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  1. Home
  2. League One
  3. Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon

Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon

Result • League One·Plymouth·AFC Wimbledon

League One
League One
Oct 10, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Plymouth

Plymouth

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.44
X4.20
25.50
Stadium
Home Park
high Confidence
AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Away
Odds
11.44
X4.20
25.50
Stadium
Home Park
Win Probabilities
65%
Plymouth
19%
Draw
16%
AFC Wimbledon
Home1.4465%
Draw4.2019%
Away5.5016%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Plymouth are favoured at 66%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this League One fixture between Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Plymouth a 65% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and AFC Wimbledon a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 49%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 49%

Match Events

  1. 16'
    Goal: Jayden StockleyAFC Wimbledon · Assist: Callum Maycock
    Goal: Jayden StockleyAssist: Callum Maycock
  2. 17'
    Substitution: Freddie SimmondsAFC Wimbledon · Out: Isaac Ogundere
    Substitution: Freddie SimmondsOut: Isaac Ogundere
  3. Goal: Caleb Watts
    25'
    Goal: Caleb WattsPlymouth
  4. Substitution: Matthew SorinolaOut: Joe Edwards
    30'
    Substitution: Matthew SorinolaPlymouth · Out: Joe Edwards
  5. Substitution: Xavier AmaechiOut: Oliver Irow
    65'
    Substitution: Xavier AmaechiPlymouth · Out: Oliver Irow
  6. 76'
    Substitution: Marcus BrowneAFC Wimbledon · Out: Callum Maycock
    Substitution: Marcus BrowneOut: Callum Maycock
  7. 77'
    Substitution: Zack NelsonAFC Wimbledon · Out: Ollie Harrison
    Substitution: Zack NelsonOut: Ollie Harrison
  8. Substitution: Tyreeq BakinsonOut: Caleb Watts
    77'
    Substitution: Tyreeq BakinsonPlymouth · Out: Caleb Watts
  9. Substitution: Alex·HartridgeOut: Wes Harding
    78'
    Substitution: Alex·HartridgePlymouth · Out: Wes Harding
  10. 90+1'
    Substitution: Steven SessegnonAFC Wimbledon · Out: Aron Sasu
    Substitution: Steven SessegnonOut: Aron Sasu
  11. Goal: Xavier AmaechiAssist: Alex·Hartridge
    90+5'
    Goal: Xavier AmaechiPlymouth · Assist: Alex·Hartridge
  12. Yellow Card: Xavier Amaechi
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: Xavier AmaechiPlymouth
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Plymouth 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-1chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League One predicted line-ups: Gameweek 86/12Head-to-headPlymouth – AFC WimbledonInjuriesPlymouthInjuriesAFC WimbledonLive scores

Statistical Context

Plymouth

DWLLW
  • DOct 31, 26H · Reading0-0
  • WOct 24, 26A · Cambridge United2-3
  • LOct 20, 26A · Stevenage3-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Huddersfield0-2
  • WOct 3, 26A · Leyton Orient0-2

AFC Wimbledon

LDLLD
  • LOct 31, 26A · Stockport County2-1
  • DOct 24, 26H · Wycombe1-1
  • LOct 20, 26H · Mansfield Town0-3
  • LOct 17, 26A · Sheffield Wednesday5-0
  • DSep 26, 26A · Cambridge United1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Luton13+623WWWWL
5Plymouth14+223DWLLW
6Reading13+1222DWWLW
17Notts County12-114WDWLL
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213LDLLL
19Doncaster13-812LLWLL

Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon — Match Analysis

Plymouth are favoured at 66%; our projected score is 1-0.

Plymouth host AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Plymouth the favourite at 66%, with the draw at 19% and AFC Wimbledon at 15%.

Form and league position

Plymouth sit 1st of 24 with 16 points from 9 games (16 scored, 11 conceded), recent form W-W-W-L-W. AFC Wimbledon sit 9th of 24 with 12 points from 8 games (6 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-W-W-D-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.0, about 2.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Plymouth at 1.47, the draw at 4.30 and AFC Wimbledon at 6.20; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Plymouth to win (66%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Plymouth: 65% · Draw: 19% · AFC Wimbledon: 16%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 43% · Under 2.5: 57% · BTTS: 49%

Form (latest first): Plymouth: DWLLW · AFC Wimbledon: LDLLD

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League One

League One

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League OneEngland
Huddersfield
Nov 319:45
Luton
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
League OneEngland
Oxford United
Nov 419:45
Reading
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
League OneEngland
Leicester
Nov 1415:00
Bradford
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
League OneEngland
Wigan
Nov 1415:00
Barnsley
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
League OneEngland
Sheffield Wednesday
Nov 1415:00
Plymouth
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
League OneEngland
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 1415:00
Blackpool
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
League OneEngland
Milton Keynes Dons
Nov 1415:00
Burton Albion
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
League OneEngland
Peterborough
Nov 1415:00
Oxford United
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
League OneEngland
Doncaster
Nov 1415:00
Leyton Orient
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
League OneEngland
Wycombe
Nov 1415:00
Huddersfield
13.4529%
X4.3523%
22.0848%
League OneEngland
Luton
Nov 1415:00
Cambridge United
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
League OneEngland
Stevenage
Nov 1415:00
Mansfield Town
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
League OneEngland
Bromley
Nov 1415:00
Notts County
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
League OneEngland
Stockport County
Nov 1415:00
Reading
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
League OneEngland
Barnsley
Nov 2020:00
Sheffield Wednesday
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%

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