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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers

Result • League Two·Grimsby·Bristol Rovers

League Two
League Two
Sep 12, 2026
11:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Grimsby

Grimsby

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.62
Stadium
Blundell Park
low Confidence
Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.62
Stadium
Blundell Park
Win Probabilities
40%
Grimsby
26%
Draw
34%
Bristol Rovers
Home2.4040%
Draw3.4026%
Away2.6234%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Grimsby are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Grimsby and Bristol Rovers using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Grimsby a 40% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Bristol Rovers a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Yellow Card: Ben PurringtonBristol Rovers
    Yellow Card: Ben Purrington
  2. Goal: Kieran Green
    22'
    Goal: Kieran GreenGrimsby
  3. 26'
    Substitution: Ciaran KellyBristol Rovers · Out: Riley Harbottle
    Substitution: Ciaran KellyOut: Riley Harbottle
  4. 38'
    Yellow Card: Shaqai FordeBristol Rovers
    Yellow Card: Shaqai Forde
  5. Goal: Géza Dávid TuriAssist: Charles Vernam
    40'
    Goal: Géza Dávid TuriGrimsby · Assist: Charles Vernam
  6. 45'
    Substitution: Jack AitchisonBristol Rovers · Out: Bobby Kamwa
    Substitution: Jack AitchisonOut: Bobby Kamwa
  7. 45'
    Substitution: Joe QuigleyBristol Rovers · Out: Fabrizio Cavegn
    Substitution: Joe QuigleyOut: Fabrizio Cavegn
  8. 45'
    Substitution: Ellis HarrisonBristol Rovers · Out: Shaqai Forde
    Substitution: Ellis HarrisonOut: Shaqai Forde
  9. Yellow Card: Kieran Green
    64'
    Yellow Card: Kieran GreenGrimsby
  10. 64'
    Yellow Card: Kofi BalmerBristol Rovers
    Yellow Card: Kofi Balmer
  11. Substitution: Edon PrutiOut: Harvey Rodgers
    68'
    Substitution: Edon PrutiGrimsby · Out: Harvey Rodgers
  12. Yellow Card: Charles Vernam
    71'
    Yellow Card: Charles VernamGrimsby
  13. Substitution: Iwan MorganOut: Andy Cook
    74'
    Substitution: Iwan MorganGrimsby · Out: Andy Cook
  14. Substitution: Finn CartwrightOut: Charles Vernam
    74'
    Substitution: Finn CartwrightGrimsby · Out: Charles Vernam
  15. 75'
    Red Card: Tommy LeighBristol Rovers
    Red Card: Tommy Leigh
  16. 78'
    Substitution: Reiss-Alexander Russell-DennyBristol Rovers · Out: Richard Smallwood
    Substitution: Reiss-Alexander Russell-DennyOut: Richard Smallwood
  17. Substitution: Ryley ReynoldsOut: Sonny Finch
    88'
    Substitution: Ryley ReynoldsGrimsby · Out: Sonny Finch
  18. Substitution: Cian DoyleOut: Mark Shelton
    88'
    Substitution: Cian DoyleGrimsby · Out: Mark Shelton
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League Two predicted line-ups: Gameweek 99/12Head-to-headGrimsby – Bristol RoversInjuriesGrimsbyInjuriesBristol RoversLive scores

Statistical Context

Grimsby

WDLLL
  • WOct 24, 26A · Gillingham1-4
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rochdale2-2
  • LOct 17, 26H · Northampton0-2
  • LOct 10, 26A · Port Vale1-0
  • LOct 3, 26H · Shrewsbury1-2

Bristol Rovers

DLLLL
  • DOct 24, 26H · Swindon Town0-0
  • LOct 20, 26H · Salford City1-2
  • LOct 17, 26A · Shrewsbury1-0
  • LOct 10, 26H · Barnet1-3
  • LOct 3, 26A · Crewe3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Shrewsbury13-418DWWLW
11Grimsby13+317WDLLL
12Gillingham13017LDLWD
13Tranmere13016DWLDL
14Swindon Town13-316DWDLL
15Bristol Rovers13-416DLLLL
16Newport County13015LDDWD

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers — Match Analysis

Grimsby are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

Grimsby host Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 26% and Bristol Rovers at 34%.

Form and league position

Grimsby sit 11th of 24 with 7 points from 5 games (7 scored, 6 conceded), recent form W-W-L-L-D. Bristol Rovers sit 1st of 24 with 12 points from 5 games (12 scored, 6 conceded), recent form W-L-L-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.5, about 3.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Grimsby at 2.26, the draw at 3.52 and Bristol Rovers at 2.89; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Grimsby to win (40%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Grimsby: 40% · Draw: 26% · Bristol Rovers: 34%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 59% · Under 2.5: 41% · BTTS: 63%

Form (latest first): Grimsby: WDLLL · Bristol Rovers: DLLLL

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Oct 3019:45
Chesterfield
14.3523%
X4.0025%
21.9252%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Oct 3112:30
Rochdale
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Grimsby
Oct 3112:30
York
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Oct 3115:00
Bristol Rovers
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
League TwoEngland
Oldham
Oct 3115:00
Crawley Town
11.7258%
X4.7621%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Oct 3115:00
Gillingham
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Oct 3115:00
Rotherham
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Accrington ST
Oct 3115:00
Northampton
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Oct 3115:00
Walsall
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Oct 3115:00
Barnet
13.4529%
X3.8526%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Tranmere
Oct 3115:00
Cheltenham
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Oct 3115:00
Exeter City
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 319:45
Oldham
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

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