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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. League Two
  3. Newport County vs York

Newport County vs York

Result • League Two·Newport County·York

League Two
League Two
Oct 17, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Newport County

Newport County

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.40
X3.50
21.95
Stadium
Rodney Parade
medium Confidence
DRAW
York

York

Away
Odds
13.40
X3.50
21.95
Stadium
Rodney Parade
Win Probabilities
28%
Newport County
26%
Draw
46%
York
Home3.4028%
Draw3.5026%
Away1.9546%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

York are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this League Two fixture between Newport County and York using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Newport County a 28% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and York a 46% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. 4'
    Goal: Ollie PearceYork · Assist: Alex Hunt
    Goal: Ollie PearceAssist: Alex Hunt
  2. Yellow Card: M. Dibley-Dias
    17'
    Yellow Card: M. Dibley-DiasNewport County
  3. 24'
    Red Card: jovan malcolmYork
    Red Card: jovan malcolm
  4. Substitution: Matthew SmithOut: Matty Jacobs
    45'
    Substitution: Matthew SmithNewport County · Out: Matty Jacobs
  5. 47'
    Yellow Card: Ollie PearceYork
    Yellow Card: Ollie Pearce
  6. Substitution: Kion EteteOut: M. Dibley-Dias
    52'
    Substitution: Kion EteteNewport County · Out: M. Dibley-Dias
  7. 53'
    Yellow Card: Joey GreyYork
    Yellow Card: Joey Grey
  8. Goal: Kion EteteAssist: Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
    54'
    Goal: Kion EteteNewport County · Assist: Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
  9. 55'
    Substitution: Jack HuntYork · Out: Joseph Rabole Felix
    Substitution: Jack HuntOut: Joseph Rabole Felix
  10. 72'
    Substitution: Frankie MaguireYork · Out: Ollie Pearce
    Substitution: Frankie MaguireOut: Ollie Pearce
  11. 72'
    Substitution: Arthur ReadYork · Out: Alex Hunt
    Substitution: Arthur ReadOut: Alex Hunt
  12. 72'
    Substitution: Alex NewbyYork · Out: Joey Grey
    Substitution: Alex NewbyOut: Joey Grey
  13. Substitution: Gerard GarnerOut: Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
    76'
    Substitution: Gerard GarnerNewport County · Out: Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
  14. Substitution: Kieron Thomas EvansOut: Yahya Bamba
    76'
    Substitution: Kieron Thomas EvansNewport County · Out: Yahya Bamba
  15. Yellow Card: Harrison Biggins
    79'
    Yellow Card: Harrison BigginsNewport County
  16. 82'
    Substitution: Ashley PalmerYork · Out: Ryan Fallowfield
    Substitution: Ashley PalmerOut: Ryan Fallowfield
  17. Yellow Card: Kion Etete
    87'
    Yellow Card: Kion EteteNewport County
  18. Substitution: Michael Adu-PokuOut: Shaquille Gwengwe
    89'
    Substitution: Michael Adu-PokuNewport County · Out: Shaquille Gwengwe
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Newport County 1-1 York
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-1chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headNewport County – YorkInjuriesNewport CountyInjuriesYorkLive scores

Statistical Context

Newport County

WLDWD
  • WOct 30, 26H · Chesterfield4-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Cheltenham1-0
  • DOct 20, 26A · Rotherham2-2
  • WOct 10, 26H · Colchester1-0
  • DOct 3, 26A · Gillingham0-0

York

LLWDD
  • LOct 31, 26A · Grimsby5-2
  • LOct 27, 26A · Barnet3-1
  • WOct 24, 26H · Port Vale2-0
  • DOct 20, 26H · Accrington ST1-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Northampton1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Grimsby14+620WWDLL
7York14+320LLWDD
8Gillingham14+120WLDLW
9Accrington ST14+619DWDWD
10Chesterfield14+319LWDLD
11Tranmere14+219WDWLD
12Exeter City14+219LWWDW
13Swindon Town14-219WDWDL
14Newport County14+318WLDDW
15Shrewsbury14-518LDWWL

Newport County vs York — Match Analysis

York are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 1-2.

Newport County host York in the League Two on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model makes York the favourite at 48%, with the draw at 25% and Newport County at 27%.

Form and league position

Newport County sit 12th of 24 with 13 points from 10 games (13 scored, 12 conceded), recent form D-D-W-D-W. York sit 5th of 24 with 15 points from 9 games (17 scored, 11 conceded), recent form D-W-L-W-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.5, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Newport County at 3.60, the draw at 3.60 and York at 1.95; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

York to win (48%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Newport County: 28% · Draw: 26% · York: 46%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.9% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 57%

Form (latest first): Newport County: WLDWD · York: LLWDD

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League Two

League Two

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
League TwoEngland
Exeter City
Nov 1412:30
Cheltenham
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
League TwoEngland
Rotherham
Nov 1415:00
Crawley Town
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Bristol Rovers
Nov 1415:00
Chesterfield
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
League TwoEngland
Rochdale
Nov 1415:00
York
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
League TwoEngland
Walsall
Nov 1415:00
Barnet
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
League TwoEngland
Port Vale
Nov 1415:00
Accrington ST
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
League TwoEngland
Shrewsbury
Nov 1415:00
Oldham
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
League TwoEngland
Swindon Town
Nov 1415:00
Grimsby
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
League TwoEngland
Colchester
Nov 1415:00
Gillingham
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
League TwoEngland
Crewe
Nov 1415:00
Newport County
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
League TwoEngland
Salford City
Nov 1415:00
Northampton
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
League TwoEngland
Fleetwood Town
Nov 1417:30
Tranmere
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
League TwoEngland
Gillingham
Nov 2112:30
Crewe
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
League TwoEngland
Newport County
Nov 2112:30
Swindon Town
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
League TwoEngland
Northampton
Nov 2115:00
Rochdale
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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