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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Nice vs Montpellier

Nice vs Montpellier

Result • Coupe de France·Nice·Montpellier

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Nice

Nice

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X4.20
24.20
Stadium
Allianz Riviera
medium Confidence
Montpellier

Montpellier

Away
Odds
11.70
X4.20
24.20
Stadium
Allianz Riviera
Win Probabilities
55%
Nice
22%
Draw
23%
Montpellier
Home1.7055%
Draw4.2022%
Away4.2023%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Nice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Montpellier, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Nice and Montpellier using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Nice a 55% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Montpellier a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 3'
    Own goal: K. Peprah (Own goal)Montpellier
    Own goal: K. Peprah (Own goal)
  2. 32'
    Yellow Card: L. MincarelliMontpellier
    Yellow Card: L. Mincarelli
  3. 44'
    Yellow Card: T. SavanierMontpellier
    Yellow Card: T. Savanier
  4. Substitution: M. SansonOut: B. Mantsounga
    46'
    Substitution: M. SansonNice · Out: B. Mantsounga
  5. Substitution: J. ClaussOut: K. Peprah
    46'
    Substitution: J. ClaussNice · Out: K. Peprah
  6. Substitution: E. WahiOut: S. Abdul Samed
    46'
    Substitution: E. WahiNice · Out: S. Abdul Samed
  7. 64'
    Substitution: N. MbukuMontpellier · Out: N. Pays
    Substitution: N. MbukuOut: N. Pays
  8. 64'
    Substitution: E. TchatoMontpellier · Out: N. El Hannach
    Substitution: E. TchatoOut: N. El Hannach
  9. Substitution: K. BoudacheOut: Z. Diallo
    64'
    Substitution: K. BoudacheNice · Out: Z. Diallo
  10. 64'
    Substitution: Y. IssoufouMontpellier · Out: T. Savanier
    Substitution: Y. IssoufouOut: T. Savanier
  11. Substitution: S. DiopOut: I. Jansson
    64'
    Substitution: S. DiopNice · Out: I. Jansson
  12. 69'
    Goal: A. MendyMontpellier
    Goal: A. Mendy
  13. Goal: K. BoudacheAssist: E. Wahi
    72'
    Goal: K. BoudacheNice · Assist: E. Wahi
  14. 82'
    Substitution: T. ChennahiMontpellier · Out: B. Omeragic
    Substitution: T. ChennahiOut: B. Omeragic
  15. Goal: A. Mendy
    89'
    Goal: A. MendyNice
  16. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: E. Junior Pereira da SilvaMontpellier
    Yellow Card: E. Junior Pereira da Silva
  17. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: J. LaporteMontpellier
    Yellow Card: J. Laporte
  18. Goal: S. DiopAssist: J. Clauss
    90+7'
    Goal: S. DiopNice · Assist: J. Clauss
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Diop vs Montpellier Defense: Diop's scoring ability (6 goals) will test Montpellier's defensive organization in their 4-1-4-1 setup.
2Midfield Control: Nice's 4-2-3-1 midfield vs Montpellier's 4-1-4-1 could determine possession and attacking transitions.
3Defensive Units: Both teams' defensive lines will be crucial given Nice's high goals against and Montpellier's recent form.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Nice

  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Strong head-to-head record against Montpellier
  • Defensive issues with 36 goals against in recent matches
  • Inconsistent form with DWLDL record

Montpellier

  • Recent wins in form with WWLLD
  • No significant injuries, full squad available
  • Inconsistent form with losses in recent matches
  • Away disadvantage compared to home team
Head-to-head →Injuries · NiceInjuries · MontpellierLive scores →

Statistical Context

Nice

WLDLD
  • WSep 20, 26H · Lille2-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Auxerre1-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Le Mans1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Paris FC3-0
  • DAug 22, 26H · Lorient0-0

Montpellier

DWLDW
  • DSep 18, 26A · Reims1-1
  • WSep 11, 26H · PAU1-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Saint Etienne3-1
  • DAug 28, 26H · Boulogne0-0
  • WAug 21, 26A · Dunkerque0-1

Head to Head

5
Nice
3
Draws
2
Montpellier
  • Feb 23, 25Nice – Montpellier2-0
  • Dec 15, 24Montpellier – Nice2-2
  • Mar 8, 24Nice – Montpellier1-2
  • Feb 7, 24Montpellier – Nice1-4
  • Nov 10, 23Montpellier – Nice0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

NiceMontpellier
Played57
Goals Scored36
Goals Conceded65
Avg Scored0.60.9
Avg Conceded1.20.7
Clean Sheets14

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NiceMontpellier
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Nice vs Montpellier — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Nice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Montpellier, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Nice is predicted to win with a 55% probability, aligning with the bookmaker-implied odds, while Montpellier has a 23% chance and a draw at 22%.

Form Analysis: Nice's recent form is DWLDL, with 25 goals for and 36 against, indicating defensive vulnerabilities but offensive capability. Montpellier's form is WWLLD, with 9 goals for, showing inconsistency but recent wins.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage for Nice with a rating of 0.55, providing a slight edge. 2. Head-to-head history favors Nice with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. No significant injuries or suspensions for either team, ensuring full squads.

Conclusion: The data supports Nice as the favorite due to home advantage and historical dominance, despite Montpellier's recent wins and model predictions suggesting a draw or away win.

Win Probabilities: Nice: 55% · Draw: 22% · Montpellier: 23%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Nice wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Montpellier wins: 2

Form (latest first): Nice: WLDLD · Montpellier: DWLDW

  • S. Diop vs Montpellier Defense: Diop's scoring ability (6 goals) will test Montpellier's defensive organization in their 4-1-4-1 setup.
  • Midfield Control: Nice's 4-2-3-1 midfield vs Montpellier's 4-1-4-1 could determine possession and attacking transitions.
  • Defensive Units: Both teams' defensive lines will be crucial given Nice's high goals against and Montpellier's recent form.

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