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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City

Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City

Result • League Two·Bristol Rovers·Exeter City

League Two
League Two
Sep 26, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.67
X4.00
24.00
Stadium
Memorial Stadium
high Confidence
Exeter City

Exeter City

Away
Odds
11.67
X4.00
24.00
Stadium
Memorial Stadium
Win Probabilities
64%
Bristol Rovers
18%
Draw
18%
Exeter City
Home1.6764%
Draw4.0018%
Away4.0018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Bristol Rovers are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bristol Rovers a 64% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and Exeter City a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 39'
    Yellow Card: Gwion EdwardsExeter City
    Yellow Card: Gwion Edwards
  2. Yellow Card: Steve Evans
    40'
    Yellow Card: Steve EvansBristol Rovers
  3. Yellow Card: Ellis Harrison
    60'
    Yellow Card: Ellis HarrisonBristol Rovers
  4. Substitution: Reiss-Alexander Russell-DennyOut: Shaqai Forde
    64'
    Substitution: Reiss-Alexander Russell-DennyBristol Rovers · Out: Shaqai Forde
  5. Goal: Fabrizio CavegnAssist: Alfie Kilgour
    66'
    Goal: Fabrizio CavegnBristol Rovers · Assist: Alfie Kilgour
  6. 68'
    Substitution: Andrew Jose OluwaboriExeter City · Out: Jack Paul Taylor
    Substitution: Andrew Jose OluwaboriOut: Jack Paul Taylor
  7. 77'
    Substitution: George BirchExeter City · Out: Gwion Edwards
    Substitution: George BirchOut: Gwion Edwards
  8. Substitution: Joe QuigleyOut: Ellis Harrison
    79'
    Substitution: Joe QuigleyBristol Rovers · Out: Ellis Harrison
  9. 85'
    Substitution: Josh GordonExeter City · Out: Jake Doyle Hayes
    Substitution: Josh GordonOut: Jake Doyle Hayes
  10. Substitution: Bobby KamwaOut: Fabrizio Cavegn
    89'
    Substitution: Bobby KamwaBristol Rovers · Out: Fabrizio Cavegn
  11. Substitution: Ben PurringtonOut: Jack Sparkes
    90'
    Substitution: Ben PurringtonBristol Rovers · Out: Jack Sparkes
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League Two predicted line-ups: Gameweek 99/12Head-to-headBristol Rovers – Exeter CityInjuriesBristol RoversInjuriesExeter CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Bristol Rovers

LDLLL
  • LOct 31, 26A · Fleetwood Town3-1
  • DOct 24, 26H · Swindon Town0-0
  • LOct 20, 26H · Salford City1-2
  • LOct 17, 26A · Shrewsbury1-0
  • LOct 10, 26H · Barnet1-3

Exeter City

LWWDW
  • LOct 31, 26A · Salford City2-1
  • WOct 24, 26H · Fleetwood Town2-1
  • WOct 20, 26H · Crewe2-0
  • DOct 17, 26A · Colchester0-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · Shrewsbury0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Tranmere14+219WDWLD
12Exeter City14+219LWWDW
13Swindon Town14-219WDWDL
14Newport County14+318WLDDW
15Shrewsbury14-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood Town14017WLLWD
17Bristol Rovers14-616LDLLL
18Port Vale12-415WLDWW

Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City — Match Analysis

Bristol Rovers are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Bristol Rovers host Exeter City in the League Two on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Exeter City at 17%.

Form and league position

Bristol Rovers sit 6th of 24 with 12 points from 7 games (12 scored, 11 conceded), recent form L-L-W-L-L. Exeter City sit 20th of 24 with 6 points from 7 games (4 scored, 5 conceded), recent form L-L-D-L-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.0, about 2.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Bristol Rovers at 1.67, the draw at 4.05 and Exeter City at 4.45; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Bristol Rovers to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Bristol Rovers: 64% · Draw: 18% · Exeter City: 18%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

Form (latest first): Bristol Rovers: LDLLL · Exeter City: LWWDW

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Bristol Rovers
Nov 1415:00
Chesterfield
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Rochdale
Nov 1415:00
York
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Walsall
Nov 1415:00
Barnet
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Nov 1415:00
Accrington ST
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Nov 1415:00
Oldham
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Nov 1415:00
Grimsby
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Nov 1415:00
Gillingham
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Nov 1415:00
Newport County
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Nov 1415:00
Northampton
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Nov 1417:30
Tranmere
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
League TwoEngland
Gillingham
Nov 2112:30
Crewe
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Nov 2112:30
Swindon Town
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 2115:00
Rochdale
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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