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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lille vs Auxerre

Lille vs Auxerre

Result • Ligue 1·Lille·Auxerre

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 17, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
Lille

Lille

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.40
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
high Confidence
WINNER
Auxerre

Auxerre

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
Win Probabilities
45%
Lille
35%
Draw
20%
Auxerre
Home1.4045%
Draw4.5035%
Away8.0020%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lille's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Auxerre, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Lille and Auxerre using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lille a 45% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Auxerre a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideAuxerre · S. Diomande
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Diomande
  2. 32'
    Goal: L. SinayokoAuxerre
    Goal: L. Sinayoko
  3. Yellow Card: H. Haraldsson
    40'
    Yellow Card: H. HaraldssonLille
  4. Yellow Card: N. Ngoy
    43'
    Yellow Card: N. NgoyLille
  5. Substitution: O. GiroudOut: N. Mukau
    46'
    Substitution: O. GiroudLille · Out: N. Mukau
  6. Substitution: E. MbappeOut: N. Bentaleb
    46'
    Substitution: E. MbappeLille · Out: N. Bentaleb
  7. Substitution: C. VerdonkOut: R. Perraud
    46'
    Substitution: C. VerdonkLille · Out: R. Perraud
  8. Yellow Card: B. Andre
    60'
    Yellow Card: B. AndreLille
  9. Substitution: O. SahraouiOut: F. Correia
    62'
    Substitution: O. SahraouiLille · Out: F. Correia
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card: D. NamasoAuxerre
    Yellow Card: D. Namaso
  11. 72'
    Substitution: J. CasimirAuxerre · Out: D. Namaso
    Substitution: J. CasimirOut: D. Namaso
  12. 81'
    Yellow Card: D. LeonAuxerre
    Yellow Card: D. Leon
  13. Substitution: G. PerrinOut: H. Haraldsson
    82'
    Substitution: G. PerrinLille · Out: H. Haraldsson
  14. 82'
    Substitution: M. SenayaAuxerre · Out: S. Mara
    Substitution: M. SenayaOut: S. Mara
  15. 90'
    Goal: L. SinayokoAuxerre · Assist: G. Mensah
    Goal: L. SinayokoAssist: G. Mensah
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Haraldsson vs Auxerre defense: Lille's top scorer vs a leaky backline
2L. Sinayoko vs Lille defense: Auxerre's main threat vs a rock-solid unit
3Midfield battle: Lille's double pivot vs Auxerre's three-man midfield
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lille

  • Excellent defense with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home record
  • Attack not prolific (1.4 goals per game)
  • Reliance on set pieces

Auxerre

  • Decent attack (1.8 goals per game)
  • Sinayoko is a threat
  • Poor defense (conceded 44 goals)
  • Weak away form

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Lille454015

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Lille is predicted to win or draw based on strong defensive form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Lille is unbeaten in 5 matches (WDWDW) with 4 clean sheets, conceding only 0.2 goals per game. Auxerre has 2 wins but also 2 draws and a loss, conceding 1.4 per game.

Key Factors: Lille's defense (88% rating) vs Auxerre's attack (56%) is a mismatch. Lille has won 5 of 10 H2H matches, Auxerre only 1. Auxerre's key attacker Sinayoko may be isolated.

Conclusion: Lille's solid defense and home form should secure at least a point, with a likely narrow win.

Statistical ContextLille

Double chance : Lille or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LilleAuxerre
68%Strength31%
44%Attacking Potential56%
88%Defensive Potential13%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
67%Goals H2H33%
68%Wins the Game31%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LilleInjuries · Auxerre

Statistical Context

Lille

WLWDW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Estac Troyes2-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · Real Betis2-3
  • WSep 3, 26A · Toulouse0-1
  • DAug 28, 26H · Paris Saint Germain2-2
  • WAug 23, 26A · Angers0-2

Auxerre

WLLLW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Nice1-0
  • LSep 4, 26A · Lyon3-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Angers1-3
  • LAug 22, 26A · Lens5-2
  • WMay 10, 26H · Nice2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Lille4+510WWDW
2Monaco4+410DWWW
14Le Mans4-13DDLD
15Auxerre4-63WLLL
16Le Havre4-22DLDL

Head to Head

5
Lille
4
Draws
1
Auxerre
  • Dec 14, 25Auxerre – Lille3-4
  • Apr 20, 25Lille – Auxerre3-1
  • Jan 10, 25Auxerre – Lille0-0
  • Apr 22, 23Auxerre – Lille1-1
  • Aug 7, 22Lille – Auxerre4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LilleAuxerre
Played33
Goals Scored54
Goals Conceded211
Avg Scored1.71.3
Avg Conceded0.73.7
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LilleAuxerre
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Lille vs Auxerre — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lille's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Auxerre, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Lille is predicted to win or draw based on strong defensive form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Lille is unbeaten in 5 matches (WDWDW) with 4 clean sheets, conceding only 0.2 goals per game. Auxerre has 2 wins but also 2 draws and a loss, conceding 1.4 per game.

Key Factors: Lille's defense (88% rating) vs Auxerre's attack (56%) is a mismatch. Lille has won 5 of 10 H2H matches, Auxerre only 1. Auxerre's key attacker Sinayoko may be isolated.

Conclusion: Lille's solid defense and home form should secure at least a point, with a likely narrow win.

Win Probabilities: Lille: 45% · Draw: 35% · Auxerre: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Lille wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Auxerre wins: 1

Form (latest first): Lille: WLWDW · Auxerre: WLLLW

  • H. Haraldsson vs Auxerre defense: Lille's top scorer vs a leaky backline
  • L. Sinayoko vs Lille defense: Auxerre's main threat vs a rock-solid unit
  • Midfield battle: Lille's double pivot vs Auxerre's three-man midfield

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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