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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Newport County vs Grimsby

Newport County vs Grimsby

Result • League Two·Newport County·Grimsby

League Two
League Two
Sep 26, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Newport County

Newport County

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.80
X3.30
21.85
Stadium
Rodney Parade
medium Confidence
Grimsby

Grimsby

Away
Odds
13.80
X3.30
21.85
Stadium
Rodney Parade
Win Probabilities
23%
Newport County
25%
Draw
52%
Grimsby
Home3.8023%
Draw3.3025%
Away1.8552%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Grimsby are favoured at 52%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Newport County and Grimsby using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Newport County a 23% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Grimsby a 52% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: M. Dibley-Dias
    10'
    Yellow Card: M. Dibley-DiasNewport County
  2. 36'
    Substitution: Ryley ReynoldsGrimsby · Out: Mark Shelton
    Substitution: Ryley ReynoldsOut: Mark Shelton
  3. Goal: Christian DoidgeAssist: Cameron Norman
    57'
    Goal: Christian DoidgeNewport County · Assist: Cameron Norman
  4. 59'
    Substitution: Sonny FinchGrimsby · Out: Finn Cartwright
    Substitution: Sonny FinchOut: Finn Cartwright
  5. 59'
    Substitution: Andy CookGrimsby · Out: Iwan Morgan
    Substitution: Andy CookOut: Iwan Morgan
  6. 63'
    Yellow Card: Andy CookGrimsby
    Yellow Card: Andy Cook
  7. Goal: Shaquille GwengweAssist: Ciaran Brennan
    69'
    Goal: Shaquille GwengweNewport County · Assist: Ciaran Brennan
  8. Substitution: joe thomasOut: Cameron Norman
    71'
    Substitution: joe thomasNewport County · Out: Cameron Norman
  9. 72'
    Yellow Card: Kieran GreenGrimsby
    Yellow Card: Kieran Green
  10. 73'
    Substitution: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorGrimsby · Out: Jayden Sweeney
    Substitution: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorOut: Jayden Sweeney
  11. 73'
    Substitution: Reece StauntonGrimsby · Out: Charles Vernam
    Substitution: Reece StauntonOut: Charles Vernam
  12. Substitution: Gerard GarnerOut: Shaquille Gwengwe
    81'
    Substitution: Gerard GarnerNewport County · Out: Shaquille Gwengwe
  13. Substitution: Aaron LewisOut: M. Dibley-Dias
    81'
    Substitution: Aaron LewisNewport County · Out: M. Dibley-Dias
  14. 83'
    Own goal: Jordan Wright (Own goal)Grimsby
    Own goal: Jordan Wright (Own goal)
  15. Yellow Card: Matty Jacobs
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: Matty JacobsNewport County
  16. Substitution: Yahya BambaOut: Michael Adu-Poku
    90+4'
    Substitution: Yahya BambaNewport County · Out: Michael Adu-Poku
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

League Two predicted line-ups: Gameweek 99/12Head-to-headNewport County – GrimsbyInjuriesNewport CountyInjuriesGrimsbyLive scores

Statistical Context

Newport County

WLDDW
  • WOct 30, 26H · Chesterfield4-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Cheltenham1-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rotherham2-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · York1-1
  • WOct 10, 26H · Colchester1-0

Grimsby

WDLLL
  • WOct 24, 26A · Gillingham1-4
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rochdale2-2
  • LOct 17, 26H · Northampton0-2
  • LOct 10, 26A · Port Vale1-0
  • LOct 3, 26H · Shrewsbury1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Accrington ST13+618WDWDW
10Newport County14+318WLDDW
11Shrewsbury13-418DWWLW
12Grimsby13+317WDLLL
13Gillingham13017LDLWD

Newport County vs Grimsby — Match Analysis

Grimsby are favoured at 52%; our projected score is 1-2.

Newport County host Grimsby in the League Two on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes Grimsby the favourite at 52%, with the draw at 25% and Newport County at 23%.

Form and league position

Newport County sit 19th of 24 with 6 points from 7 games (10 scored, 11 conceded), recent form L-D-L-D-D. Grimsby sit 3rd of 24 with 13 points from 7 games (11 scored, 6 conceded), recent form L-L-D-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.5, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 55%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Newport County at 3.90, the draw at 3.50 and Grimsby at 1.90; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Grimsby to win (52%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Newport County: 23% · Draw: 25% · Grimsby: 52%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (9.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 50% · Under 2.5: 50% · BTTS: 55%

Form (latest first): Newport County: WLDDW · Grimsby: WDLLL

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Oct 3115:00
Bristol Rovers
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
League TwoEngland
Oldham
Oct 3115:00
Crawley Town
11.6461%
X5.0020%
25.2619%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Oct 3115:00
Gillingham
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Oct 3115:00
Rotherham
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Accrington ST
Oct 3115:00
Northampton
12.2245%
X3.7027%
23.5728%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Oct 3115:00
Walsall
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Oct 3115:00
Barnet
13.3330%
X3.8526%
22.2744%
League TwoEngland
Tranmere
Oct 3115:00
Cheltenham
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Oct 3115:00
Exeter City
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 319:45
Oldham
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Bristol Rovers
Nov 1415:00
Chesterfield
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Rochdale
Nov 1415:00
York
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Walsall
Nov 1415:00
Barnet
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%

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