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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Accrington ST vs Gillingham

Accrington ST vs Gillingham

Result • League Two·Accrington ST·Gillingham

League Two
League Two
Oct 17, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Accrington ST

Accrington ST

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.25
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
The Crown Ground
low Confidence
Gillingham

Gillingham

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
The Crown Ground
Win Probabilities
40%
Accrington ST
26%
Draw
34%
Gillingham
Home2.2540%
Draw3.3026%
Away2.9034%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

Accrington ST are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Accrington ST and Gillingham using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Accrington ST a 40% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Gillingham a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 54%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 54%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Devon matthews
    6'
    Yellow Card: Devon matthewsAccrington ST
  2. Goal: Stefan Mols
    11'
    Goal: Stefan MolsAccrington ST
  3. Yellow Card: Donald Love
    19'
    Yellow Card: Donald LoveAccrington ST
  4. 21'
    Yellow Card: Harry WaldockGillingham
    Yellow Card: Harry Waldock
  5. Goal: Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols
    28'
    Goal: Josh WoodsAccrington ST · Assist: Stefan Mols
  6. 31'
    Own goal: Devon matthews (Own goal)Gillingham
    Own goal: Devon matthews (Own goal)
  7. 33'
    Yellow Card: Armani LittleGillingham
    Yellow Card: Armani Little
  8. 54'
    Substitution: Jack DaleyGillingham · Out: Logan Dobbs
    Substitution: Jack DaleyOut: Logan Dobbs
  9. 55'
    Substitution: Ethan·ColemanGillingham · Out: Harry Waldock
    Substitution: Ethan·ColemanOut: Harry Waldock
  10. 55'
    Substitution: Tom EavesGillingham · Out: Armani Little
    Substitution: Tom EavesOut: Armani Little
  11. Goal: Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols
    66'
    Goal: Josh WoodsAccrington ST · Assist: Stefan Mols
  12. 70'
    Substitution: Garath McClearyGillingham · Out: Andy Smith
    Substitution: Garath McClearyOut: Andy Smith
  13. 70'
    Substitution: Bradley DackGillingham · Out: Lamin Sillah
    Substitution: Bradley DackOut: Lamin Sillah
  14. Substitution: Conor GrantOut: Charlie Warren
    76'
    Substitution: Conor GrantAccrington ST · Out: Charlie Warren
  15. 79'
    Yellow Card: Ronan Chapman HaleGillingham
    Yellow Card: Ronan Chapman Hale
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Accrington ST 3-1 Gillingham
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-1chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAccrington ST – GillinghamInjuriesAccrington STInjuriesGillinghamLive scores

Statistical Context

Accrington ST

DWDDW
  • DOct 31, 26H · Northampton1-1
  • WOct 24, 26A · Rochdale0-5
  • DOct 20, 26A · York1-1
  • DOct 10, 26A · Oldham0-0
  • WOct 3, 26H · Cheltenham2-0

Gillingham

WLDWD
  • WOct 31, 26A · Shrewsbury1-2
  • LOct 24, 26H · Grimsby1-4
  • DOct 20, 26H · Port Vale1-1
  • WOct 10, 26A · Rotherham1-4
  • DOct 3, 26H · Newport County0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7York14+320LLWDD
8Gillingham14+120WLDLW
9Accrington ST14+619DWDWD
10Chesterfield14+319LWDLD

Accrington ST vs Gillingham — Match Analysis

Accrington ST are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Accrington ST host Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 26% and Gillingham at 34%.

Form and league position

Accrington ST sit 15th of 24 with 11 points from 10 games (13 scored, 14 conceded), recent form L-D-D-W-D. Gillingham sit 4th of 24 with 16 points from 10 games (15 scored, 10 conceded), recent form W-W-L-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.3, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 54%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Accrington ST at 2.27, the draw at 3.45 and Gillingham at 2.92; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Accrington ST to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Accrington ST: 40% · Draw: 26% · Gillingham: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 54%

Form (latest first): Accrington ST: DWDDW · Gillingham: WLDWD

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Bristol Rovers
Nov 1415:00
Chesterfield
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Rochdale
Nov 1415:00
York
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Walsall
Nov 1415:00
Barnet
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Nov 1415:00
Accrington ST
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Nov 1415:00
Oldham
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Nov 1415:00
Grimsby
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Nov 1415:00
Gillingham
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Nov 1415:00
Newport County
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Nov 1415:00
Northampton
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Nov 1417:30
Tranmere
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
League TwoEngland
Gillingham
Nov 2112:30
Crewe
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Nov 2112:30
Swindon Town
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 2115:00
Rochdale
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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