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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Prediction • EFL Cup·Nottingham Forest·Leeds

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2026
19:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.18
X3.45
23.10
Stadium
City Ground
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Odds
12.18
X3.45
23.10
Stadium
City Ground
Win Probabilities
40%
Nottingham Forest
29%
Draw
31%
Leeds
Home2.1840%
Draw3.4529%
Away3.1031%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Nottingham Forest are favored at 40% to win at home against Leeds. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Nottingham Forest
/10
4.0Leeds
Nottingham Forest
FormLatest first
DLDLW
Win Rate20%
Leeds
FormLatest first
LWDWL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageLeeds+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

21°
Overcast
Wind
10 km/h
Humidity
34%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Nottingham Forest
Home

Nottingham Forest

Form
WWDLD
Latest first
7
Pos
65
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Recent winning momentum (two consecutive victories)
  • Solid home support at the City Ground
  • Balanced head-to-head record against Leeds
N. Savona
Knee Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
4Wins
3
Draws
Leeds
3Wins
Leeds
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb62026
LeedsLeeds
3-1
Loss
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Nov92025
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
3-1
Win
LeedsLeeds
Jul272023
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0-2
Loss
LeedsLeeds
Apr42023
LeedsLeeds
2-1
Loss
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Feb52023
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
1-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Feb82020
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
2-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Aug102019
LeedsLeeds
1-1
Draw
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Jan12019
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
4-2
Win
LeedsLeeds
Oct272018
LeedsLeeds
1-1
Draw
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Jan12018
LeedsLeeds
0-0
Draw
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Leeds 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest

Feb 6, 2026

41% / 28% / 31%

Nottingham Forest4-3-3vs4-3-3LeedsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

LeedsLeeds4-3-3
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest4-3-3
LeedsBenchLeeds7
Nottingham ForestBenchNottingham Forest7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Nottingham Forest

1Out

1 key player

Leeds

5Out

4 key players

Nottingham Forest

Team

Nottingham Forest

Players Out

1(1 key)
N. Savona

N. Savona

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Leeds

Team

Leeds

Players Out

5(4 key)
G. Gudmundsson

G. Gudmundsson

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Joseph

M. Joseph

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

W. Gnonto

W. Gnonto

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

I. Gruev

I. Gruev

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Lucas Perri

Lucas Perri

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Nottingham Forest

Confidence

Win Probabilities

40%Nottingham Forest
29%Draw
31%Leeds

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.18 · 3.45 · 3.10
KickoffTue, Aug 25 · 19:00
StadiumCity Ground
League StatsEFL Cup

Statistical Context

Nottingham Forest

DLDLW
  • DMay 24, 26H · Bournemouth1-1
  • LMay 17, 26A · Manchester United3-2
  • DMay 10, 26H · Newcastle1-1
  • LMay 7, 26A · Aston Villa4-0
  • WMay 4, 26A · Chelsea1-3

Leeds

LWDWL
  • LMay 24, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Brighton1-0
  • DMay 11, 26A · Tottenham1-1
  • WMay 1, 26H · Burnley3-1
  • LApr 26, 26A · Chelsea1-0

Head to Head

4
Nottingham Forest
3
Draws
3
Leeds
  • Feb 6, 26Leeds – Nottingham Forest3-1
  • Nov 9, 25Nottingham Forest – Leeds3-1
  • Jul 27, 23Nottingham Forest – Leeds0-2
  • Apr 4, 23Leeds – Nottingham Forest2-1
  • Feb 5, 23Nottingham Forest – Leeds1-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Nottingham ForestLeeds
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored2/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Nottingham Forest

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 13GS. Benda
  2. 44DZ. Abbott
  3. 6DTyler Bindon
  4. 23DJair
  5. 4DMorato
  6. 16MN. Domínguez
  7. 7MC. Hudson-Odoi
  8. 60MG. McDonnell
  9. 29AD. Bakwa
  10. 21AO. Hutchinson
  11. 15AA. Kalimuendo

Leeds

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 21GA. Cairns
  2. 4DE. Ampadu
  3. 15DJ. Bijol
  4. 2DJ. Bogle
  5. 33DS. Bornauw
  6. 11MB. Aaronson
  7. 47MR. Chadwick-Chaplin
  8. 7MD. James
  9. 9AD. Calvert-Lewin
  10. 14AL. Nmecha
  11. 19AN. Okafor

Coach: D. Farke

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Nottingham Forest are favored at 40% to win at home against Leeds. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 31%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This EFL Cup tie at the City Ground presents a fascinating contrast in form and momentum. While the bookmaker-implied probabilities give Nottingham Forest a slight edge, the statistical model and recent performances suggest Leeds United are the team in better shape.…

Win Probabilities: Nottingham Forest: 40% · Draw: 29% · Leeds: 31%

H2H: Nottingham Forest wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Leeds wins: 3

Form (latest first): Nottingham Forest: DLDLW · Leeds: LWDWL

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