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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Leiston vs Guiseley AFC

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC

Prediction • FA Cup·Leiston·Guiseley AFC

FA Cup
FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026
14:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Leiston

Leiston

Home
VS
VS
Guiseley AFC

Guiseley AFC

Away
Win Probabilities
42%
Leiston
33%
Draw
25%
Guiseley AFC
Home2.3842%
Draw3.0333%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Leiston hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a superior defensive comparison and a perfect home record, though Guiseley's balanced form makes them dangerous. The main risk is Leiston's leaky defence, which could allow Guiseley to snatch a result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Leiston
/10
6.0Guiseley AFC
Leiston
FormLatest first
WWWD
Win Rate75%
Guiseley AFC
FormLatest first
WWWD
Win Rate75%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

12°
Light rain
Wind
33 km/h
Humidity
78%
Rain
0.3 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Leiston
Home

Leiston

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets250%
Goal Diff+8
  • Strong defensive record in comparison data (67% vs 33%)
  • Perfect home record this season (2W-0D-0L)
  • Solid recent form with 75% win rate
Guiseley AFC
Away

Guiseley AFC

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets125%
Goal Diff+5
  • Balanced attack and defence in recent form
  • Better goal difference in last 5 games (+5 vs +8)
  • One clean sheet in last 5 matches

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

Leiston4-3-3vs4-3-3Guiseley AFCPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC4-3-3
LeistonLeiston4-3-3
Guiseley AFCBenchGuiseley AFC0

Lineups will be announced closer to kickoff

LeistonBenchLeiston0

Lineups will be announced closer to kickoff

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Leiston

Confidence

Win Probabilities

42%Leiston
33%Draw
25%Guiseley AFC

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 14:00
League StatsFA Cup
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · LeistonInjuries · Guiseley AFCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Leiston

WWWD
  • WOct 3, 26H · Coventry United3-1
  • WSep 19, 26A · Hitchin Town1-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Grays Athletic5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Grays Athletic0-0

Guiseley AFC

WWWD
  • WOct 3, 26H · Bradford (Park Avenue)1-0
  • WSep 19, 26A · Hebburn Town1-4
  • WSep 8, 26H · Stockton Town2-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Stockton Town2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

LeistonGuiseley AFC
Played44
Goals Scored109
Goals Conceded24
Avg Scored2.52.3
Avg Conceded0.51.0
Clean Sheets21

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Leiston hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a superior defensive comparison and a perfect home record, though Guiseley's balanced form makes them dangerous. The main risk is Leiston's leaky defence, which could allow Guiseley to snatch a result.

Leiston hold a narrow edge in this FA Cup tie, with the statistical model pointing to a home-favoured outcome and the double-chance advice leaning towards Leiston or a draw. The market offers no strong signal, so the model's Poisson-based projection and the team comparison data carry extra weight.…

Win Probabilities: Leiston: 42% · Draw: 33% · Guiseley AFC: 25%

Form (latest first): Leiston: WWWD · Guiseley AFC: WWWD

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