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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Spennymoor Town vs Chester

Spennymoor Town vs Chester

Result • FA Cup·Spennymoor Town·Chester

FA Cup
FA Cup
Oct 3, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Spennymoor Town

Spennymoor Town

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.90
X3.25
22.10
low Confidence
Chester

Chester

Away
Odds
12.90
X3.25
22.10
Win Probabilities
31%
Spennymoor Town
28%
Draw
41%
Chester
Home2.9031%
Draw3.2528%
Away2.1041%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

Chester are favored at 40% to win away at Spennymoor Town. The draw is rated 28% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Spennymoor Town and Chester using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Spennymoor Town a 31% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Chester a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. Goal: D. Johnson
    25'
    Goal: D. JohnsonSpennymoor Town
  2. Goal: G. Taylor
    28'
    Goal: G. TaylorSpennymoor Town
  3. Goal: D. Johnson
    35'
    Goal: D. JohnsonSpennymoor Town
  4. Goal: D. Johnson
    56'
    Goal: D. JohnsonSpennymoor Town
  5. 58'
    Goal: B. WatersChester
    Goal: B. Waters
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Ryan Johnson vs A. Brown: The Spennymoor goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Chester's attackers, while Brown's distribution could launch quick counters.
2Ben Beals vs Isaac Burgess: A midfield duel that could dictate the tempo; Beals' defensive work will be crucial against Burgess' creativity.
3O. Dyson vs T. Davies: Dyson's attacking threat from defence will test Davies' defensive solidity, and the winner of this battle could swing the match.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Spennymoor Town

  • Excellent recent form with a 100% win rate in the last five matches
  • Strong defensive record according to API comparison (100% rating)
  • Struggled in head-to-head meetings, winning only 29% of the time
  • No home advantage data available, suggesting limited experience at this level

Chester

  • Impressive form with a 100% win rate in the last five matches
  • Favorable head-to-head record, winning 71% of encounters
  • Defensive record is poor according to API comparison (0% rating)
  • Have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
45%
38%
Spennymoor Town383726

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (38%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This FA Cup tie between Spennymoor Town and Chester is finely balanced, with the market giving a narrow edge to the visitors. The statistical model leans towards Spennymoor, but the bookmakers see Chester as marginal favourites, so the outcome is far from certain.

Form Analysis: Both sides come into the match in strong form. Spennymoor Town have won all of their last five matches, scoring four goals and keeping one clean sheet. Chester have also won all five, scoring twice and conceding once. The two teams are evenly matched in terms of recent results, though Spennymoor have shown a slightly more potent attack according to the API comparison.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with four wins each and two draws in the last ten meetings. Spennymoor's defensive strength, rated highly by the API, could be crucial, but Chester's overall statistical edge and the market's slight preference for them suggest they may have the upper hand. The weather is expected to be sunny with a minor impact, favouring neither side significantly.

Conclusion: Given the tight nature of the contest, a draw is a real possibility, but the data points towards a narrow victory for Chester. The match could easily swing either way, and a single goal may decide it.

Statistical ContextSpennymoor Town

Winner : Spennymoor Town

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Spennymoor TownChester
49%Strength51%
67%Attacking Potential33%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
50%Goals H2H50%
49%Wins the Game51%

More information

Head-to-headSpennymoor Town – ChesterInjuriesSpennymoor TownInjuriesChesterLive scores

Statistical Context

Spennymoor Town

LWLLL
  • LNov 7, 26A · King's Lynn Town2-0
  • WOct 31, 26H · Chorley2-0
  • LOct 27, 26H · South Shields0-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Darlington 18833-0
  • LOct 17, 26A · Harborough Town3-1

Chester

WLWLW
  • WNov 7, 26A · Brackley Town0-1
  • LOct 31, 26H · Hednesford Town0-1
  • WOct 27, 26H · Marine2-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · South Shields3-1
  • WOct 10, 26H · Bedford Town1-0

Head to Head

1
Spennymoor Town
0
Draws
2
Chester
  • Oct 3, 26Spennymoor Town – Chester4-1
  • Feb 28, 26Chester – Spennymoor Town2-1
  • Jan 20, 26Spennymoor Town – Chester1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Spennymoor TownChester
Played21
Goals Scored82
Goals Conceded11
Avg Scored4.02.0
Avg Conceded0.51.0
Clean Sheets10

Predicted line-ups: Spennymoor Town vs Chester

Predicted XI

Spennymoor Town

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. Ainsley

Chester

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. McCarthy

  1. 51A. Brown
  1. 32Isaac Burgess
  2. 5T. Davies
  3. 5J. Griffin
  4. 30Ben Lomax
  1. 8J. Bainbridge
  2. 31J. Boggan
  3. 4Ma'kel Bogle-Campbell
  1. 9Jefferson Abreu
  2. 9J. Hazel
  3. 7T. Peers
  1. 34K. Foreman
  2. 11J. Mondal
  3. 14F. Nouble
  1. 29M. Dolan
  2. 7M. Heaney
  3. 28Corey McKeown
  1. 6Ben Beals
  2. 2O. Dyson
  3. 4M. Hancox
  4. 25Tyler Hill
  1. 13Ryan Johnson

Bench

  • 3D. Jones
  • 16Ben Pollock
  • 14H. F. Sutcliffe
  • 10R. Ramshaw
  • 5D. Rowe
  • 36Cameron Salkeld
  • 9G. Taylor

Bench

  • 37Luke Hewitson
  • 3Samuel Reed
  • 3Nathan Woodthorpe
  • 20S. Burgess
  • 37Alfie Jones-Mellor
  • 16L. Leigh
  • 24C. Murphy

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Spennymoor Town vs Chester — Match Analysis

Chester are favored at 40% to win away at Spennymoor Town. The draw is rated 28% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

This FA Cup tie between Spennymoor Town and Chester is finely balanced, with the market giving a narrow edge to the visitors. The statistical model leans towards Spennymoor, but the bookmakers see Chester as marginal favourites, so the outcome is far from certain.

Form Analysis: Both sides come into the match in strong form. Spennymoor Town have won all of their last five matches, scoring four goals and keeping one clean sheet. Chester have also won all five, scoring twice and conceding once. The two teams are evenly matched in terms of recent results, though Spennymoor have shown a slightly more potent attack according to the API comparison.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with four wins each and two draws in the last ten meetings. Spennymoor's defensive strength, rated highly by the API, could be crucial, but Chester's overall statistical edge and the market's slight preference for them suggest they may have the upper hand. The weather is expected to be sunny with a minor impact, favouring neither side significantly.

Conclusion: Given the tight nature of the contest, a draw is a real possibility, but the data points towards a narrow victory for Chester. The match could easily swing either way, and a single goal may decide it.

Win Probabilities: Spennymoor Town: 31% · Draw: 28% · Chester: 41%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 59% · Under 2.5: 41% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: Spennymoor Town wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Chester wins: 2

Form (latest first): Spennymoor Town: LWLLL · Chester: WLWLW

  • Ryan Johnson vs A. Brown: The Spennymoor goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Chester's attackers, while Brown's distribution could launch quick counters.
  • Ben Beals vs Isaac Burgess: A midfield duel that could dictate the tempo; Beals' defensive work will be crucial against Burgess' creativity.
  • O. Dyson vs T. Davies: Dyson's attacking threat from defence will test Davies' defensive solidity, and the winner of this battle could swing the match.

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Betting Tips

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