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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Bournemouth vs Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

Result • Premier League·Bournemouth·Liverpool

Premier League
Premier League
Jan 24, 2026
17:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.70
X3.80
21.90
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
medium Confidence
Liverpool

Liverpool

Away
Odds
13.70
X3.80
21.90
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Win Probabilities
26%
Bournemouth
25%
Draw
49%
Liverpool
Home3.7026%
Draw3.8025%
Away1.9049%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Liverpool's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Bournemouth and Liverpool using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bournemouth a 26% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Liverpool a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Semenyo vs Liverpool defense: Bournemouth's top scorer will test Liverpool's backline, which has conceded 29 goals.
2C. Gakpo vs Bournemouth midfield: Liverpool's key attacker will look to exploit Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses in midfield transitions.
3D. Szoboszlai vs Bournemouth holding midfielders: This battle in midfield could dictate control and creative opportunities for Liverpool.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bournemouth

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Key scorer A. Semenyo with 6 goals and 3 assists
  • Inconsistent recent form (DWLDL)
  • Poor defensive record with 41 goals against

Liverpool

  • Strong recent form with four wins in last five matches
  • Higher league position at 4th place with +4 GD
  • Potential vulnerability in away matches despite good form
  • Recent form includes a loss (WWLWW)

Statistical Context

Bournemouth

DDWWD
  • DMay 24, 26A · Nottingham Forest1-1
  • DMay 19, 26H · Manchester City1-1
  • WMay 9, 26A · Fulham0-1
  • WMay 3, 26H · Crystal Palace3-0
  • DApr 22, 26H · Leeds2-2

Liverpool

DLDLW
  • DMay 24, 26H · Brentford1-1
  • LMay 15, 26A · Aston Villa4-2
  • DMay 9, 26H · Chelsea1-1
  • LMay 3, 26A · Manchester United3-2
  • WApr 25, 26H · Crystal Palace3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Fulham000—
6Liverpool000—
7Manchester City000—
15Ipswich000—
16Bournemouth000—
17Brighton000—

Head to Head

1
Bournemouth
0
Draws
9
Liverpool
  • Aug 15, 25Liverpool – Bournemouth4-2
  • Feb 1, 25Bournemouth – Liverpool0-2
  • Sep 21, 24Liverpool – Bournemouth3-0
  • Jan 21, 24Bournemouth – Liverpool0-4
  • Nov 1, 23Bournemouth – Liverpool1-2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BournemouthLiverpool
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Bournemouth vs Liverpool — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Liverpool's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Liverpool is predicted to win this match, with a probability of 49% for an away victory, 26% for a Bournemouth home win, and 25% for a draw, closely aligning with market probabilities and API-Football's prediction of Liverpool as the winner.

Form Analysis: Bournemouth's recent form is DWLDL, indicating inconsistency with one win in their last five matches, while Liverpool's form is WWLWW, showing strong performance with four wins in their last five. Liverpool has scored 33 goals and conceded 29, compared to Bournemouth's 35 goals for and 41 against, suggesting Liverpool has a more balanced and effective attack and defense.

Key Factors: 1. Liverpool's superior league position (4th place with 36 points and +4 GD) compared to Bournemouth (15th place with 27 points and -6 GD) highlights a significant quality gap. 2. Head-to-head history strongly favors Liverpool with 9 wins in the last 10 meetings, indicating a psychological and tactical advantage. 3. Weather conditions with strong impact, including light rain and high wind, may favor a physical style, which could benefit Liverpool given their higher standing and form, though both teams have no significant injuries to adjust for.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict supports Liverpool as the likely winner due to better form, higher league standing, and historical dominance, with probabilities reflecting market and model consensus.

Win Probabilities: Bournemouth: 26% · Draw: 25% · Liverpool: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Bournemouth wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Liverpool wins: 9

Form (latest first): Bournemouth: DDWWD · Liverpool: DLDLW

  • A. Semenyo vs Liverpool defense: Bournemouth's top scorer will test Liverpool's backline, which has conceded 29 goals.
  • C. Gakpo vs Bournemouth midfield: Liverpool's key attacker will look to exploit Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses in midfield transitions.
  • D. Szoboszlai vs Bournemouth holding midfielders: This battle in midfield could dictate control and creative opportunities for Liverpool.

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Premier League

Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Arsenal
Aug 2119:00
Coventry
11.2083%
X7.6913%
225.004%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Aug 2211:30
Manchester United
19.0911%
X4.5522%
21.4967%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Aug 2214:00
Crystal Palace
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Aug 2214:00
Sunderland
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Aug 2214:00
Leeds
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Aug 2216:30
Tottenham
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Aug 2313:00
Bournemouth
11.5465%
X4.5522%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brighton
Aug 2313:00
Aston Villa
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Aug 2315:30
Liverpool
14.0025%
X3.8526%
22.0449%
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Aug 2419:00
Chelsea
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Aug 2819:00
Manchester City
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Aug 2911:30
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Aug 2914:00
Everton
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Aug 2914:00
Hull City
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueEngland
Tottenham
Aug 2916:30
Newcastle
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%