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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Estac Troyes vs Lens

Estac Troyes vs Lens

Prediction • Ligue 1·Estac Troyes·Lens

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Oct 17, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stade de l'Aube
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Lens

Lens

Away
Stadium
Stade de l'Aube
Win Probabilities
21%
Estac Troyes
20%
Draw
59%
Lens
Home4.7621%
Draw5.0020%
Away1.6959%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Lens are favored at 59% to win away at Estac Troyes. The draw is rated 20% and the home win 21%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Estac Troyes vs Lens.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Estac Troyes
/10
4.0Lens
Estac Troyes
FormLatest first
LLWDL
Win Rate20%
Lens
FormLatest first
DWLLW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageLens+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Estac Troyes
Home

Estac Troyes

Form
DWLL
Latest first
12
Pos
4
Pts
-5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets125%
Goal Diff-5
  • Capable of scoring goals when in rhythm, with four goals in last five
  • One clean sheet in last five shows defensive resilience at times
  • Home crowd support at Stade de l'Aube
M. Ifnaoui
Injury
Injured
A. Phliponeau
Knee Injury
Injured
I. Gomis
Injury
Injured
Y. Titi
Injury
Injured
I. Boura
Injury
Injured
A. Fatah
Hamstring Injury
Injured
P. Gozzi
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
2Wins
1
Draws
Lens
7Wins
Lens
20%10%70%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb42026
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
2-4
Loss
LensLens
Jan282023
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-1
Draw
LensLens
Sep92022
LensLens
1-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
May142022
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-3
Loss
LensLens
Nov52021
LensLens
4-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Feb42020
LensLens
1-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Aug242019
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
2-0
Win
LensLens
Aug132019
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-2
Loss
LensLens
Jan282019
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-0
Win
LensLens
Aug182018
LensLens
2-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Estac Troyes 2 - 4 Lens

Feb 4, 2026

25% / 20% / 55%

Estac Troyes4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1LensPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Estac Troyes

7Out

7 key players

Lens

15Out

13 key players

Estac Troyes

Team

Estac Troyes

Players Out

7(7 key)
M. Ifnaoui

M. Ifnaoui

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phliponeau

A. Phliponeau

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

I. Gomis

I. Gomis

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Y. Titi

Y. Titi

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Boura

I. Boura

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Fatah

A. Fatah

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Gozzi

P. Gozzi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Lens

Team

Lens

Players Out

15(13 key)
K. Antonio

K. Antonio

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
S. Sagnan

S. Sagnan

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Nawrocki

M. Nawrocki

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Ganiou

I. Ganiou

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Diarra

M. Diarra

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Jourdren

I. Jourdren

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Mesloub

M. Mesloub

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Y. Titraoui

Y. Titraoui

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Udol

M. Udol

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Baidoo

S. Baidoo

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

N. Celik

N. Celik

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Abdulhamid

S. Abdulhamid

MODERATE
Injury:Contusion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Chavez

J. Chavez

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

O. Edouard

O. Edouard

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Gradit

J. Gradit

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ligue 1

League Statistics

Ligue 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lille
Lille
431072+510
2
Monaco
Monaco
431062+410
3
Rennes
Rennes
431085+310
4
Lyon
Lyon
422062+48
5
Paris FC
Paris FC
422062+48
6
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
421198+17
7
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
41216605
8
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
41216605
9
Lorient
Lorient
41214405
10
Lens
LensAway
411287+14
11
Angers
Angers
411245-14
12
Estac Troyes
Estac TroyesHome
411249-54
13
Marseille
Marseille
41036603
14
Le Mans
Le Mans
403178-13
15
Auxerre
Auxerre
4103511-63
16
Le Havre
Le Havre
402224-22
17
Toulouse
Toulouse
402247-32
18
Nice
Nice
402215-42
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Lens

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

21%Estac Troyes
20%Draw
59%Lens

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 18:45
StadiumStade de l'Aube
League StatsLigue 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Estac TroyesInjuries · LensLive scores →

Statistical Context

Estac Troyes

LLWDL
  • LSep 13, 26A · Lille2-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · Strasbourg2-6
  • WAug 29, 26A · Lorient1-2
  • DAug 22, 26H · Paris FC0-0
  • LMay 9, 26A · Grenoble1-0

Lens

DWLLW
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Strasbourg2-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Auxerre5-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Lorient405DWLD
10Lens4+14DLLW
11Angers4-14DLWL
12Estac Troyes4-54LLWD
13Marseille403LLLW

Head to Head

2
Estac Troyes
1
Draws
7
Lens
  • Feb 4, 26Estac Troyes – Lens2-4
  • Jan 28, 23Estac Troyes – Lens1-1
  • Sep 9, 22Lens – Estac Troyes1-0
  • May 14, 22Estac Troyes – Lens1-3
  • Nov 5, 21Lens – Estac Troyes4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Estac TroyesLens
Played44
Goals Scored48
Goals Conceded97
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded2.31.8
Clean Sheets10

Predicted line-ups: Estac Troyes vs Lens

Predicted XI

Estac Troyes

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: D. Guion

Lens

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: D. Toppmöller

  1. 16M. Gorgelin
  1. 4N. Čelik
  2. 20J. Todibo
  3. 23Saud Abdulhamid
  1. 2R. Aguilar
  2. 5A. Bulatović
  3. 27M. Cuisance
  4. 21A. Haidara
  1. 9T. Hazard
  2. 19A. Sima
  1. 11O. Édouard
  1. 9J. Le Douaron
  1. 17A. Mille
  2. 22H. Picard
  3. 36I. Soukouna
  1. 8M. Diop
  2. 29D. Karim
  1. 41Enisio Carneiro
  2. 4M. Diaz
  3. 31Noah Donkor
  4. 2L. Maronnier
  1. 33P. Beach

Bench

  • 40H. Konaté
  • 6A. Monfray
  • 3A. Ouzenadji
  • 7K. Diawara
  • 23T. Nkada
  • 20R. Ripart
  • 1Z. Boucher

Out

  • M. Ifnaoui · Injury
  • A. Phliponeau · Knee Injury
  • I. Gomis · Injury
  • Y. Titi · Injury
  • I. Boura · Injury
  • A. Fatah · Hamstring Injury
  • P. Gozzi · Muscle Injury

Bench

  • 40R. Risser
  • 22M. Skóraś
  • 10F. Thauvin
  • 29F. Ivanović
  • 28J. Kadile
  • 7F. Sotoca
  • 1R. Gurtner

Out

  • K. Antonio · Red Card
  • S. Sagnan · Red Card
  • M. Nawrocki · Injury
  • I. Ganiou · Injury
  • M. Diarra · Off the roster
  • I. Jourdren · Off the roster
  • M. Mesloub · Off the roster
  • Y. Titraoui · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Lens — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Lens are favored at 59% to win away at Estac Troyes. The draw is rated 20% and the home win 21%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Lens are the clear favourites for this Ligue 1 encounter at the Stade de l'Aube, with the statistical models and head-to-head record both pointing strongly in their direction. Estac Troyes face an uphill battle to take anything from this fixture.…

Win Probabilities: Estac Troyes: 21% · Draw: 20% · Lens: 59%

H2H: Estac Troyes wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Lens wins: 7

Form (latest first): Estac Troyes: LLWDL · Lens: DWLLW

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Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
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Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
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Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
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Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
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Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
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Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
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Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
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Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
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Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
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Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
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Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
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Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
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Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
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Ligue 1France
Nice
Oct 1113:00
Strasbourg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
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