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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Gillingham vs Newport County

Gillingham vs Newport County

Result • League Two·Gillingham·Newport County

League Two
League Two
Oct 3, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Gillingham

Gillingham

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.00
X3.40
23.30
Stadium
Priestfield Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Newport County

Newport County

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.40
23.30
Stadium
Priestfield Stadium
Win Probabilities
50%
Gillingham
24%
Draw
26%
Newport County
Home2.0050%
Draw3.4024%
Away3.3026%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Gillingham are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Gillingham and Newport County using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Gillingham a 50% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Newport County a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Ronan Chapman Hale
    14'
    Yellow Card: Ronan Chapman HaleGillingham
  2. Yellow Card: Lamin Sillah
    15'
    Yellow Card: Lamin SillahGillingham
  3. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: Harrison BigginsNewport County
    Yellow Card: Harrison Biggins
  4. Substitution: Tom EavesOut: Lamin Sillah
    63'
    Substitution: Tom EavesGillingham · Out: Lamin Sillah
  5. 70'
    Yellow Card: Cameron NormanNewport County
    Yellow Card: Cameron Norman
  6. Yellow Card: Logan Dobbs
    72'
    Yellow Card: Logan DobbsGillingham
  7. Substitution: Jack DaleyOut: Logan Dobbs
    74'
    Substitution: Jack DaleyGillingham · Out: Logan Dobbs
  8. Substitution: S. KendallOut: Garath McCleary
    74'
    Substitution: S. KendallGillingham · Out: Garath McCleary
  9. 76'
    Substitution: Yahya BambaNewport County · Out: Michael Adu-Poku
    Substitution: Yahya BambaOut: Michael Adu-Poku
  10. Yellow Card: Jack Daley
    79'
    Yellow Card: Jack DaleyGillingham
  11. 83'
    Substitution: Gerard GarnerNewport County · Out: Christian Doidge
    Substitution: Gerard GarnerOut: Christian Doidge
  12. Substitution: Armani LittleOut: Harry Waldock
    86'
    Substitution: Armani LittleGillingham · Out: Harry Waldock
  13. Substitution: Bradley DackOut: Ronan Chapman Hale
    86'
    Substitution: Bradley DackGillingham · Out: Ronan Chapman Hale
  14. 90+6'
    Substitution: Aaron LewisNewport County · Out: Harrison Biggins
    Substitution: Aaron LewisOut: Harrison Biggins
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League Two predicted line-ups: Gameweek 99/12Head-to-headGillingham – Newport CountyInjuriesGillinghamInjuriesNewport CountyLive scores

Statistical Context

Gillingham

LDLWL
  • LOct 24, 26H · Grimsby1-4
  • DOct 20, 26H · Port Vale1-1
  • LOct 17, 26A · Accrington ST3-1
  • WOct 10, 26A · Rotherham1-4
  • LSep 26, 26A · York3-0

Newport County

LDDWW
  • LOct 24, 26A · Cheltenham1-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rotherham2-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · York1-1
  • WOct 10, 26H · Colchester1-0
  • WSep 26, 26H · Grimsby2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Grimsby13+317WDLLL
12Gillingham13017LDLWD
13Tranmere13016DWLDL
14Swindon Town13-316DWDLL
15Bristol Rovers13-416DLLLL
16Newport County13015LDDWD
17Rochdale13-715LDLDW

Gillingham vs Newport County — Match Analysis

Gillingham are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 2-1.

Gillingham host Newport County in the League Two on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Our model makes Gillingham the favourite at 49%, with the draw at 25% and Newport County at 26%.

Form and league position

Gillingham sit 8th of 24 with 12 points from 8 games (11 scored, 9 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-L. Newport County sit 17th of 24 with 9 points from 8 games (12 scored, 12 conceded), recent form D-L-D-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.3, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Gillingham at 2.12, the draw at 3.45 and Newport County at 3.25; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Gillingham to win (49%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Gillingham: 50% · Draw: 24% · Newport County: 26%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.9% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 57%

Form (latest first): Gillingham: LDLWL · Newport County: LDDWW

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Oct 3019:45
Chesterfield
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Oct 3112:30
Rochdale
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Grimsby
Oct 3112:30
York
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Oct 3115:00
Bristol Rovers
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
League TwoEngland
Oldham
Oct 3115:00
Crawley Town
11.7258%
X4.7621%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Oct 3115:00
Gillingham
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Oct 3115:00
Rotherham
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Accrington ST
Oct 3115:00
Northampton
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Oct 3115:00
Walsall
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Oct 3115:00
Barnet
13.4529%
X3.8526%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Tranmere
Oct 3115:00
Cheltenham
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Oct 3115:00
Exeter City
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 319:45
Oldham
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

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