1.3 goals per match

Fulham

  • Defensive solidity with only 0.3 goals conceded per match
  • Organized 4-2-3-1 formation for counter-attacks
  • Limited attacking threat with only 5 goals scored
  • Poor away form and recent losses
Head-to-head →Injuries · NewcastleInjuries · FulhamLive scores →

Statistical Context

Newcastle

WLWDW
  • WSep 19, 26H · Hull City2-1
  • LSep 14, 26A · Leeds4-1
  • WSep 8, 26A · Millwall0-1
  • DSep 5, 26H · Bournemouth2-2
  • WAug 29, 26A · Tottenham0-2

Fulham

DWDLL
  • DSep 20, 26H · Manchester United1-1
  • WSep 15, 26A · West Ham2-3
  • DSep 12, 26A · Liverpool0-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Crystal Palace2-3
  • LAug 30, 26A · Sunderland1-0

Head to Head

2
Newcastle
0
Draws
8
Fulham
  • Dec 17, 25Newcastle – Fulham2-1
  • Oct 25, 25Newcastle – Fulham2-1
  • Feb 1, 25Newcastle – Fulham1-2
  • Sep 21, 24Fulham – Newcastle3-1
  • Apr 6, 24Fulham – Newcastle0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

NewcastleFulham
Played41
Goals Scored73
Goals Conceded80
Avg Scored1.83.0
Avg Conceded2.00.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NewcastleFulham
Over 2.5 Goals8/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: Newcastle vs Fulham

Predicted XI

Newcastle

4-3-3Formation· Coach: E. Howe

Fulham

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Marco Silva

  1. 23B. Lecomte
  1. 3C. Bassey
  2. 21T. Castagne
  3. 15Jorge Cuenca
  4. 31I. Diop
  1. 16S. Berge
  2. 10T. Cairney
  1. 17A. Iwobi
  2. 24Joshua King
  3. 20S. Lukić
  1. 7R. Jiménez
  1. 20A. Elanga
  2. 27N. Woltemade
  3. 62S. Neave
  1. 39Bruno Guimarães
  2. 67L. Miley
  3. 23J. Murphy
  1. 33D. Burn
  2. 21T. Livramento
  3. 37A. Murphy
  4. 5F. Schär
  1. 32A. Ramsdale

Bench

  • 12M. Thiaw
  • 41J. Ramsey
  • 8S. Tonali
  • 28J. Willock
  • 11H. Barnes
  • 1N. Pope
  • 31Max Thompson

Out

  • Joelinton · Thigh Injury
  • V. Livramento · Hamstring Injury
  • J. Ramsey · Injury
  • W. Osula · Injury
  • M. Fernandez-Pardo · Transfer negotiations
  • D. Burn · Ankle Injury
  • A. Elanga · Knee Injury
  • Nico · Injury

Bench

  • 1B. Leno
  • 32E. Smith Rowe
  • 8H. Wilson
  • 22Kevin
  • 18J. Kusi-Asare
  • 11Adama Traoré
  • 4S. Amissah

Out

  • J. Andersen · Red Card
  • R. Sessegnon · Groin Injury
  • K. Tete · Concussion
  • H. Larsson · Muscle Injury
  • T. Cairney · Knee Injury
  • L. De Fougerolles · Injury
  • Manuel Angel · Coach's decision

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Newcastle vs Fulham — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where Newcastle's attacking stars shine through the fog, guided by home spirits. Ancient wisdom reveals Fulham's defense may hold but ultimately yield to relentless pressure.

Newcastle is predicted to secure a win, leveraging their superior attacking quality and home advantage, despite Fulham's defensive resilience.

Current Form: Newcastle's recent form (LWWWL) shows inconsistency but includes wins, indicating they can perform well. Fulham's form (LLWWL) is similarly mixed, with recent losses suggesting vulnerability, especially away from home.

Tactical Matchup: Newcastle's 4-3-3 formation focuses on wide attacks and central creativity, with players like Bruno Guimarães driving play. Fulham's 4-2-3-1 aims for defensive solidity and counter-attacks, but may struggle against Newcastle's high-intensity press and physical play, especially in cold weather favoring Newcastle's style.

Key Factors: No significant injuries benefit both teams. Home advantage gives Newcastle a psychological edge, supported by a strong head-to-head record (7 wins). Freezing fog conditions favor physical play, aligning with Newcastle's strengths.

Statistical Backing: API-Football gives Newcastle a 45% win probability and 45% draw probability, with Fulham at only 10%. Newcastle's attack (55% vs 45%) and head-to-head advantage (60% vs 40%) further support a home win, despite defensive parity.

Conclusion: Newcastle's attacking prowess and favorable conditions should lead to a victory, with a draw as a secondary possibility given Fulham's defensive capabilities.

Win Probabilities: Newcastle: 55% · Draw: 30% · Fulham: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Newcastle wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Fulham wins: 8

Form (latest first): Newcastle: WLWDW · Fulham: DWDLL

  • Bruno Guimarães vs S. Lukić: Central midfield battle where Guimarães' creativity and goal threat will test Lukić's defensive contributions and playmaking.
  • H. Barnes vs Fulham's full-backs: Barnes' pace and scoring ability on the wing will challenge Fulham's defensive wide areas, crucial for Newcastle's attacking width.
  • Newcastle's forwards vs Fulham's center-backs: Newcastle's multiple scorers like Woltemade will pressure Fulham's defensive line, testing their clean sheet record.

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