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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Result • Premier League·Manchester United·Bournemouth

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 25, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
Manchester United

Manchester United

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.25
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Old Trafford
medium Confidence
WINNER
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Old Trafford
Win Probabilities
45%
Manchester United
28%
Draw
27%
Bournemouth
Home2.2545%
Draw3.4028%
Away3.0027%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Manchester United are slight favourites at home but face a Bournemouth side in excellent form with three straight wins. The main risk is United's poor recent form and injury crisis, which could allow Bournemouth to capitalize.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Manchester United and Bournemouth using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Manchester United a 45% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Bournemouth a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Andrey Santos
    22'
    Yellow Card: Andrey SantosManchester United
  2. 27'
    Yellow Card: Tyler AdamsBournemouth
    Yellow Card: Tyler Adams
  3. Yellow Card: Ayden Heaven
    37'
    Yellow Card: Ayden HeavenManchester United
  4. 38'
    Goal: Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaBournemouth · Assist: Justin Kluivert
    Goal: Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAssist: Justin Kluivert
  5. Yellow Card: Youri Tielemans
    40'
    Yellow Card: Youri TielemansManchester United
  6. 43'
    Goal: Marcus TavernierBournemouth · Assist: Adrien Truffert
    Goal: Marcus TavernierAssist: Adrien Truffert
  7. Substitution: Matheus CunhaOut: Youri Tielemans
    45'
    Substitution: Matheus CunhaManchester United · Out: Youri Tielemans
  8. Yellow Card: Harry Maguire
    45+3'
    Yellow Card: Harry MaguireManchester United
  9. 63'
    Substitution: Ben Gannon-DoakBournemouth · Out: Justin Kluivert
    Substitution: Ben Gannon-DoakOut: Justin Kluivert
  10. Substitution: Lisandro MartínezOut: Ayden Heaven
    65'
    Substitution: Lisandro MartínezManchester United · Out: Ayden Heaven
  11. 71'
    Goal: Francisco EvanilsonBournemouth · Assist: Lewis Cook
    Goal: Francisco EvanilsonAssist: Lewis Cook
  12. Substitution: Joshua ZirkzeeOut: Carlos Baleba
    72'
    Substitution: Joshua ZirkzeeManchester United · Out: Carlos Baleba
  13. 75'
    Substitution: Ryan ChristieBournemouth · Out: Lewis Cook
    Substitution: Ryan ChristieOut: Lewis Cook
  14. Substitution: Shea LaceyOut: Amad Diallo
    78'
    Substitution: Shea LaceyManchester United · Out: Amad Diallo
  15. 87'
    Substitution: Bafode DiakiteBournemouth · Out: Adam Smith
    Substitution: Bafode DiakiteOut: Adam Smith
  16. 87'
    Substitution: Eli KroupiBournemouth · Out: Francisco Evanilson
    Substitution: Eli KroupiOut: Francisco Evanilson
  17. 87'
    Substitution: Amine AdliBournemouth · Out: Marcus Tavernier
    Substitution: Amine AdliOut: Marcus Tavernier
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 2stats picks landed in this match
Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 6.2 – 3.7Real 5 – 4Manchester United more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 9.9Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.3Real 5Over 3.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-2chances only—
Shots on target—Predicted 4.7 – 4.3Real 4 – 4——
Total shots—Predicted 15.1 – 13.6Real 14 – 10chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Bruno Fernandes vs L. Cook: Fernandes' creativity will be key to breaking down Bournemouth's midfield, while Cook's defensive discipline will be crucial in stopping him.
2Matheus Cunha vs B. Diakité: Cunha's pace and dribbling will test Diakité's defensive capabilities, making this duel vital for both teams.
3Diogo Dalot vs M. Tavernier: Dalot's attacking runs from full-back will be countered by Tavernier's pace and trickery, impacting the game's width.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Manchester United

  • Home advantage at Old Trafford
  • Strong historical head-to-head record
  • Poor recent form (no wins in last five)
  • Extensive injury list (16 players out)

Bournemouth

  • Excellent recent form (three consecutive wins)
  • Solid defense (three clean sheets in last five)
  • Injury concerns (13 players out)
  • Lower overall squad quality

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Manchester United453719

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Manchester United are the narrow favourites at Old Trafford, but the data suggests a tight contest against a Bournemouth side in excellent form.

Form Analysis: Manchester United have struggled for consistency, with a run of draws and a loss in their last five, scoring just 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.8. Bournemouth, by contrast, arrive on a three-match winning streak, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with three clean sheets in their last five. The momentum clearly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Manchester United's injury list is extensive, with 16 players unavailable, including key defenders L. Yoro (suspended) and L. Martinez (injured), which could disrupt their defensive solidity. Bournemouth also have injuries, but their recent form suggests they are coping well. The head-to-head record is balanced, with four wins apiece and four draws in the last ten meetings, indicating no clear psychological edge. Weather conditions (strong wind and rain) may favour a physical approach, potentially suiting Bournemouth's direct style.

