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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Lorient vs Paris FC

Lorient vs Paris FC

Result • Coupe de France·Lorient·Paris FC

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2026
19:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Lorient

Lorient

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.20
X3.30
23.30
Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
low Confidence
Paris FC

Paris FC

Away
Odds
12.20
X3.30
23.30
Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
Win Probabilities
43%
Lorient
29%
Draw
28%
Paris FC
Home2.2043%
Draw3.3029%
Away3.3028%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lorient's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Paris FC, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Lorient and Paris FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lorient a 43% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Paris FC a 28% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 19'
    Yellow Card: L. KoleoshoParis FC
    Yellow Card: L. Koleosho
  2. 30'
    Yellow Card: J. IkoneParis FC
    Yellow Card: J. Ikone
  3. Yellow Card: M. Talbi
    42'
    Yellow Card: M. TalbiLorient
  4. Goal: N. Cadiou
    55'
    Goal: N. CadiouLorient
  5. 58'
    Substitution: I. KebbalParis FC · Out: W. Geubbels
    Substitution: I. KebbalOut: W. Geubbels
  6. 58'
    Substitution: R. MatondoParis FC · Out: L. Koleosho
    Substitution: R. MatondoOut: L. Koleosho
  7. 58'
    Substitution: C. ImmobileParis FC · Out: V. Marchetti
    Substitution: C. ImmobileOut: V. Marchetti
  8. Substitution: A. TosinOut: J. Makengo
    68'
    Substitution: A. TosinLorient · Out: J. Makengo
  9. Substitution: T. Le BrisOut: A. Kouassi
    68'
    Substitution: T. Le BrisLorient · Out: A. Kouassi
  10. Substitution: P. KatserisOut: L. Leaudais
    69'
    Substitution: P. KatserisLorient · Out: L. Leaudais
  11. 74'
    Substitution: J. KrassoParis FC · Out: J. Ikone
    Substitution: J. KrassoOut: J. Ikone
  12. Yellow Card: A. Avom
    77'
    Yellow Card: A. AvomLorient
  13. Substitution: B. MeiteOut: D. Yongwa
    78'
    Substitution: B. MeiteLorient · Out: D. Yongwa
  14. 79'
    Substitution: A. CamaraParis FC · Out: M. Munetsi
    Substitution: A. CamaraOut: M. Munetsi
  15. Own goal: M. Mbow (Own goal)
    82'
    Own goal: M. Mbow (Own goal)Lorient
  16. Substitution: P. PagisOut: D. Karim
    86'
    Substitution: P. PagisLorient · Out: D. Karim
  17. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: R. MatondoParis FC
    Yellow Card: R. Matondo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Soumano vs Paris FC defense: Lorient's top scorer against a defensive 5-4-1 setup.
2I. Kebbal vs Lorient midfield: Paris FC's key attacker facing Lorient's midfield in a physical battle.
3N/A: N/A
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lorient

  • Strong recent form with high goal scoring
  • Solid defensive record with only 1 goal conceded in last 5 matches
  • N/A
  • N/A

Paris FC

  • Key player I. Kebbal with 6 goals and 4 assists
  • N/A
  • Inconsistent form with DDWLL in last 5 matches
  • N/A
Head-to-head →Injuries · LorientInjuries · Paris FCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lorient

LDWLD
  • LSep 19, 26A · Le Mans2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Toulouse2-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Lens0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Estac Troyes1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Nice0-0

Paris FC

WDWWD
  • WSep 19, 26H · Strasbourg2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Lyon0-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Marseille2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Nice3-0
  • DAug 22, 26A · Estac Troyes0-0

Head to Head

5
Lorient
2
Draws
2
Paris FC
  • Apr 5, 26Lorient – Paris FC1-1
  • Feb 4, 26Lorient – Paris FC2-0
  • Oct 3, 25Paris FC – Lorient2-0
  • Mar 8, 25Paris FC – Lorient3-2
  • Dec 14, 24Lorient – Paris FC2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

LorientParis FC
Played44
Goals Scored46
Goals Conceded42
Avg Scored1.01.5
Avg Conceded1.00.5
Clean Sheets23

Lorient vs Paris FC — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lorient's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Paris FC, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Lorient is predicted to win this Coupe de France match against Paris FC, with a 43% probability from bookmaker odds and API-Football's statistical model also favoring Lorient as the predicted winner.

Form Analysis: Lorient's recent form shows strong performance with a sequence of WWWDD in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 1, indicating solid offensive and defensive capabilities. In contrast, Paris FC has a form of DDWLL, with 4 goals for, suggesting less consistency and attacking threat.

Key Factors: 1. Lorient's superior recent form with high goal output and low concession. 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55, providing a slight edge. 3. Weather conditions favoring a physical style, which may benefit Lorient given their tactical setup and form trends.

Conclusion: The data supports Lorient as the favorite, with market and model probabilities aligning, leading to a predicted home win driven by form and home factors.

Win Probabilities: Lorient: 43% · Draw: 29% · Paris FC: 28%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Lorient wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Paris FC wins: 2

Form (latest first): Lorient: LDWLD · Paris FC: WDWWD

  • S. Soumano vs Paris FC defense: Lorient's top scorer against a defensive 5-4-1 setup.
  • I. Kebbal vs Lorient midfield: Paris FC's key attacker facing Lorient's midfield in a physical battle.
  • N/A: N/A

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