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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Brentford vs Brighton

Brentford vs Brighton

Result • Premier League·Brentford·Brighton

Premier League
Premier League
Feb 21, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
Brentford

Brentford

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.60
23.50
Stadium
Brentford Community Stadium
medium Confidence
WINNER
Brighton

Brighton

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.60
23.50
Stadium
Brentford Community Stadium
Win Probabilities
48%
Brentford
26%
Draw
26%
Brighton
Home1.9548%
Draw3.6026%
Away3.5026%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Brentford's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Brighton, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Brentford and Brighton using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Brentford a 48% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Brighton a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 12'
    Yellow Card: M. WiefferBrighton
    Yellow Card: M. Wieffer
  2. 30'
    Goal: D. GomezBrighton
    Goal: D. Gomez
  3. Substitution: N. CollinsOut: A. Hickey
    45'
    Substitution: N. CollinsBrentford · Out: A. Hickey
  4. 45+1'
    Goal: D. WelbeckBrighton
    Goal: D. Welbeck
  5. Substitution: Y. YarmolyukOut: V. Janelt
    46'
    Substitution: Y. YarmolyukBrentford · Out: V. Janelt
  6. Substitution: K. SchadeOut: K. Lewis-Potter
    46'
    Substitution: K. SchadeBrentford · Out: K. Lewis-Potter
  7. 54'
    Yellow Card: F. KadiogluBrighton
    Yellow Card: F. Kadioglu
  8. 65'
    Substitution: J. VeltmanBrighton · Out: M. Wieffer
    Substitution: J. VeltmanOut: M. Wieffer
  9. Substitution: M. DamsgaardOut: J. Henderson
    67'
    Substitution: M. DamsgaardBrentford · Out: J. Henderson
  10. 76'
    Substitution: M. De CuyperBrighton · Out: D. Gomez
    Substitution: M. De CuyperOut: D. Gomez
  11. Substitution: R. DonovanOut: K. Ajer
    81'
    Substitution: R. DonovanBrentford · Out: K. Ajer
  12. 90'
    Substitution: C. BalebaBrighton · Out: J. Milner
    Substitution: C. BalebaOut: J. Milner
  13. Yellow Card: Y. Yarmolyuk
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: Y. YarmolyukBrentford
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Thiago vs Brighton Defense: Thiago's goal-scoring ability (11 goals) will test Brighton's defense, which has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match.
2D. Gómez vs Brentford Midfield: D. Gómez's high rating (7.93) and goal contributions may challenge Brentford's midfield in their 4-2-3-1 setup.
3K. Schade vs Brighton Full-backs: K. Schade's attacking runs could exploit Brighton's defensive weaknesses, especially given their recent form.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Brentford

  • Strong recent form with a 4 unbeaten streak
  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Inconsistent goal scoring with an average of 1.2 goals per match
  • Two players out with injuries (Gustavo Nunes and R. Nelson)

Brighton

  • Key players like D. Gómez with a high average rating of 7.93
  • Historical head-to-head advantage with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Poor recent form with a 3 loss streak and 0 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Low goal scoring average of 0.4 per match and failing to score in 3 of last 5 games
Head-to-head →Injuries · BrentfordInjuries · BrightonLive scores →

Statistical Context

Brentford

WWDDD
  • WSep 18, 26H · Chelsea3-0
  • WSep 15, 26A · Reading1-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Bournemouth2-2
  • DSep 5, 26H · Sunderland1-1
  • DAug 30, 26A · Leeds1-1

Brighton

WWWDL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Arsenal3-0
  • WSep 16, 26A · Manchester United2-3
  • WSep 13, 26A · Coventry0-5
  • DSep 5, 26H · Leeds1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chelsea4-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Arsenal5+412LWWWW
3Brighton5+1110WWDLW
4Brentford5+69WDDDW
5Leeds5+49DWDDW

Head to Head

3
Brentford
3
Draws
4
Brighton
  • Nov 22, 25Brighton – Brentford2-1
  • Apr 19, 25Brentford – Brighton4-2
  • Dec 27, 24Brighton – Brentford0-0
  • Apr 3, 24Brentford – Brighton0-0
  • Dec 6, 23Brighton – Brentford2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BrentfordBrighton
Played55
Goals Scored1016
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored2.03.2
Avg Conceded0.81.0
Clean Sheets23

Brentford vs Brighton — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Brentford's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Brighton, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Brentford is predicted to win this match, with a 48% probability, aligning closely with the market probabilities and supported by the API-Football model's predicted winner of Brentford.

Form Analysis: Brentford shows stronger recent form with a 4 unbeaten streak, including wins and draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, and 2 clean sheets in the last 5 games. In contrast, Brighton is on a 3 loss streak, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, with 0 clean sheets and failing to score in 3 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Form Momentum: Brentford's unbeaten streak versus Brighton's losing streak provides a clear advantage. 2. Standings Difference: Brentford is 7th with 40 points and +5 GD, while Brighton is 14th with 31 points and +0 GD, indicating a quality gap. 3. Home Advantage: Brentford has a home advantage rating of 0.55, which may boost their performance.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to Brentford as the favorite due to superior form, league position, and home advantage, with Brighton's struggles in scoring and defense further supporting this outcome.

Win Probabilities: Brentford: 48% · Draw: 26% · Brighton: 26%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Brentford wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Brighton wins: 4

Form (latest first): Brentford: WWDDD · Brighton: WWWDL

  • Thiago vs Brighton Defense: Thiago's goal-scoring ability (11 goals) will test Brighton's defense, which has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match.
  • D. Gómez vs Brentford Midfield: D. Gómez's high rating (7.93) and goal contributions may challenge Brentford's midfield in their 4-2-3-1 setup.
  • K. Schade vs Brighton Full-backs: K. Schade's attacking runs could exploit Brighton's defensive weaknesses, especially given their recent form.

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Premier LeagueEngland
Arsenal
Oct 1011:30
Leeds
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Oct 1014:00
Bournemouth
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Oct 1014:00
Fulham
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Oct 1014:00
Brentford
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueEngland
Sunderland
Oct 1014:00
Brighton
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Oct 1016:30
Tottenham
11.6959%
X4.0025%
26.2516%
Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Oct 1113:00
Nottingham Forest
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Oct 1113:00
Everton
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Oct 1115:30
Manchester City
13.5728%
X3.4529%
22.3343%
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Oct 1219:00
Newcastle
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Oct 1711:30
Chelsea
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Oct 1714:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Oct 1714:00
Ipswich
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Oct 1714:00
Liverpool
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Oct 1716:30
Aston Villa
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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