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  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Port Vale vs Grimsby

Port Vale vs Grimsby

Result • League Two·Port Vale·Grimsby

League Two
League Two
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Port Vale

Port Vale

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
12.75
X3.10
22.50
Stadium
Vale Park
low Confidence
Grimsby

Grimsby

Away
Odds
12.75
X3.10
22.50
Stadium
Vale Park
Win Probabilities
32%
Port Vale
28%
Draw
40%
Grimsby
Home2.7532%
Draw3.1028%
Away2.5040%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Grimsby are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Port Vale and Grimsby using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Port Vale a 32% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Grimsby a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 43%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 43%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall
    42'
    Yellow Card: George Cardinal Joseph·HallPort Vale
  2. Goal: Kyle DempseyAssist: Jaheim·Headley
    45'
    Goal: Kyle DempseyPort Vale · Assist: Jaheim·Headley
  3. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: Finn CartwrightGrimsby
    Yellow Card: Finn Cartwright
  4. 70'
    Substitution: Jamie WalkerGrimsby · Out: Finn Cartwright
    Substitution: Jamie WalkerOut: Finn Cartwright
  5. 70'
    Substitution: Iwan MorganGrimsby · Out: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor
    Substitution: Iwan MorganOut: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor
  6. Substitution: Rhys WaltersOut: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall
    71'
    Substitution: Rhys WaltersPort Vale · Out: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall
  7. Substitution: Oliver LynchOut: Max Watters
    71'
    Substitution: Oliver LynchPort Vale · Out: Max Watters
  8. Substitution: Ben WaineOut: Onel Hernández
    79'
    Substitution: Ben WainePort Vale · Out: Onel Hernández
  9. Substitution: George ByersOut: Kyle Dempsey
    84'
    Substitution: George ByersPort Vale · Out: Kyle Dempsey
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Port ValeInjuries · GrimsbyLive scores →

Statistical Context

Port Vale

LDWLW
  • LOct 24, 26A · York2-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Gillingham1-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Chesterfield1-0
  • LSep 19, 26A · Walsall2-0
  • WSep 12, 26H · Exeter City1-0

Grimsby

WDLLL
  • WOct 24, 26A · Gillingham1-4
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rochdale2-2
  • LOct 17, 26H · Northampton0-2
  • LOct 3, 26H · Shrewsbury1-2
  • LSep 26, 26A · Newport County2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Shrewsbury13-418DWWLW
11Grimsby13+317WDLLL
12Gillingham13017LDLWD
22Rotherham13-612DDLLL
23Port Vale11-612LDWWL
24Crawley Town11-96DLLDL

Port Vale vs Grimsby — Match Analysis

Grimsby are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 0-1.

Port Vale host Grimsby in the League Two on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 27% and Port Vale at 33%.

Form and league position

Port Vale sit 23rd of 24 with 5 points from 7 games (3 scored, 9 conceded), recent form L-L-L-W-L. Grimsby sit 9th of 24 with 13 points from 9 games (13 scored, 10 conceded), recent form D-W-W-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–1.1, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 43%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Port Vale at 2.75, the draw at 3.35 and Grimsby at 2.55; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Grimsby to win (40%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Port Vale: 32% · Draw: 28% · Grimsby: 40%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (11.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 43%

Form (latest first): Port Vale: LDWLW · Grimsby: WDLLL

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Barnet
Oct 2719:45
York
12.0449%
X4.1724%
23.7027%
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Oct 3019:45
Chesterfield
13.5728%
X3.5728%
22.2744%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Oct 3112:30
Rochdale
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
League TwoEngland
Grimsby
Oct 3112:30
York
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Oct 3115:00
Bristol Rovers
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
League TwoEngland
Oldham
Oct 3115:00
Crawley Town
11.7258%
X4.7621%
24.7621%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Oct 3115:00
Gillingham
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Oct 3115:00
Rotherham
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Accrington ST
Oct 3115:00
Northampton
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Oct 3115:00
Walsall
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Oct 3115:00
Barnet
13.4529%
X3.8526%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Tranmere
Oct 3115:00
Cheltenham
12.0848%
X4.0025%
23.7027%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Oct 3115:00
Exeter City
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

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