Conclusion: While Manchester United hold a slight edge due to home advantage and historical strength, Bournemouth's current form and momentum make this a closely matched encounter. The data points to a narrow home win or a draw, with goals likely at both ends.

Statistical ContextManchester United

Double chance : Manchester United or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Manchester UnitedBournemouth
53%Strength46%
42%Attacking Potential58%
63%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
53%Wins the Game46%

More information

Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1110/10Head-to-headManchester United – BournemouthInjuriesManchester UnitedInjuriesBournemouthLive scores

Statistical Context

Manchester United

DWLLD
  • DNov 8, 26H · Aston Villa4-4
  • WNov 3, 26H · AS Roma3-2
  • LOct 31, 26A · Chelsea2-0
  • LOct 21, 26A · Como4-1
  • DOct 18, 26A · Leeds1-1

Bournemouth

WWWWW
  • WNov 8, 26A · Ipswich1-2
  • WNov 5, 26A · Sparta Praha1-3
  • WOct 31, 26H · Leeds2-0
  • WOct 28, 26H · Aston Villa3-0
  • WOct 22, 26H · AC Milan3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Everton10+216WWLLD
7Bournemouth10+215WWWWL
8Brentford10+514LWDLD
17Coventry10-99LWLLW
18Manchester United10-58DLLDD
19Sunderland10-98WLDLL

Head to Head

4
Manchester United
4
Draws
2
Bournemouth
  • Mar 20, 26Bournemouth – Manchester United2-2
  • Dec 15, 25Manchester United – Bournemouth4-4
  • Jul 31, 25Manchester United – Bournemouth4-1
  • Apr 27, 25Bournemouth – Manchester United1-1
  • Dec 22, 24Manchester United – Bournemouth0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Manchester UnitedBournemouth
Played99
Goals Scored1014
Goals Conceded1513
Avg Scored1.11.6
Avg Conceded1.71.4
Clean Sheets03

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Manchester UnitedBournemouth
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Manchester United vs Bournemouth — Match Analysis

Manchester United are slight favourites at home but face a Bournemouth side in excellent form with three straight wins. The main risk is United's poor recent form and injury crisis, which could allow Bournemouth to capitalize.

Manchester United are the narrow favourites at Old Trafford, but the data suggests a tight contest against a Bournemouth side in excellent form.

Form Analysis: Manchester United have struggled for consistency, with a run of draws and a loss in their last five, scoring just 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.8. Bournemouth, by contrast, arrive on a three-match winning streak, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with three clean sheets in their last five. The momentum clearly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Manchester United's injury list is extensive, with 16 players unavailable, including key defenders L. Yoro (suspended) and L. Martinez (injured), which could disrupt their defensive solidity. Bournemouth also have injuries, but their recent form suggests they are coping well. The head-to-head record is balanced, with four wins apiece and four draws in the last ten meetings, indicating no clear psychological edge. Weather conditions (strong wind and rain) may favour a physical approach, potentially suiting Bournemouth's direct style.

Conclusion: While Manchester United hold a slight edge due to home advantage and historical strength, Bournemouth's current form and momentum make this a closely matched encounter. The data points to a narrow home win or a draw, with goals likely at both ends.

Win Probabilities: Manchester United: 45% · Draw: 28% · Bournemouth: 27%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 57%

H2H: Manchester United wins: 4 · Draws: 4 · Bournemouth wins: 2

Form (latest first): Manchester United: DWLLD · Bournemouth: WWWWW

  • Bruno Fernandes vs L. Cook: Fernandes' creativity will be key to breaking down Bournemouth's midfield, while Cook's defensive discipline will be crucial in stopping him.
  • Matheus Cunha vs B. Diakité: Cunha's pace and dribbling will test Diakité's defensive capabilities, making this duel vital for both teams.
  • Diogo Dalot vs M. Tavernier: Dalot's attacking runs from full-back will be countered by Tavernier's pace and trickery, impacting the game's width.

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Premier League

Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Nov 2112:30
Fulham
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Nov 2115:00
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueEngland
Tottenham
Nov 2115:00
Ipswich
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Nov 2115:00
Leeds
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Nov 2115:00
Sunderland
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Nov 2115:00
Crystal Palace
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Nov 2117:30
Arsenal
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Nov 2214:00
Brighton
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Nov 2216:30
Manchester United
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Nov 2320:00
Everton
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Nov 2720:00
Chelsea
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Nov 2815:00
Brentford
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueEngland
Leeds
Nov 2815:00
Coventry
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Nov 2817:30
Aston Villa
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Nov 2912:00
Liverpool
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

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