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  1. Home
  2. League One
  3. Stevenage vs Luton

Stevenage vs Luton

Result • League One·Stevenage·Luton

League One
League One
Sep 10, 2026
19:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Stevenage

Stevenage

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.05
X3.40
22.24
Stadium
SPORTA Arena
low Confidence
Luton

Luton

Away
Odds
13.05
X3.40
22.24
Stadium
SPORTA Arena
Win Probabilities
33%
Stevenage
27%
Draw
40%
Luton
Home3.0533%
Draw3.4027%
Away2.2440%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Luton are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this League One fixture between Stevenage and Luton using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Stevenage a 33% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Luton a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 72%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 72%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Daniel Phillips
    4'
    Yellow Card: Daniel PhillipsStevenage
  2. Goal: Daniel Kemp
    23'
    Goal: Daniel KempStevenage
  3. 24'
    Red Card: Jack WilshereLuton
    Red Card: Jack Wilshere
  4. Yellow Card: Lewis Freestone
    26'
    Yellow Card: Lewis FreestoneStevenage
  5. 30'
    Yellow Card: Liam WalshLuton
    Yellow Card: Liam Walsh
  6. Yellow Card: Daniel Kemp
    44'
    Yellow Card: Daniel KempStevenage
  7. Substitution: Ben BroggioOut: Jordan Roberts
    56'
    Substitution: Ben BroggioStevenage · Out: Jordan Roberts
  8. 58'
    Substitution: Kasey PalmerLuton · Out: Gideon kadua
    Substitution: Kasey PalmerOut: Gideon kadua
  9. 58'
    Substitution: Jake RichardsLuton · Out: Jamie Donley
    Substitution: Jake RichardsOut: Jamie Donley
  10. 66'
    Substitution: Nahki WellsLuton · Out: Callum Marshall
    Substitution: Nahki WellsOut: Callum Marshall
  11. Goal: Josh Magennis
    70'
    Goal: Josh MagennisStevenage
  12. 75'
    Goal: Mads Juel AndersenLuton · Assist: Kasey Palmer
    Goal: Mads Juel AndersenAssist: Kasey Palmer
  13. Substitution: Saxon EarleyOut: O. Sanderson
    76'
    Substitution: Saxon EarleyStevenage · Out: O. Sanderson
  14. Substitution: Michael MellonOut: Josh Magennis
    76'
    Substitution: Michael MellonStevenage · Out: Josh Magennis
  15. Substitution: Jordan HoughtonOut: Daniel Kemp
    76'
    Substitution: Jordan HoughtonStevenage · Out: Daniel Kemp
  16. Yellow Card: Saxon Earley
    80'
    Yellow Card: Saxon EarleyStevenage
  17. 84'
    Substitution: Tudor Mendel-IdowuLuton · Out: Hakeem Odofin
    Substitution: Tudor Mendel-IdowuOut: Hakeem Odofin
  18. Substitution: Matthew SmithOut: Daniel Phillips
    85'
    Substitution: Matthew SmithStevenage · Out: Daniel Phillips
  19. Yellow Card: Luther Wildin
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: Luther WildinStevenage
  20. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: Mads Juel AndersenLuton
    Yellow Card: Mads Juel Andersen
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League One predicted line-ups: Gameweek 86/12Head-to-headStevenage – LutonInjuriesStevenageInjuriesLutonLive scores

Statistical Context

Stevenage

LWLWL
  • LOct 24, 26H · Milton Keynes Dons0-1
  • WOct 20, 26H · Plymouth3-0
  • LOct 17, 26A · Bradford2-0
  • WOct 10, 26H · Wigan1-0
  • LSep 19, 26A · Leyton Orient1-0

Luton

WWWLW
  • WOct 27, 26H · Doncaster3-1
  • WOct 24, 26H · Leicester2-1
  • WOct 20, 26H · Barnsley2-1
  • LOct 17, 26A · Milton Keynes Dons2-1
  • WOct 10, 26A · Wycombe1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Cambridge United13+321DLDWW
8Luton12+420WWWLW
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819DLLWD
10Mansfield Town11+418WWDWD
11Leicester12+318WLWWL
12Burton Albion13-117WDDLL
13Stevenage11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes Dons12-315WWLWL

Season Statistics — 2026

StevenageLuton
Played1—
Goals Scored2—
Goals Conceded1—
Avg Scored2.0—
Avg Conceded1.0—
Clean Sheets0—

Stevenage vs Luton — Match Analysis

Luton are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-2.

Stevenage host Luton in the League One on Thursday, 10 September 2026. Our model makes Luton the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Stevenage at 32%.

Form and league position

Stevenage sit 16th of 24 with 6 points from 5 games (9 scored, 6 conceded), recent form L-W-L-W. Luton sit 7th of 24 with 8 points from 5 games (11 scored, 11 conceded), recent form W-D-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.8–1.9, about 3.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 72%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Stevenage at 3.20, the draw at 3.45 and Luton at 2.24; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Luton to win (41%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Stevenage: 33% · Draw: 27% · Luton: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 72% · Under 2.5: 28% · BTTS: 72%

Form (latest first): Stevenage: LWLWL · Luton: WWWLW

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League One

League One

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League OneEngland
Bradford
Oct 3112:30
Huddersfield
12.3343%
X3.8526%
23.2331%
League OneEngland
Plymouth
Oct 3112:30
Reading
12.3343%
X3.8526%
23.2331%
League OneEngland
Leyton Orient
Oct 3112:30
Cambridge United
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
League OneEngland
Leicester
Oct 3115:00
Stevenage
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
League OneEngland
Wigan
Oct 3115:00
Bromley
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
League OneEngland
Barnsley
Oct 3115:00
Oxford United
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
League OneEngland
Milton Keynes Dons
Oct 3115:00
Doncaster
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
League OneEngland
Peterborough
Oct 3115:00
Luton
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
League OneEngland
Wycombe
Oct 3115:00
Burton Albion
11.6461%
X4.7621%
25.5618%
League OneEngland
Mansfield Town
Oct 3115:00
Notts County
11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
League OneEngland
Stockport County
Oct 3115:00
AFC Wimbledon
11.2878%
X7.1414%
212.508%
League OneEngland
Sheffield Wednesday
Nov 114:00
Blackpool
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
League OneEngland
Huddersfield
Nov 319:45
Luton
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
League OneEngland
Oxford United
Nov 419:45
Reading
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
League OneEngland
Leicester
Nov 1415:00
Bradford
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%

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