Mariehamn host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Ilves the favourite at 44%, with the draw at 26% and Mariehamn at 30%.
Form and league position
Mariehamn sit 5th of 12 with 17 points from 25 games (20 scored, 47 conceded), recent form W-W-L-W-L. Ilves sit 2nd of 12 with 34 points from 25 games (42 scored, 38 conceded), recent form L-L-W-W-W.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 3 times in our records: Mariehamn won 0, Ilves won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.5, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Mariehamn at 3.00, the draw at 3.55 and Ilves at 2.20; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Ilves to win (44%), most likely score 1-2.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
