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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Crewe vs Rochdale

Crewe vs Rochdale

Result • League Two·Crewe·Rochdale

League Two
League Two
Oct 17, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Crewe

Crewe

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.85
X3.40
23.80
Stadium
Alexandra Stadium
medium Confidence
Rochdale

Rochdale

Away
Odds
11.85
X3.40
23.80
Stadium
Alexandra Stadium
Win Probabilities
52%
Crewe
25%
Draw
23%
Rochdale
Home1.8552%
Draw3.4025%
Away3.8023%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Crewe are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Crewe and Rochdale using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Crewe a 52% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Rochdale a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 44%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 44%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Matúš HolíčekAssist: Jordan Gibson
    39'
    Goal: Matúš HolíčekCrewe · Assist: Jordan Gibson
  2. Goal: Jordan GibsonAssist: Owen lunt
    45'
    Goal: Jordan GibsonCrewe · Assist: Owen lunt
  3. Substitution: Conor ThomasOut: Matúš Holíček
    45'
    Substitution: Conor ThomasCrewe · Out: Matúš Holíček
  4. Yellow Card: Joe White
    50'
    Yellow Card: Joe WhiteCrewe
  5. Goal: Jordan GibsonAssist: Kyle Ure
    55'
    Goal: Jordan GibsonCrewe · Assist: Kyle Ure
  6. Substitution: Calum·AgiusOut: Joe White
    60'
    Substitution: Calum·AgiusCrewe · Out: Joe White
  7. 63'
    Substitution: Emmanuel DieseruvweRochdale · Out: Dajaune Brown
    Substitution: Emmanuel DieseruvweOut: Dajaune Brown
  8. 63'
    Substitution: Edward FrancisRochdale · Out: Cian Hayes
    Substitution: Edward FrancisOut: Cian Hayes
  9. 63'
    Substitution: sam beckwithRochdale · Out: Charlie Tasker
    Substitution: sam beckwithOut: Charlie Tasker
  10. 65'
    Own goal: Joel Tabiner (Own goal)Rochdale
    Own goal: Joel Tabiner (Own goal)
  11. Substitution: Stan DanceyOut: Jordan Gibson
    75'
    Substitution: Stan DanceyCrewe · Out: Jordan Gibson
  12. Substitution: Reece HutchinsonOut: Kyle Ure
    75'
    Substitution: Reece HutchinsonCrewe · Out: Kyle Ure
  13. Substitution: Adrien thibautOut: Joel Tabiner
    75'
    Substitution: Adrien thibautCrewe · Out: Joel Tabiner
  14. 79'
    Substitution: Zain Silcott-DuberryRochdale · Out: Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
    Substitution: Zain Silcott-DuberryOut: Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
  15. 90'
    Goal: Aden FlintRochdale · Assist: Edward Francis
    Goal: Aden FlintAssist: Edward Francis
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 6.0 – 4.1Real 1 – 7Crewe more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 10.1Real 8chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 2.9Real 1Over 1.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 4.9 – 3.3Real 4 – 3Crewe more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 15.1 – 12.4Real 10 – 15chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headCrewe – RochdaleInjuriesCreweInjuriesRochdaleLive scores

Statistical Context

Crewe

WDLLW
  • WNov 7, 26H · AFC Wimbledon2-1
  • DOct 31, 26H · Barnet1-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Chesterfield5-1
  • LOct 20, 26A · Exeter City2-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · Swindon Town0-1

Rochdale

WLLDD
  • WNov 7, 26A · Fleetwood Town1-2
  • LOct 31, 26A · Port Vale4-2
  • LOct 24, 26H · Accrington ST0-5
  • DOct 20, 26H · Grimsby2-2
  • DOct 10, 26A · Tranmere1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Walsall13+922WLWDD
4Crewe14022DLLWW
5Cheltenham14-221LWWLL
19Port Vale12-415WLDWW
20Rochdale14-915LLDLD
21Northampton13-114LDWLW

Crewe vs Rochdale — Match Analysis

Crewe are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Crewe host Rochdale in the League Two on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model makes Crewe the favourite at 53%, with the draw at 24% and Rochdale at 23%.

Form and league position

Crewe sit 3rd of 24 with 18 points from 10 games (12 scored, 7 conceded), recent form D-D-D-W-W. Rochdale sit 10th of 24 with 14 points from 10 games (11 scored, 12 conceded), recent form D-W-W-W-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–0.9, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Crewe at 1.87, the draw at 3.60 and Rochdale at 3.95; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Crewe to win (53%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Crewe: 52% · Draw: 25% · Rochdale: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 36% · Under 2.5: 64% · BTTS: 44%

Form (latest first): Crewe: WDLLW · Rochdale: WLLDD

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
12.0050%
X4.0025%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Bristol Rovers
Nov 1415:00
Chesterfield
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rochdale
Nov 1415:00
York
13.8526%
X4.0025%
22.0449%
League TwoEngland
Walsall
Nov 1415:00
Barnet
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Nov 1415:00
Accrington ST
12.1347%
X3.5728%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Nov 1415:00
Oldham
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Nov 1415:00
Grimsby
13.4529%
X3.8526%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Nov 1415:00
Gillingham
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Nov 1415:00
Newport County
12.0449%
X4.0025%
23.8526%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Nov 1415:00
Northampton
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Nov 1417:30
Tranmere
12.2744%
X3.7027%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Gillingham
Nov 2112:30
Crewe
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Nov 2112:30
Swindon Town
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 2115:00
Rochdale
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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