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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Result • Premier League·Brighton·Crystal Palace

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 18, 2026
13:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Brighton

Brighton

Home
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.50
X4.40
25.80
Stadium
American Express Stadium
high Confidence
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.40
25.80
Stadium
American Express Stadium
Win Probabilities
64%
Brighton
22%
Draw
14%
Crystal Palace
Home1.5064%
Draw4.4022%
Away5.8014%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Brighton are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and four clean sheets in their last five. The main risk is Crystal Palace's ability to score from set-pieces, but Brighton's defensive form should hold firm.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Brighton and Crystal Palace using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Brighton a 64% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Crystal Palace a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. Own goal: Jaydee Canvot (Own goal)
    4'
    Own goal: Jaydee Canvot (Own goal)Brighton
  2. Goal: Diego GomezAssist: Olivier Boscagli
    7'
    Goal: Diego GomezBrighton · Assist: Olivier Boscagli
  3. Goal: Yasin AyariAssist: Charalampos Kostoulas
    10'
    Goal: Yasin AyariBrighton · Assist: Charalampos Kostoulas
  4. Yellow Card: Pascal Groß
    29'
    Yellow Card: Pascal GroßBrighton
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Dwight McNeilCrystal Palace · Out: Quinten Timber
    Substitution: Dwight McNeilOut: Quinten Timber
  6. Goal: Charalampos Kostoulas
    49'
    Goal: Charalampos KostoulasBrighton
  7. 51'
    Yellow Card: Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace
    Yellow Card: Daichi Kamada
  8. 53'
    Substitution: Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace · Out: Honest Ahanor
    Substitution: Jefferson LermaOut: Honest Ahanor
  9. 61'
    Substitution: Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace · Out: Jörgen Strand Larsen
    Substitution: Jean-Philippe MatetaOut: Jörgen Strand Larsen
  10. 61'
    Substitution: Eddie NketiahCrystal Palace · Out: Yeremy Pino
    Substitution: Eddie NketiahOut: Yeremy Pino
  11. Yellow Card: Chema Andrés
    64'
    Yellow Card: Chema AndrésBrighton
  12. Substitution: Jack HinshelwoodOut: Pascal Groß
    71'
    Substitution: Jack HinshelwoodBrighton · Out: Pascal Groß
  13. Substitution: Georginio RutterOut: Charalampos Kostoulas
    71'
    Substitution: Georginio RutterBrighton · Out: Charalampos Kostoulas
  14. 81'
    Substitution: Will HughesCrystal Palace · Out: Daichi Kamada
    Substitution: Will HughesOut: Daichi Kamada
  15. Substitution: Jaouen HadjamOut: Olivier Boscagli
    81'
    Substitution: Jaouen HadjamBrighton · Out: Olivier Boscagli
  16. Substitution: Malick YalcouyéOut: Yasin Ayari
    81'
    Substitution: Malick YalcouyéBrighton · Out: Yasin Ayari
  17. Goal: Jack Hinshelwood
    84'
    Goal: Jack HinshelwoodBrighton
  18. Substitution: Michael SvobodaOut: Lewis Dunk
    90'
    Substitution: Michael SvobodaBrighton · Out: Lewis Dunk
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

3 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 7.8 – 2.2Real 8 – 5Brighton more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 10.1Real 13chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.3Real 3Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 1-0Real 3-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.0 – 3.4Real 9 – 1Brighton more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 19.2 – 9.4Real 17 – 5chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1T. McGill vs W. Benítez: The goalkeeping duel could be decisive; McGill's clean sheet record contrasts with Benítez's busier workload.
2O. Boscagli vs Óscar Mingueza: The defensive battle between these two will determine how well each side copes with opposing attacks.
3M. De Cuyper vs A. Wharton: The midfield contest between De Cuyper's creativity and Wharton's industry will shape the flow of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Brighton

  • Excellent recent form with five consecutive wins
  • Solid defense with four clean sheets in last five
  • Several injuries to key players including L. Dunk
  • Historical head-to-head record slightly favors Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

  • Capable of scoring goals, with 9 goals in last 5 matches
  • Historical head-to-head record slightly favors them
  • Inconsistent form with only one win in last five
  • Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 12 goals in last 5

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Brighton543412

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Brighton are clear favourites to win this Premier League clash against Crystal Palace, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Brighton's exceptional form, with five consecutive wins and four clean sheets, makes them the standout pick.

Form Analysis: Brighton have been in scintillating form, scoring 3.4 goals per game and conceding just 0.4 in their last five. Crystal Palace have been inconsistent, with a win rate of just 33% and a negative goal difference. The momentum is firmly with the Seagulls.

