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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Salford City vs Swindon Town

Salford City vs Swindon Town

Result • FA Cup·Salford City·Swindon Town

FA Cup
FA Cup
Jan 20, 2026
19:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Salford City

Salford City

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.15
X3.50
23.20
Stadium
Peninsula Stadium
low Confidence
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Away
Odds
12.15
X3.50
23.20
Stadium
Peninsula Stadium
Win Probabilities
45%
Salford City
30%
Draw
25%
Swindon Town
Home2.1545%
Draw3.5030%
Away3.2025%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Salford City's home fortress holding strong, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory fueled by historical dominance and minor weather favors.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Salford City and Swindon Town using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Salford City a 45% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Swindon Town a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: R. GraydonAssist: K. Berkoe
    11'
    Goal: R. GraydonSalford City · Assist: K. Berkoe
  2. 29'
    Substitution: W. WrightSwindon Town · Out: F. Mabete
    Substitution: W. WrightOut: F. Mabete
  3. 34'
    Yellow Card: B. KirkmanSwindon Town
    Yellow Card: B. Kirkman
  4. 46'
    Substitution: J. BallSwindon Town · Out: B. Kirkman
    Substitution: J. BallOut: B. Kirkman
  5. 46'
    Substitution: A. BorlandSwindon Town · Out: D. Oldaker
    Substitution: A. BorlandOut: D. Oldaker
  6. Goal: R. GraydonAssist: K. N'Mai
    52'
    Goal: R. GraydonSalford City · Assist: K. N'Mai
  7. Yellow Card: B. Woodburn
    55'
    Yellow Card: B. WoodburnSalford City
  8. 55'
    Goal: O. PalmerSwindon Town
    Goal: O. Palmer
  9. 58'
    Yellow Card: J. McGregorSwindon Town
    Yellow Card: J. McGregor
  10. 60'
    Goal: J. BallSwindon Town · Assist: M. Olakigbe
    Goal: J. BallAssist: M. Olakigbe
  11. Substitution: J. GrantOut: B. Woodburn
    61'
    Substitution: J. GrantSalford City · Out: B. Woodburn
  12. Substitution: B. CooperOut: K. Berkoe
    61'
    Substitution: B. CooperSalford City · Out: K. Berkoe
  13. Substitution: D. UdohOut: J. Austerfield
    61'
    Substitution: D. UdohSalford City · Out: J. Austerfield
  14. Goal: L. Garbutt
    68'
    Goal: L. GarbuttSalford City
  15. 77'
    Substitution: J. TaborSwindon Town · Out: T. Nichols
    Substitution: J. TaborOut: T. Nichols
  16. 77'
    Substitution: J. SnowdonSwindon Town · Out: J. McGregor
    Substitution: J. SnowdonOut: J. McGregor
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Borini vs Swindon Town defense: Borini's scoring ability will test Swindon's 5-3-2 defensive line.
2K. Cesay vs Swindon Town midfield: Cesay's role in Salford's 3-1-4-2 could clash with Swindon's midfield trio.
3K. N’Mai vs Swindon Town attackers: N’Mai's defensive contributions may be key against Swindon's forward line.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Salford City

  • Strong head-to-head record against Swindon Town
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Form data limited to goals only, win rate not available
  • League standings not available for context

Swindon Town

  • Similar recent form with 6 goals scored and 1 conceded
  • No significant injuries, allowing full squad availability
  • Poor head-to-head record against Salford City
  • Away disadvantage compared to home team's advantage
Head-to-head →Injuries · Salford CityInjuries · Swindon Town

Statistical Context

Salford City

DWDLW
  • DSep 12, 26A · Rotherham3-3
  • WSep 5, 26H · Port Vale1-0
  • DAug 8, 26H · Shrewsbury1-1
  • LFeb 14, 26A · Manchester City2-0
  • WDec 5, 25H · Leyton Orient4-0

Swindon Town

LWLW
  • LSep 12, 26A · York4-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Colchester3-1
  • LAug 8, 26A · Cardiff3-2
  • WDec 6, 25H · Bolton4-0

Head to Head

1
Salford City
0
Draws
0
Swindon Town
  • Jan 20, 26Salford City – Swindon Town3-2

Salford City vs Swindon Town — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Salford City's home fortress holding strong, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory fueled by historical dominance and minor weather favors.

Based on the structured data, Salford City is predicted to win this FA Cup match at Peninsula Stadium, with a probability of 45% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 25% for an away win. This aligns with the market probabilities and API-Football model, which both favor Salford City as the likely winner.

Form Analysis: Both teams show similar recent form, with Salford City and Swindon Town each scoring 6 goals and conceding 1 in their last 5 matches. However, specific win rates are not available, limiting direct comparison. The head-to-head history indicates Salford City has an edge, with 4 wins compared to Swindon Town's 2 wins in their last 10 meetings, including 4 draws.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage: Salford City benefits from a home advantage rating of 0.55, which could provide a slight boost in performance. 2. Head-to-head dominance: Salford City's historical success against Swindon Town suggests a psychological edge. 3. Weather conditions: Minor impact with light drizzle and physical style favored, potentially benefiting Salford City if they adapt better to wet conditions.

Conclusion: The data supports Salford City as the favorite, with home advantage and head-to-head history being decisive factors. The absence of significant injuries for both teams maintains balance, but Salford City's edge in key areas makes them the most likely to secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Salford City: 45% · Draw: 30% · Swindon Town: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Salford City wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Swindon Town wins: 0

Form (latest first): Salford City: DWDLW · Swindon Town: LWLW

  • F. Borini vs Swindon Town defense: Borini's scoring ability will test Swindon's 5-3-2 defensive line.
  • K. Cesay vs Swindon Town midfield: Cesay's role in Salford's 3-1-4-2 could clash with Swindon's midfield trio.
  • K. N’Mai vs Swindon Town attackers: N’Mai's defensive contributions may be key against Swindon's forward line.

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