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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Lens vs Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse

Result • Coupe de France·Lens·Toulouse

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Apr 21, 2026
19:10
high Confidence
WINNER
Lens

Lens

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.53
X4.10
25.75
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
high Confidence
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
Odds
11.53
X4.10
25.75
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Win Probabilities
57%
Lens
28%
Draw
15%
Toulouse
Home1.5357%
Draw4.1028%
Away5.7515%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lens's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Toulouse, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Lens and Toulouse using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lens a 57% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Toulouse a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 8'
    Yellow Card: P. DembaToulouse
    Yellow Card: P. Demba
  2. Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)
    9'
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)Lens
  3. Goal: A. Saint-MaximinAssist: F. Thauvin
    18'
    Goal: A. Saint-MaximinLens · Assist: F. Thauvin
  4. 21'
    Goal: S. HidalgoToulouse · Assist: Emersonn
    Goal: S. HidalgoAssist: Emersonn
  5. Goal: M. UdolAssist: S. Abdulhamid
    35'
    Goal: M. UdolLens · Assist: S. Abdulhamid
  6. 58'
    Yellow Card: C. CasseresToulouse
    Yellow Card: C. Casseres
  7. Substitution: W. SaidOut: A. Saint-Maximin
    64'
    Substitution: W. SaidLens · Out: A. Saint-Maximin
  8. Substitution: A. MasuakuOut: S. Baidoo
    64'
    Substitution: A. MasuakuLens · Out: S. Baidoo
  9. 64'
    Substitution: J. Russell-RoweToulouse · Out: D. Sidibe
    Substitution: J. Russell-RoweOut: D. Sidibe
  10. 64'
    Substitution: A. VossahToulouse · Out: P. Demba
    Substitution: A. VossahOut: P. Demba
  11. 67'
    Yellow Card: C. MartinezToulouse
    Yellow Card: C. Martinez
  12. Substitution: A. SimaOut: O. Edouard
    72'
    Substitution: A. SimaLens · Out: O. Edouard
  13. Goal: A. ThomassonAssist: S. Abdulhamid
    74'
    Goal: A. ThomassonLens · Assist: S. Abdulhamid
  14. 76'
    Substitution: I. AziziToulouse · Out: S. Hidalgo
    Substitution: I. AziziOut: S. Hidalgo
  15. 76'
    Substitution: W. KamanziToulouse · Out: S. Koumbassa
    Substitution: W. KamanziOut: S. Koumbassa
  16. Substitution: R. AguilarOut: S. Abdulhamid
    78'
    Substitution: R. AguilarLens · Out: S. Abdulhamid
  17. Substitution: A. HaidaraOut: F. Thauvin
    79'
    Substitution: A. HaidaraLens · Out: F. Thauvin
  18. 86'
    Substitution: M. SauerToulouse · Out: C. Casseres
    Substitution: M. SauerOut: C. Casseres
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1W. Saïd vs Toulouse Defense: Saïd, with 5 goals and 2 assists, will challenge Toulouse's defense, which is rated 56% but may be weakened by Sidibe's injury.
2A. Dønnum vs Lens Midfield: Dønnum, with 3 goals and 2 assists and high rating, could exploit Lens's midfield in counter-attacks, given Lens's defensive weaknesses.
3O. Édouard vs Toulouse Goalkeeper: Édouard, another top scorer for Lens, will test Toulouse's goalkeeper in a matchup critical for goal-scoring opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lens

  • Strong attack with 62% rating in API comparison
  • Good recent form with high goal-scoring average of 2.4
  • Defense rated at 44% in API comparison, lower than Toulouse
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Toulouse

  • Defense rated at 56% in API comparison, stronger than Lens
  • Recent wins in last two matches showing resilience
  • Poor recent form with 3 consecutive losses
  • Lower attack rating of 38% in API comparison

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Lens503713

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Lens is predicted to win this Coupe de France match against Toulouse, with a high confidence level due to alignment between market odds and key statistical indicators.

Form Analysis: Lens shows stronger recent form with a WLWLW record, scoring 13 goals and conceding 5 in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Toulouse has a LLLWW record, with 3 consecutive losses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Lens has a current 1-win streak, while Toulouse is on a 3-loss streak, indicating momentum in favor of Lens.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities strongly favor Lens with 61% home win probability, and the API-Football model predicts Lens as the winner, reinforcing this signal. 2. Head-to-head history shows Lens dominating with 7 wins in the last 10 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 3. Toulouse has a doubtful injury to D. Sidibe, which could weaken their defense, while Lens has no injuries, maintaining full squad strength.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Lens victory, supported by odds, form, H2H dominance, and injury status, with minimal factors favoring Toulouse.

Statistical ContextLens

Combo Winner : Lens and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LensToulouse
61%Strength38%
62%Attacking Potential38%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
69%Goals H2H31%
61%Wins the Game38%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LensInjuries · ToulouseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lens

LDWLL
  • LSep 18, 26A · Monaco2-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Strasbourg2-1

Toulouse

WDLDL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Le Havre3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Lorient2-2
  • LSep 3, 26H · Lille0-1
  • DAug 29, 26A · Stade Brestois 292-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · Lyon0-2

Head to Head

2
Lens
1
Draws
7
Toulouse
  • Jan 2, 26Toulouse – Lens0-3
  • May 10, 25Toulouse – Lens1-1
  • Jan 5, 25Lens – Toulouse0-1
  • Jan 28, 24Toulouse – Lens0-2
  • Sep 24, 23Lens – Toulouse2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LensToulouse
Played55
Goals Scored97
Goals Conceded99
Avg Scored1.81.4
Avg Conceded1.81.8
Clean Sheets00

Lens vs Toulouse — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lens's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Toulouse, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Lens is predicted to win this Coupe de France match against Toulouse, with a high confidence level due to alignment between market odds and key statistical indicators.

Form Analysis: Lens shows stronger recent form with a WLWLW record, scoring 13 goals and conceding 5 in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Toulouse has a LLLWW record, with 3 consecutive losses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Lens has a current 1-win streak, while Toulouse is on a 3-loss streak, indicating momentum in favor of Lens.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities strongly favor Lens with 61% home win probability, and the API-Football model predicts Lens as the winner, reinforcing this signal. 2. Head-to-head history shows Lens dominating with 7 wins in the last 10 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 3. Toulouse has a doubtful injury to D. Sidibe, which could weaken their defense, while Lens has no injuries, maintaining full squad strength.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Lens victory, supported by odds, form, H2H dominance, and injury status, with minimal factors favoring Toulouse.

Win Probabilities: Lens: 57% · Draw: 28% · Toulouse: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Lens wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Toulouse wins: 7

Form (latest first): Lens: LDWLL · Toulouse: WDLDL

  • W. Saïd vs Toulouse Defense: Saïd, with 5 goals and 2 assists, will challenge Toulouse's defense, which is rated 56% but may be weakened by Sidibe's injury.
  • A. Dønnum vs Lens Midfield: Dønnum, with 3 goals and 2 assists and high rating, could exploit Lens's midfield in counter-attacks, given Lens's defensive weaknesses.
  • O. Édouard vs Toulouse Goalkeeper: Édouard, another top scorer for Lens, will test Toulouse's goalkeeper in a matchup critical for goal-scoring opportunities.

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