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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Sunderland vs Manchester United

Sunderland vs Manchester United

Result • Premier League·Sunderland·Manchester United

Premier League
Premier League
May 9, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Sunderland

Sunderland

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.80
X3.70
21.91
Stadium
Stadium of Light
high Confidence
DRAW
Manchester United

Manchester United

Away
Odds
13.80
X3.70
21.91
Stadium
Stadium of Light
Win Probabilities
21%
Sunderland
31%
Draw
48%
Manchester United
Home3.8021%
Draw3.7031%
Away1.9148%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Manchester United's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Sunderland and Manchester United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sunderland a 21% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Manchester United a 48% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. 54'
    Yellow Card: M. MountManchester United
    Yellow Card: M. Mount
  2. 58'
    Yellow Card: J. ZirkzeeManchester United
    Yellow Card: J. Zirkzee
  3. 65'
    Substitution: P. DorguManchester United · Out: J. Zirkzee
    Substitution: P. DorguOut: J. Zirkzee
  4. 75'
    Substitution: B. MbeumoManchester United · Out: A. Diallo
    Substitution: B. MbeumoOut: A. Diallo
  5. Substitution: N. AnguloOut: C. Talbi
    79'
    Substitution: N. AnguloSunderland · Out: C. Talbi
  6. Substitution: E. MayendaOut: T. Hume
    90'
    Substitution: E. MayendaSunderland · Out: T. Hume
  7. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: M. CunhaManchester United
    Yellow Card: M. Cunha
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1W. Isidor vs H. Maguire (or replacement): Sunderland's top scorer faces a potentially weakened United defense if Maguire is absent.
2G. Xhaka vs Casemiro: A battle in midfield between Sunderland's creative hub and United's experienced enforcer.
3B. Šeško vs Sunderland's backline: The in-form striker will test a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per game on average.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sunderland

  • Set pieces
  • Counter-attacking
  • Defensive fragility
  • Inconsistent form

Manchester United

  • Attacking depth
  • Midfield control
  • Defensive lapses
  • Injury concerns (Maguire doubtful)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Manchester United163847

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Manchester United are the clear favorites to win this Premier League clash at the Stadium of Light, with both bookmaker odds and statistical models pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Manchester United arrive on a three-match winning streak, having won three of their last five (WWWLD), while Sunderland have been inconsistent (DLLWW) with only two wins in their last five. The visitors also boast superior attacking and defensive metrics, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game compared to Sunderland's 1.4, and conceding 1.4 versus 2.2.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Manchester United, who have won six of the last ten meetings. The league standings show a 17-point gap, with United in 3rd place and Sunderland 12th. Additionally, Sunderland's home advantage is moderate (rating 0.55) and weather conditions (strong wind, rain) may favor a physical style, but United's quality should prevail.

Conclusion: With superior form, historical dominance, and a stronger squad, Manchester United are expected to secure a comfortable victory, though Sunderland's home resilience could keep the scoreline respectable.

Statistical ContextManchester United

Double chance : draw or Manchester United

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SunderlandManchester United
35%Strength64%
44%Attacking Potential56%
39%Defensive Potential61%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
20%Goals H2H80%
35%Wins the Game64%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SunderlandInjuries · Manchester UnitedLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sunderland

LWLWD
  • LSep 20, 26A · Manchester City5-3
  • WSep 16, 26H · AZ Alkmaar1-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Arsenal0-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Hull City1-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Brentford1-1

Manchester United

DLLWD
  • DSep 20, 26A · Fulham1-1
  • LSep 16, 26H · Brighton2-3
  • LSep 13, 26H · Manchester City0-1
  • WSep 10, 26H · Sabah FA4-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Everton2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Ipswich5-46LWLLW
12Manchester United505DLDWL
13Nottingham Forest5-15LWDDL
14Sunderland5-44LLDWL
15Crystal Palace5-54DLWLL

Head to Head

3
Sunderland
1
Draws
6
Manchester United
  • Oct 4, 25Manchester United – Sunderland2-0
  • Apr 9, 17Sunderland – Manchester United0-3
  • Dec 26, 16Manchester United – Sunderland3-1
  • Feb 13, 16Sunderland – Manchester United2-1
  • Sep 26, 15Manchester United – Sunderland3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

SunderlandManchester United
Played55
Goals Scored68
Goals Conceded108
Avg Scored1.21.6
Avg Conceded2.01.6
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SunderlandManchester United
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—8/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Sunderland vs Manchester United — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Manchester United's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Manchester United are the clear favorites to win this Premier League clash at the Stadium of Light, with both bookmaker odds and statistical models pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Manchester United arrive on a three-match winning streak, having won three of their last five (WWWLD), while Sunderland have been inconsistent (DLLWW) with only two wins in their last five. The visitors also boast superior attacking and defensive metrics, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game compared to Sunderland's 1.4, and conceding 1.4 versus 2.2.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Manchester United, who have won six of the last ten meetings. The league standings show a 17-point gap, with United in 3rd place and Sunderland 12th. Additionally, Sunderland's home advantage is moderate (rating 0.55) and weather conditions (strong wind, rain) may favor a physical style, but United's quality should prevail.

Conclusion: With superior form, historical dominance, and a stronger squad, Manchester United are expected to secure a comfortable victory, though Sunderland's home resilience could keep the scoreline respectable.

Win Probabilities: Sunderland: 21% · Draw: 31% · Manchester United: 48%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Sunderland wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Manchester United wins: 6

Form (latest first): Sunderland: LWLWD · Manchester United: DLLWD

  • W. Isidor vs H. Maguire (or replacement): Sunderland's top scorer faces a potentially weakened United defense if Maguire is absent.
  • G. Xhaka vs Casemiro: A battle in midfield between Sunderland's creative hub and United's experienced enforcer.
  • B. Šeško vs Sunderland's backline: The in-form striker will test a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per game on average.

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Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Arsenal
Oct 1011:30
Leeds
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Oct 1014:00
Bournemouth
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Oct 1014:00
Fulham
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Oct 1014:00
Brentford
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueEngland
Sunderland
Oct 1014:00
Brighton
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Oct 1016:30
Tottenham
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Oct 1113:00
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Oct 1113:00
Everton
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Oct 1115:30
Manchester City
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Oct 1219:00
Newcastle
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Oct 1711:30
Chelsea
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Oct 1714:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Oct 1714:00
Ipswich
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Oct 1714:00
Liverpool
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Oct 1716:30
Aston Villa
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

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