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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Prediction • Premier League·Chelsea·Bournemouth

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Early projection · Odds pending
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Win Probabilities
47%
Chelsea
24%
Draw
29%
Bournemouth
Home2.1347%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.4529%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Chelsea are clear favourites at Stamford Bridge, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior recent form, while Bournemouth sit 15th and have never beaten the Blues in the last five meetings. The main risk is Chelsea's lengthy injury list and Bournemouth's three-match unbeaten run, which could make this tighter than expected.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Chelsea vs Bournemouth.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Chelsea
/10
2.0Bournemouth
Chelsea
FormLatest first
DWLWW
Win Rate60%
Bournemouth
FormLatest first
DWDDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageChelsea+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Chelsea
Home

Chelsea

Form
WWL
Latest first
4
Pos
69
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+2
  • Dominant head-to-head record with five wins in the last five meetings
  • Strong recent form with a 100% win rate in the last three matches
  • High attacking output averaging 3.2 goals scored per game
W. Fofana
Red Card
Suspended
M. Caicedo
Injury
Injured
E. Emegha
Injury
Injured
M. Sarr
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Henderson
Wrist Injury
Injured
M. Palestra
Injury
Injured
E. Fernandez
Coach's decision
Injured
E. Martinez
Finger Injury
Injured
A. Anselmino
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 9
Chelsea
Chelsea
5Wins
4
Draws
Bournemouth
0Wins
Bournemouth
56%44%0%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Dec302025
ChelseaChelsea
2-2
Draw
BournemouthBournemouth
Dec62025
BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
Jan142025
ChelseaChelsea
2-2
Draw
BournemouthBournemouth
Sep142024
BournemouthBournemouth
0-1
Win
ChelseaChelsea
May192024
ChelseaChelsea
2-1
Win
BournemouthBournemouth
Sep172023
BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
May62023
BournemouthBournemouth
1-3
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Dec272022
ChelseaChelsea
2-0
Win
BournemouthBournemouth
Jul272021
BournemouthBournemouth
1-2
Win
ChelseaChelsea

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea

Dec 6, 2025

30% / 35% / 35%

Chelsea3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1BournemouthPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Chelsea

9Out

8 key players

Bournemouth

9Out

8 key players

Chelsea

Team

Chelsea

Players Out

9(8 key)
W. Fofana

W. Fofana

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Caicedo

M. Caicedo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Emegha

E. Emegha

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sarr

M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Henderson

J. Henderson

MODERATE
Injury:Wrist Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Palestra

M. Palestra

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Fernandez

E. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Martinez

E. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Finger Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anselmino

A. Anselmino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Bournemouth

Team

Bournemouth

Players Out

9(8 key)
R. Christie

R. Christie

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Araujo

J. Araujo

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. J. Kroupi

E. J. Kroupi

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Adams

T. Adams

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Adli

A. Adli

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Brooks

D. Brooks

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

V. Milosavljevic

V. Milosavljevic

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Di Gregorio

M. Di Gregorio

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Soler

J. Soler

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
330072+59
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
330061+59
3
Hull City
Hull City
321030+37
4
Chelsea
ChelseaHome
320187+16
5
Brentford
Brentford
312052+35
6
Liverpool
Liverpool
312064+25
7
Newcastle
Newcastle
312064+25
8
Everton
Everton
312053+25
9
Leeds
Leeds
312032+15
10
Brighton
Brighton
311185+34
11
Manchester United
Manchester United
311176+14
12
Sunderland
Sunderland
31113304
13
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
310248-43
14
Ipswich
Ipswich
310248-43
15
Bournemouth
BournemouthAway
302145-12
16
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
302123-12
17
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
301205-51
18
Tottenham
Tottenham
301205-51
19
Fulham
Fulham
300347-30
20
Coventry
Coventry
300305-50
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Chelsea

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

47%Chelsea
24%Draw
29%Bournemouth

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 14:00
StadiumStamford Bridge
League StatsPremier League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ChelseaInjuries · Bournemouth</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Chelsea

