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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Newport County vs Colchester

Newport County vs Colchester

Result • League Two·Newport County·Colchester

League Two
League Two
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Newport County

Newport County

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.60
X3.30
22.45
Stadium
Rodney Parade
low Confidence
Colchester

Colchester

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.30
22.45
Stadium
Rodney Parade
Win Probabilities
34%
Newport County
26%
Draw
40%
Colchester
Home2.6034%
Draw3.3026%
Away2.4540%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Colchester are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Newport County and Colchester using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Newport County a 34% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Colchester a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: Yahya BambaOut: Christian Doidge
    9'
    Substitution: Yahya BambaNewport County · Out: Christian Doidge
  2. 40'
    Yellow Card: Jay WilliamsColchester
    Yellow Card: Jay Williams
  3. 48'
    Yellow Card: Beryly LubalaColchester
    Yellow Card: Beryly Lubala
  4. 58'
    Substitution: Robert Donald HuntColchester · Out: Samuel Kuffour Jr.
    Substitution: Robert Donald HuntOut: Samuel Kuffour Jr.
  5. 66'
    Substitution: ronnie harveyColchester · Out: Beryly Lubala
    Substitution: ronnie harveyOut: Beryly Lubala
  6. 66'
    Substitution: Bradley ihionveinColchester · Out: Oscar thorn
    Substitution: Bradley ihionveinOut: Oscar thorn
  7. Substitution: Tanatswa NyakuhwaOut: Michael Adu-Poku
    71'
    Substitution: Tanatswa NyakuhwaNewport County · Out: Michael Adu-Poku
  8. Substitution: Gerard GarnerOut: Shaquille Gwengwe
    72'
    Substitution: Gerard GarnerNewport County · Out: Shaquille Gwengwe
  9. 76'
    Yellow Card: Bradley ihionveinColchester
    Yellow Card: Bradley ihionvein
  10. Goal: Tanatswa NyakuhwaAssist: Matty Jacobs
    79'
    Goal: Tanatswa NyakuhwaNewport County · Assist: Matty Jacobs
  11. 84'
    Substitution: Kien ConnellyColchester · Out: Paul Digby
    Substitution: Kien ConnellyOut: Paul Digby
  12. Substitution: Matthew SmithOut: Harrison Biggins
    85'
    Substitution: Matthew SmithNewport County · Out: Harrison Biggins
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League Two predicted line-ups: Gameweek 99/12Head-to-headNewport County – ColchesterInjuriesNewport CountyInjuriesColchesterLive scores

Statistical Context

Newport County

LDDDW
  • LOct 24, 26A · Cheltenham1-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rotherham2-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · York1-1
  • DOct 3, 26A · Gillingham0-0
  • WSep 26, 26H · Grimsby2-1

Colchester

LDDDD
  • LOct 24, 26A · Northampton2-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Chesterfield1-1
  • DOct 17, 26H · Exeter City0-0
  • DSep 26, 26A · Shrewsbury2-2
  • DSep 19, 26H · Cheltenham1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
15Bristol Rovers13-416DLLLL
16Newport County13015LDDWD
17Rochdale13-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood Town13-214LLWDL
19Northampton11013WLWDL
20Oldham12-412DLWDL
21Colchester12-512LDDLD
22Rotherham13-612DDLLL

Newport County vs Colchester — Match Analysis

Colchester are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-2.

Newport County host Colchester in the League Two on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Colchester the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 27% and Newport County at 34%.

Form and league position

Newport County sit 15th of 24 with 10 points from 9 games (12 scored, 12 conceded), recent form L-D-D-W-D. Colchester sit 19th of 24 with 10 points from 8 games (10 scored, 12 conceded), recent form L-L-D-D-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.4, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Newport County at 2.67, the draw at 3.35 and Colchester at 2.50; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Colchester to win (39%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Newport County: 34% · Draw: 26% · Colchester: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 57%

Form (latest first): Newport County: LDDDW · Colchester: LDDDD

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Oct 3019:45
Chesterfield
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Oct 3112:30
Rochdale
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Grimsby
Oct 3112:30
York
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Oct 3115:00
Bristol Rovers
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
League TwoEngland
Oldham
Oct 3115:00
Crawley Town
11.7258%
X4.7621%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Oct 3115:00
Gillingham
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Oct 3115:00
Rotherham
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Accrington ST
Oct 3115:00
Northampton
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Oct 3115:00
Walsall
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Oct 3115:00
Barnet
13.4529%
X3.8526%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Tranmere
Oct 3115:00
Cheltenham
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Oct 3115:00
Exeter City
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 319:45
Oldham
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

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