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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Brighton vs Liverpool

Brighton vs Liverpool

Result • Premier League·Brighton·Liverpool

Premier League
Premier League
Mar 21, 2026
12:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Brighton

Brighton

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.20
X3.60
22.15
Stadium
Amex Stadium
low Confidence
Liverpool

Liverpool

Away
Odds
13.20
X3.60
22.15
Stadium
Amex Stadium
Win Probabilities
28%
Brighton
26%
Draw
46%
Liverpool
Home3.2028%
Draw3.6026%
Away2.1546%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Liverpool's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Brighton and Liverpool using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Brighton a 28% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Liverpool a 46% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 8'
    Substitution: C. JonesLiverpool · Out: H. Ekitike
    Substitution: C. JonesOut: H. Ekitike
  2. Goal: D. WelbeckAssist: D. Gomez
    14'
    Goal: D. WelbeckBrighton · Assist: D. Gomez
  3. Yellow Card: Y. Minteh
    25'
    Yellow Card: Y. MintehBrighton
  4. 30'
    Goal: M. KerkezLiverpool
    Goal: M. Kerkez
  5. 45'
    Yellow Card: I. KonateLiverpool
    Yellow Card: I. Konate
  6. Yellow Card: D. Gomez
    45+5'
    Yellow Card: D. GomezBrighton
  7. Yellow Card: D. Welbeck
    48'
    Yellow Card: D. WelbeckBrighton
  8. Goal: D. WelbeckAssist: J. Hinshelwood
    56'
    Goal: D. WelbeckBrighton · Assist: J. Hinshelwood
  9. 61'
    Yellow Card: J. FrimpongLiverpool
    Yellow Card: J. Frimpong
  10. 63'
    Substitution: R. NgumohaLiverpool · Out: J. Frimpong
    Substitution: R. NgumohaOut: J. Frimpong
  11. 68'
    Yellow Card: A. Mac AllisterLiverpool
    Yellow Card: A. Mac Allister
  12. Yellow Card: F. Hurzeler
    68'
    Yellow Card: F. HurzelerBrighton
  13. Substitution: K. MitomaOut: Y. Minteh
    76'
    Substitution: K. MitomaBrighton · Out: Y. Minteh
  14. Substitution: C. BalebaOut: J. Milner
    76'
    Substitution: C. BalebaBrighton · Out: J. Milner
  15. 76'
    Substitution: A. RobertsonLiverpool · Out: M. Kerkez
    Substitution: A. RobertsonOut: M. Kerkez
  16. 77'
    Substitution: F. ChiesaLiverpool · Out: I. Konate
    Substitution: F. ChiesaOut: I. Konate
  17. 79'
    Yellow Card: D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool
    Yellow Card: D. Szoboszlai
  18. Substitution: G. RutterOut: D. Welbeck
    83'
    Substitution: G. RutterBrighton · Out: D. Welbeck
  19. Substitution: Y. AyariOut: J. Hinshelwood
    83'
    Substitution: Y. AyariBrighton · Out: J. Hinshelwood
  20. Yellow Card: L. Dunk
    85'
    Yellow Card: L. DunkBrighton
  21. 90'
    Yellow Card: F. ChiesaLiverpool
    Yellow Card: F. Chiesa
  22. Substitution: J. VeltmanOut: D. Gomez
    90+1'
    Substitution: J. VeltmanBrighton · Out: D. Gomez
  23. Yellow Card: M. Wieffer
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: M. WiefferBrighton
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Welbeck vs Liverpool defense: Welbeck's goal-scoring ability will test Liverpool's defensive organization.
2C. Gakpo vs Brighton midfield: Gakpo's playmaking and goal contributions could exploit Brighton's midfield gaps.
3Mohamed Salah vs Brighton full-backs: Salah's pace and skill on the wing will challenge Brighton's defensive flanks.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Brighton

  • Recent win streak of 1 game
  • 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Lower league position (12th)

Liverpool

  • Better recent form with WWWLW record
  • Higher average goals scored (1.8 per game)
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
  • 2 doubtful players due to injuries
Head-to-head →Injuries · BrightonInjuries · LiverpoolLive scores →

Statistical Context

Brighton

WWWDL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Arsenal3-0
  • WSep 16, 26A · Manchester United2-3
  • WSep 13, 26A · Coventry0-5
  • DSep 5, 26H · Leeds1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chelsea4-3

Liverpool

WWDWW
  • WSep 20, 26A · Bournemouth0-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Tottenham3-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Fulham0-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · Atletico Madrid2-1
  • WSep 4, 26A · Ipswich0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Arsenal5+412LWWWW
3Brighton5+1110WWDLW
4Brentford5+69WDDDW
5Leeds5+49DWDDW
6Liverpool5+39WDWDD
7Everton5+39WDDDW

Head to Head

5
Brighton
2
Draws
3
Liverpool
  • Feb 14, 26Liverpool – Brighton3-0
  • Dec 13, 25Liverpool – Brighton2-0
  • May 19, 25Brighton – Liverpool3-2
  • Nov 2, 24Liverpool – Brighton2-1
  • Oct 30, 24Brighton – Liverpool2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

BrightonLiverpool
Played44
Goals Scored136
Goals Conceded54
Avg Scored3.31.5
Avg Conceded1.31.0
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BrightonLiverpool
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Brighton vs Liverpool — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Liverpool's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Liverpool is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show Liverpool with a 44% chance of winning, while the API-Football model predicts a 45% chance for Liverpool and advises a double chance of draw or Liverpool. The data indicates Liverpool has better form and a higher league position, supporting this outcome.

Form Analysis: Brighton's last 5 matches show a WLWWL record with an average of 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game, and they failed to score in 2 of those games. Liverpool's last 5 matches show a WWWLW record with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Liverpool has a slight edge in recent performance, with higher goal-scoring average.

Key Factors: 1. Liverpool's higher league standing (5th place vs 12th) and 9-point advantage suggest better overall quality. 2. Liverpool's superior goal-scoring form (1.8 avg goals vs 1.0 for Brighton) indicates stronger attacking threat. 3. Both teams have 2 doubtful players, but no critical star absences that significantly alter the balance.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict favors Liverpool due to their better form, higher league position, and stronger attacking metrics, aligning with both market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Brighton: 28% · Draw: 26% · Liverpool: 46%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Brighton wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Liverpool wins: 3

Form (latest first): Brighton: WWWDL · Liverpool: WWDWW

  • D. Welbeck vs Liverpool defense: Welbeck's goal-scoring ability will test Liverpool's defensive organization.
  • C. Gakpo vs Brighton midfield: Gakpo's playmaking and goal contributions could exploit Brighton's midfield gaps.
  • Mohamed Salah vs Brighton full-backs: Salah's pace and skill on the wing will challenge Brighton's defensive flanks.

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Oct 1011:30
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Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Oct 1014:00
Bournemouth
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Oct 1014:00
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Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
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Aston Villa
Oct 1014:00
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Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
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Sunderland
Oct 1014:00
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Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Oct 1016:30
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Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
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Crystal Palace
Oct 1113:00
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Oct 1113:00
Everton
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Oct 1115:30
Manchester City
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
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Coventry
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Newcastle
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Oct 1711:30
Chelsea
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Oct 1714:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Oct 1714:00
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Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
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Brentford
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Liverpool
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
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Betting Tips

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