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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Bayeux vs Marseille

Bayeux vs Marseille

Result • Coupe de France·Bayeux·Marseille

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Jan 13, 2026
20:00
high Confidence
Bayeux

Bayeux

Home
Final Score
0-9
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
0-9
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
151.00
X17.00
21.02
Stadium
Stade Michel d'Ornano
high Confidence
WINNER
Marseille

Marseille

Away
Odds
151.00
X17.00
21.02
Stadium
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Win Probabilities
2%
Bayeux
6%
Draw
92%
Marseille
Home51.002%
Draw17.006%
Away1.0292%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Marseille's stars shining bright on a cloudy day, their attacking prowess overwhelming the home side's defenses. Ancient wisdom reveals a path to victory paved with goals, as the favorites march on in the cup.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Bayeux and Marseille using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayeux a 2% win probability, a 6% chance of a draw, and Marseille a 92% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. 13'
    Goal: A. GomesMarseille · Assist: M. Murillo
    Goal: A. GomesAssist: M. Murillo
  2. 19'
    Goal: H. J. TraoreMarseille
    Goal: H. J. Traore
  3. 23'
    Yellow Card: A. GomesMarseille
    Yellow Card: A. Gomes
  4. 26'
    Goal: M. GreenwoodMarseille · Assist: M. O'Riley
    Goal: M. GreenwoodAssist: M. O'Riley
  5. 32'
    Goal: A. GouiriMarseille · Assist: H. J. Traore
    Goal: A. GouiriAssist: H. J. Traore
  6. Substitution: L. ConnanOut: A. Cathrine
    46'
    Substitution: L. ConnanBayeux · Out: A. Cathrine
  7. 46'
    Substitution: C. Egan-RileyMarseille · Out: F. Medina
    Substitution: C. Egan-RileyOut: F. Medina
  8. 46'
    Substitution: T. WeahMarseille · Out: Emerson
    Substitution: T. WeahOut: Emerson
  9. 49'
    Goal: M. GreenwoodMarseille · Assist: A. Gouiri
    Goal: M. GreenwoodAssist: A. Gouiri
  10. 55'
    Goal: A. GouiriMarseille · Assist: M. Greenwood
    Goal: A. GouiriAssist: M. Greenwood
  11. Substitution: T. Le CalveOut: L. Lefevre
    59'
    Substitution: T. Le CalveBayeux · Out: L. Lefevre
  12. Substitution: E. PeanOut: F. Lemasson
    60'
    Substitution: E. PeanBayeux · Out: F. Lemasson
  13. 64'
    Substitution: T. MmadiMarseille · Out: A. Gouiri
    Substitution: T. MmadiOut: A. Gouiri
  14. 64'
    Substitution: N. MaupayMarseille · Out: H. J. Traore
    Substitution: N. MaupayOut: H. J. Traore
  15. 68'
    Substitution: D. BakolaMarseille · Out: A. Gomes
    Substitution: D. BakolaOut: A. Gomes
  16. Substitution: P. AnquetilOut: R. Guillotte
    75'
    Substitution: P. AnquetilBayeux · Out: R. Guillotte
  17. Substitution: S. NambotOut: J. Marazzi
    76'
    Substitution: S. NambotBayeux · Out: J. Marazzi
  18. 80'
    Goal: C. Egan-RileyMarseille · Assist: M. Greenwood
    Goal: C. Egan-RileyAssist: M. Greenwood
  19. 86'
    Goal: N. MaupayMarseille · Assist: M. Murillo
    Goal: N. MaupayAssist: M. Murillo
  20. 90'
    Goal: M. GreenwoodMarseille · Assist: B. Pavard
    Goal: M. GreenwoodAssist: B. Pavard
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Bayeux defenders vs M. Greenwood: Bayeux's backline must contain Greenwood's goal-scoring threat to prevent early Marseille dominance.
2Bayeux midfield vs Marseille midfield: Control in midfield will be crucial for Bayeux to disrupt Marseille's attacking transitions and create counter opportunities.
3Bayeux strikers vs Marseille defense: If Bayeux can break through, their strikers need to challenge Marseille's three-man defense to score against the odds.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayeux

  • Defensive solidity with 3 goals conceded in recent matches
  • Home advantage rating of 0.55
  • Incomplete form data limits assessment
  • Lower probability of win per odds

Marseille

  • Strong attacking players like M. Greenwood and P. Aubameyang
  • High probability of win per odds and models
  • Mixed recent form (LWLDW)
  • Away from home, though home advantage for opponent is limited
Head-to-head →Injuries · BayeuxInjuries · Marseille

Statistical Context

Bayeux

WWW
  • WDec 20, 25H · Blois2-1
  • WNov 29, 25A · Yvetot0-1
  • WNov 15, 25H · Caen3-2

Marseille

LLLWW
  • LSep 11, 26A · Rennes1-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · Paris FC2-3
  • LAug 30, 26A · Monaco2-0
  • WAug 21, 26H · Strasbourg4-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Rennes3-1

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

BayeuxMarseille
Played33
Goals Scored66
Goals Conceded35
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded1.01.7
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BayeuxMarseille
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Bayeux vs Marseille — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Marseille's stars shining bright on a cloudy day, their attacking prowess overwhelming the home side's defenses. Ancient wisdom reveals a path to victory paved with goals, as the favorites march on in the cup.

Based on the structured data, Marseille is predicted to win this Coupe de France match against Bayeux, with a high probability of 92% for an away victory, aligning closely with bookmaker odds and the API-Football model's predicted winner.

Form Analysis: Marseille's recent form shows a sequence of LWLDW, indicating mixed results but with offensive output of 6 goals in their last 5 matches. Bayeux's form data is incomplete, with only goals for and against provided (6 goals for, 3 against), but no win rate or match results, limiting direct comparison. Marseille's form suggests they are capable of scoring, which supports their favorite status.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model consensus: Both bookmaker odds (93% away win) and the API-Football model (predicted winner: Marseille) strongly favor Marseille, indicating a clear favorite. 2. Key players: Marseille has top scorers like M. Greenwood (10 goals, 3 assists) and P. Aubameyang (5 goals, 5 assists), providing a significant attacking threat. 3. Home advantage is limited for Bayeux with a rating of 0.55, and no significant injuries or suspensions for either team, reducing potential upset factors.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict points to a Marseille win due to their superior attacking quality, consensus from odds and models, and lack of mitigating factors like injuries or strong home advantage for Bayeux.

Win Probabilities: Bayeux: 2% · Draw: 6% · Marseille: 92%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (25.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 30%

Form (latest first): Bayeux: WWW · Marseille: LLLWW

  • Bayeux defenders vs M. Greenwood: Bayeux's backline must contain Greenwood's goal-scoring threat to prevent early Marseille dominance.
  • Bayeux midfield vs Marseille midfield: Control in midfield will be crucial for Bayeux to disrupt Marseille's attacking transitions and create counter opportunities.
  • Bayeux strikers vs Marseille defense: If Bayeux can break through, their strikers need to challenge Marseille's three-man defense to score against the odds.

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