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Today's Tips
Correct Score
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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Port Vale vs Bristol City

Port Vale vs Bristol City

Result • FA Cup·Port Vale·Bristol City

FA Cup
FA Cup
Mar 3, 2026
19:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Port Vale

Port Vale

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.33
X3.75
21.75
Stadium
Vale Park
low Confidence
Bristol City

Bristol City

Away
Odds
14.33
X3.75
21.75
Stadium
Vale Park
Win Probabilities
20%
Port Vale
25%
Draw
55%
Bristol City
Home4.3320%
Draw3.7525%
Away1.7555%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bristol City's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Port Vale and Bristol City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Port Vale a 20% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Bristol City a 55% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1R. Paton (Port Vale) vs Bristol City defense: Paton's high rating and goal-scoring ability will test Bristol City's backline, which has conceded 1.6 goals per match.
2A. Mehmeti (Bristol City) vs Port Vale midfield: Mehmeti's creative output (6 assists) poses a threat to Port Vale's defensive structure, which averages 1.6 goals conceded.
3D. Cole (Port Vale) vs Bristol City attackers: Cole's contributions (2 goals, 1 assist) will be crucial in matching Bristol City's offensive firepower led by Mehmeti and Twine.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Port Vale

  • Current 3 unbeaten streak
  • Home advantage rating of 0.55
  • Low average goals scored (0.8 per match)
  • Higher average goals conceded (1.6 per match)

Bristol City

  • Strong head-to-head record (3 wins in last 5 meetings)
  • Key player A. Mehmeti with 6 goals and 6 assists
  • Recent inconsistent form (LWLDW)
  • Three players doubtful due to injuries

More information

Head-to-headPort Vale – Bristol CityInjuriesPort ValeInjuriesBristol CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Port Vale

WWLDW
  • WNov 7, 26H · Scunthorpe4-2
  • WOct 31, 26H · Rochdale4-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · York2-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Gillingham1-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Chesterfield1-0

Bristol City

LLWDL
  • LNov 7, 26H · Norwich0-5
  • LNov 4, 26H · Wolves1-2
  • WOct 31, 26A · Bolton2-3
  • DOct 24, 26A · Stoke City0-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Sheffield Utd0-1

Head to Head

3
Port Vale
1
Draws
0
Bristol City
  • Feb 10, 15Bristol City – Port Vale3-1
  • Sep 16, 14Port Vale – Bristol City0-3
  • Mar 25, 14Bristol City – Port Vale5-0
  • Oct 5, 13Port Vale – Bristol City1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Port ValeBristol City
Played—15
Goals Scored—16
Goals Conceded—24
Avg Scored—1.1
Avg Conceded—1.6
Clean Sheets—2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Port ValeBristol City
Over 2.5 Goals—3/10
Both Teams Scored—3/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Port Vale vs Bristol City — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bristol City's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Bristol City is predicted to win this FA Cup match. The market probabilities show a 53% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model predicts Bristol City as the winner with 45% probability, aligning with the bookmaker's favorite.

Form Analysis: Port Vale has a 3 unbeaten streak but averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Bristol City has a mixed form (LWLDW) but averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, showing slightly better attacking output despite recent inconsistency.

Key Factors: 1. Head-to-head history strongly favors Bristol City with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. 2. Bristol City has key players like A. Mehmeti (6 goals, 6 assists) providing offensive threat. 3. Port Vale's home advantage rating of 0.55 is moderate but insufficient to overcome the quality gap indicated by odds and model predictions.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to Bristol City as the favorite, supported by market intelligence, statistical modeling, and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Win Probabilities: Port Vale: 20% · Draw: 25% · Bristol City: 55%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Port Vale wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Bristol City wins: 0

Form (latest first): Port Vale: WWLDW · Bristol City: LLWDL

  • R. Paton (Port Vale) vs Bristol City defense: Paton's high rating and goal-scoring ability will test Bristol City's backline, which has conceded 1.6 goals per match.
  • A. Mehmeti (Bristol City) vs Port Vale midfield: Mehmeti's creative output (6 assists) poses a threat to Port Vale's defensive structure, which averages 1.6 goals conceded.
  • D. Cole (Port Vale) vs Bristol City attackers: Cole's contributions (2 goals, 1 assist) will be crucial in matching Bristol City's offensive firepower led by Mehmeti and Twine.

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