Key Factors: Brighton's defensive solidity, highlighted by four clean sheets in five, will be crucial against a Palace side that has failed to score in two of their last five. Additionally, Brighton's home advantage and the adverse weather conditions, which favour a physical style, could further tilt the balance in their favour. Palace's injury concerns, with several key players out, add to their challenges.

Conclusion: All data points to a Brighton win. The combination of form, home advantage, and tactical matchups gives them a decisive edge. A clean sheet is a strong possibility, and Brighton should secure all three points.

Statistical ContextBrighton

Double chance : Brighton or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BrightonCrystal Palace
58%Strength41%
61%Attacking Potential39%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
46%Goals H2H54%
58%Wins the Game41%

More information

Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1110/10Head-to-headBrighton – Crystal PalaceInjuriesBrightonInjuriesCrystal PalaceLive scores

Statistical Context

Brighton

WWWDL
  • WNov 8, 26H · Brentford2-0
  • WNov 5, 26A · Getafe0-1
  • WOct 31, 26A · Manchester City0-1
  • DOct 28, 26A · Manchester City2-2
  • LOct 25, 26A · Liverpool2-0

Crystal Palace

LDLWL
  • LNov 8, 26H · Liverpool1-3
  • DNov 5, 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim1-1
  • LOct 31, 26A · Tottenham2-0
  • WOct 28, 26A · Fulham0-1
  • LOct 25, 26H · Newcastle0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Manchester City10+821LLLWW
3Brighton9+1719WLWWW
4Chelsea9+416WLWWL
18Manchester United9-57LLDDD
19Crystal Palace9-127LLLWD
20Sunderland9-105LDLLL

Head to Head

2
Brighton
5
Draws
3
Crystal Palace
  • Feb 8, 26Brighton – Crystal Palace0-1
  • Nov 9, 25Crystal Palace – Brighton0-0
  • Apr 5, 25Crystal Palace – Brighton2-1
  • Dec 15, 24Brighton – Crystal Palace1-3
  • Feb 3, 24Brighton – Crystal Palace4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BrightonCrystal Palace
Played99
Goals Scored249
Goals Conceded721
Avg Scored2.71.0
Avg Conceded0.82.3
Clean Sheets61

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BrightonCrystal Palace
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Brighton vs Crystal Palace — Match Analysis

Brighton are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and four clean sheets in their last five. The main risk is Crystal Palace's ability to score from set-pieces, but Brighton's defensive form should hold firm.

Brighton are clear favourites to win this Premier League clash against Crystal Palace, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Brighton's exceptional form, with five consecutive wins and four clean sheets, makes them the standout pick.

Form Analysis: Brighton have been in scintillating form, scoring 3.4 goals per game and conceding just 0.4 in their last five. Crystal Palace have been inconsistent, with a win rate of just 33% and a negative goal difference. The momentum is firmly with the Seagulls.

Key Factors: Brighton's defensive solidity, highlighted by four clean sheets in five, will be crucial against a Palace side that has failed to score in two of their last five. Additionally, Brighton's home advantage and the adverse weather conditions, which favour a physical style, could further tilt the balance in their favour. Palace's injury concerns, with several key players out, add to their challenges.

Conclusion: All data points to a Brighton win. The combination of form, home advantage, and tactical matchups gives them a decisive edge. A clean sheet is a strong possibility, and Brighton should secure all three points.

Win Probabilities: Brighton: 64% · Draw: 22% · Crystal Palace: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 59% · Under 2.5: 41% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Brighton wins: 2 · Draws: 5 · Crystal Palace wins: 3

Form (latest first): Brighton: WWWDL · Crystal Palace: LDLWL

  • T. McGill vs W. Benítez: The goalkeeping duel could be decisive; McGill's clean sheet record contrasts with Benítez's busier workload.
  • O. Boscagli vs Óscar Mingueza: The defensive battle between these two will determine how well each side copes with opposing attacks.
  • M. De Cuyper vs A. Wharton: The midfield contest between De Cuyper's creativity and Wharton's industry will shape the flow of the game.

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Premier League

Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Nov 2112:30
Fulham
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Nov 2115:00
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueEngland
Tottenham
Nov 2115:00
Ipswich
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Nov 2115:00
Leeds
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Nov 2115:00
Sunderland
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Nov 2115:00
Crystal Palace
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Nov 2117:30
Arsenal
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Nov 2214:00
Brighton
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Nov 2216:30
Manchester United
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Nov 2320:00
Everton
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Nov 2720:00
Chelsea
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Nov 2815:00
Brentford
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueEngland
Leeds
Nov 2815:00
Coventry
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Nov 2817:30
Aston Villa
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Nov 2912:00
Liverpool
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

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