DWLWW
  • DSep 12, 26H · Hull City2-2
  • WSep 9, 26H · Leeds6-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Arsenal2-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3
  • WAug 27, 26H · Luton2-0

Bournemouth

DWDDL
  • DSep 12, 26H · Brentford2-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Lincoln4-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Newcastle2-2
  • DAug 29, 26H · Everton1-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Manchester City2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Hull City3+37DWW
4Chelsea3+16LWW
5Brentford3+35DDW
14Ipswich3-43LLW
15Bournemouth3-12DDL
16Nottingham Forest3-12DDL

Head to Head

5
Chelsea
4
Draws
0
Bournemouth
  • Dec 30, 25Chelsea – Bournemouth2-2
  • Dec 6, 25Bournemouth – Chelsea0-0
  • Jan 14, 25Chelsea – Bournemouth2-2
  • Sep 14, 24Bournemouth – Chelsea0-1
  • May 19, 24Chelsea – Bournemouth2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaBournemouth
Played13
Goals Scored24
Goals Conceded05
Avg Scored2.01.3
Avg Conceded0.01.7
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaBournemouth
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Predicted XI

Chelsea

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Xabi Alonso

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Woodgate

  1. 1Đ. Petrović
  1. 18B. Diakité
  2. 5J. Hill
  3. 14António Silva
  4. 3A. Truffert
  1. 24Juanlu Sánchez
  2. 4L. Cook
  1. 8A. Scott
  2. 16M. Tavernier
  3. 27A. Tóth
  1. 29D. Jebbison
  1. 9João Pedro
  1. 41Estêvão
  2. 11J. Bynoe-Gittens
  1. 4V. Barco
  2. 10C. Palmer
  3. 17M. Rogers
  4. 31R. Watson
  1. 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
  2. 29Pep Chavarría
  3. 6L. Colwill
  1. 1E. Martínez

Bench

  • 39M. Penders
  • 27M. Gusto
  • 21J. Hato
  • 24R. James
  • 5M. Lacroix
  • 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda
  • 7Pedro Neto

Out

  • W. Fofana · Red Card
  • M. Caicedo · Injury
  • E. Emegha · Injury
  • M. Sarr · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Henderson · Wrist Injury
  • M. Palestra · Injury
  • E. Fernandez · Coach's decision
  • E. Martinez · Finger Injury

Bench

  • 11B. Doak
  • 19J. Kluivert
  • 37Rayan
  • 30Á. Rodríguez
  • 1K. Crampton
  • 17F. Forster
  • 3M. Aarons

Out

  • R. Christie · Red Card
  • J. Araujo · Thigh Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi · Foot Injury
  • T. Adams · Injury
  • A. Adli · Calf Injury
  • D. Brooks · Injury
  • V. Milosavljevic · Injury
  • M. Di Gregorio · Transfer negotiations

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea are clear favourites at Stamford Bridge, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior recent form, while Bournemouth sit 15th and have never beaten the Blues in the last five meetings. The main risk is Chelsea's lengthy injury list and Bournemouth's three-match unbeaten run, which could make this tighter than expected.

Chelsea enter this Stamford Bridge fixture as clear favourites, with the statistical model and the team-comparison data both pointing to a home win. The Blues sit 4th in the Premier League on 6 points…

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 47% · Draw: 24% · Bournemouth: 29%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Bournemouth wins: 0

Form (latest first): Chelsea: DWLWW · Bournemouth: DWDDL

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Sep 1313:00
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15.0020%
X3.7027%
21.8953%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Sep 1315:30
Manchester City
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
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Leeds
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Newcastle
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X3.5728%
23.0333%
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X3.4529%
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Aston Villa
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X3.4529%
23.3330%
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Newcastle
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11.5664%
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Arsenal
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Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
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Early projection
11.8255%
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24.1724%
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Manchester City
Sep 2013:00
Sunderland
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
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Leeds
Sep 2013:00
Crystal Palace
Early projection
12.0449%
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