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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Toulouse vs Amiens

Toulouse vs Amiens

Result • Coupe de France·Toulouse·Amiens

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Toulouse

Toulouse

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.30
X6.00
28.00
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
high Confidence
Amiens

Amiens

Away
Odds
11.30
X6.00
28.00
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
Win Probabilities
70%
Toulouse
20%
Draw
10%
Amiens
Home1.3070%
Draw6.0020%
Away8.0010%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Toulouse's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Amiens, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Toulouse and Amiens using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Toulouse a 70% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Amiens a 10% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 34'
    Yellow Card: O. DafAmiens
    Yellow Card: O. Daf
  2. Goal: Y. GbohoAssist: R. Nicolaisen
    39'
    Goal: Y. GbohoToulouse · Assist: R. Nicolaisen
  3. Substitution: S. HidalgoOut: J. Vignolo
    56'
    Substitution: S. HidalgoToulouse · Out: J. Vignolo
  4. 60'
    Substitution: T. MonconduitAmiens · Out: N. Kandil
    Substitution: T. MonconduitOut: N. Kandil
  5. 61'
    Substitution: T. AverlantAmiens · Out: A. Leautey
    Substitution: T. AverlantOut: A. Leautey
  6. 61'
    Substitution: C. LouisAmiens · Out: J. Roussillon
    Substitution: C. LouisOut: J. Roussillon
  7. 72'
    Substitution: E. SomonAmiens · Out: J. Nduquidi
    Substitution: E. SomonOut: J. Nduquidi
  8. Substitution: P. DembaOut: M. Sauer
    75'
    Substitution: P. DembaToulouse · Out: M. Sauer
  9. 78'
    Yellow Card: T. MonconduitAmiens
    Yellow Card: T. Monconduit
  10. 86'
    Substitution: Y. Ikia DimiAmiens · Out: R. Lutin
    Substitution: Y. Ikia DimiOut: R. Lutin
  11. Substitution: D. SidibeOut: W. Kamanzi
    87'
    Substitution: D. SidibeToulouse · Out: W. Kamanzi
  12. Yellow Card: K. Haug
    90+5'
    Yellow Card: K. HaugToulouse
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Magri vs Amiens Defense: Magri's goal-scoring ability will test Amiens' defensive line, which has conceded few goals recently but faces a historical disadvantage.
2A. Dønnum vs Amiens Midfield: Dønnum's high rating and assists could exploit Amiens' midfield in their 3-2-4-1 formation, creating key attacking opportunities for Toulouse.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Toulouse

  • Strong head-to-head record against Amiens
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Recent form includes a draw and loss
  • Limited goal-scoring in last 5 matches with 4 goals for

Amiens

  • High goal-scoring in recent form with 13 goals for
  • Defensive record shows only 2 goals against in last 5 matches
  • Poor recent form with LDLLW
  • Weak head-to-head record with only 1 win in last 5 meetings
Head-to-head →Injuries · ToulouseInjuries · AmiensLive scores →

Statistical Context

Toulouse

WDLDL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Le Havre3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Lorient2-2
  • LSep 3, 26H · Lille0-1
  • DAug 29, 26A · Stade Brestois 292-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · Lyon0-2

Amiens

WDWDW
  • WOct 3, 26H · Villefranche3-0
  • DSep 26, 26A · Quevilly1-1
  • WSep 19, 26H · Orleans2-0
  • DSep 10, 26A · Cannes0-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Bastia0-3

Head to Head

5
Toulouse
4
Draws
1
Amiens
  • Mar 15, 22Toulouse – Amiens6-0
  • Oct 2, 21Amiens – Toulouse0-0
  • Feb 27, 21Toulouse – Amiens3-0
  • Nov 2, 20Amiens – Toulouse0-1
  • Feb 1, 20Amiens – Toulouse0-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

ToulouseAmiens
Played533
Goals Scored737
Goals Conceded960
Avg Scored1.41.1
Avg Conceded1.81.8
Clean Sheets05

Toulouse vs Amiens — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Toulouse's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Amiens, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Toulouse is predicted to win this match, supported by bookmaker odds and API-Football's predicted winner, with a high confidence level due to consensus between market and model probabilities.

Form Analysis: Toulouse's recent form of DWWLW shows consistency with 4 goals for and 2 against, while Amiens' form of LDLLW includes 13 goals for and 2 against, indicating defensive vulnerabilities despite high scoring. Toulouse has a slight edge in recent results.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model probabilities both favor Toulouse as the winner, with bookmaker odds showing a 73% home win probability and API-Football predicting Toulouse as the winner. 2. Toulouse has a strong head-to-head record with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings, providing a psychological advantage. 3. Home advantage rating of 0.55 suggests a moderate boost for Toulouse, and no significant injuries or adverse weather conditions further support this outcome.

Conclusion: The data indicates Toulouse is the clear favorite to win, with probabilities aligned to market intelligence and statistical models, leading to a high-confidence prediction for a home victory.

Win Probabilities: Toulouse: 70% · Draw: 20% · Amiens: 10%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Toulouse wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Amiens wins: 1

Form (latest first): Toulouse: WDLDL · Amiens: WDWDW

  • F. Magri vs Amiens Defense: Magri's goal-scoring ability will test Amiens' defensive line, which has conceded few goals recently but faces a historical disadvantage.
  • A. Dønnum vs Amiens Midfield: Dønnum's high rating and assists could exploit Amiens' midfield in their 3-2-4-1 formation, creating key attacking opportunities for Toulouse.

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