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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Estac Troyes vs Marseille

Estac Troyes vs Marseille

Prediction • Ligue 1·Estac Troyes·Marseille

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Oct 11, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stade de l'Aube
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Marseille

Marseille

Away
Stadium
Stade de l'Aube
Win Probabilities
32%
Estac Troyes
26%
Draw
42%
Marseille
Home3.1332%
Draw3.8526%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Marseille are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stronger statistical profile, despite their recent two-match losing run. The main risk is their own injury list and Troyes' home resilience, which could keep this tighter than expected.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Estac Troyes vs Marseille.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Estac Troyes
/10
4.0Marseille
Estac Troyes
FormLatest first
LLWDL
Win Rate20%
Marseille
FormLatest first
LLLWW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageMarseille+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Estac Troyes
Home

Estac Troyes

Form
DWLL
Latest first
12
Pos
4
Pts
-3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets133%
Goal Diff-3
  • Home advantage in front of their own supporters
  • Recent form includes a win and a draw in their last three
  • Ability to find the net with 1.2 goals per game average
M. Ifnaoui
Injury
Injured
A. Phliponeau
Knee Injury
Injured
I. Gomis
Injury
Injured
Y. Titi
Injury
Injured
I. Boura
Injury
Injured
A. Fatah
Hamstring Injury
Injured
P. Gozzi
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
1Wins
2
Draws
Marseille
7Wins
Marseille
10%20%70%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr162023
MarseilleMarseille
3-1
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Jan112023
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
0-2
Loss
MarseilleMarseille
Feb272022
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-1
Draw
MarseilleMarseille
Nov282021
MarseilleMarseille
1-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Apr152018
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
2-3
Loss
MarseilleMarseille
Dec202017
MarseilleMarseille
3-1
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
May142016
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-1
Draw
MarseilleMarseille
Aug232015
MarseilleMarseille
6-0
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Mar32013
MarseilleMarseille
2-1
Loss
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
Oct212012
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1-0
Win
MarseilleMarseille
Estac Troyes4-2-3-1vs4-1-4-1MarseillePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Estac Troyes

7Out

7 key players

Marseille

9Out

8 key players

Estac Troyes

Team

Estac Troyes

Players Out

7(7 key)
M. Ifnaoui

M. Ifnaoui

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phliponeau

A. Phliponeau

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

I. Gomis

I. Gomis

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Y. Titi

Y. Titi

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Boura

I. Boura

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Fatah

A. Fatah

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Gozzi

P. Gozzi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Marseille

Team

Marseille

Players Out

9(8 key)
Q. Timber

Q. Timber

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Koum Mbondo

A. Koum Mbondo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

N. Aguerd

N. Aguerd

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Gomes

A. Gomes

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Kondogbia

G. Kondogbia

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Balerdi

L. Balerdi

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Nnadi

T. Nnadi

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Moumbagna

F. Moumbagna

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Paixao

I. Paixao

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ligue 1

League Statistics

Ligue 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lille
Lille
431072+510
2
Monaco
Monaco
431062+410
3
Rennes
Rennes
431085+310
4
Lyon
Lyon
422062+48
5
Paris FC
Paris FC
422062+48
6
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
421198+17
7
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
41216605
8
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
41216605
9
Lorient
Lorient
41214405
10
Lens
Lens
411287+14
11
Angers
Angers
411245-14
12
Estac Troyes
Estac TroyesHome
411249-54
13
Marseille
MarseilleAway
41036603
14
Le Mans
Le Mans
403178-13
15
Auxerre
Auxerre
4103511-63
16
Le Havre
Le Havre
402224-22
17
Toulouse
Toulouse
402247-32
18
Nice
Nice
402215-42
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Marseille

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%Estac Troyes
26%Draw
42%Marseille

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 18:45
StadiumStade de l'Aube
League StatsLigue 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Estac TroyesInjuries · Marseille

Statistical Context

Estac Troyes

LLWDL
  • LSep 13, 26A · Lille2-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · Strasbourg2-6
  • WAug 29, 26A · Lorient1-2
  • DAug 22, 26H · Paris FC0-0
  • LMay 9, 26A · Grenoble1-0

Marseille

LLLWW
  • LSep 11, 26A · Rennes1-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · Paris FC2-3
  • LAug 30, 26A · Monaco2-0
  • WAug 21, 26H · Strasbourg4-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Rennes3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Angers4-14DLWL
12Estac Troyes4-54LLWD
13Marseille403LLLW
14Le Mans4-13DDLD

Head to Head

1
Estac Troyes
2
Draws
7
Marseille
  • Apr 16, 23Marseille – Estac Troyes3-1
  • Jan 11, 23Estac Troyes – Marseille0-2
  • Feb 27, 22Estac Troyes – Marseille1-1
  • Nov 28, 21Marseille – Estac Troyes1-0
  • Apr 15, 18Estac Troyes – Marseille2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Estac TroyesMarseille
Played33
Goals Scored46
Goals Conceded75
Avg Scored1.32.0
Avg Conceded2.31.7
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Estac TroyesMarseille
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Predicted line-ups: Estac Troyes vs Marseille

Predicted XI

Estac Troyes

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: D. Guion

Marseille

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: André Villas-Boas

  1. 1J. de Lange
  1. 13D. Cornelius
  2. 4C. Egan-Riley
  3. 33Emerson
  4. 25U. Garcia
  1. 8H. Abdelli
  1. 77A. Harit
  2. 23P. Højbjerg
  3. 42Nouhoum Kamissoko
  4. 14Igor Paixão
  1. 43T. Mmadi
  1. 7K. Diawara
  1. 29D. Karim
  2. 17A. Mille
  3. 26A. Phliponeau
  1. 8M. Diop
  2. 10M. Ifnaoui
  1. 41Enisio Carneiro
  2. 4M. Diaz
  3. 31Noah Donkor
  4. 2L. Maronnier
  1. 33P. Beach

Bench

  • 40H. Konaté
  • 6A. Monfray
  • 3A. Ouzenadji
  • 22H. Picard
  • 9J. Le Douaron
  • 23T. Nkada
  • 20R. Ripart

Out

  • M. Ifnaoui · Injury
  • A. Phliponeau · Knee Injury
  • I. Gomis · Injury
  • Y. Titi · Injury
  • I. Boura · Injury
  • A. Fatah · Hamstring Injury
  • P. Gozzi · Muscle Injury

Bench

  • 92T. Vermot
  • 18B. Meité
  • 22T. Weah
  • 48K. Abdallah
  • 9A. Gouiri
  • 11N. Maupay
  • 40J. Van Neck

Out

  • Q. Timber · Yellow Cards
  • A. Koum Mbondo · Inactive
  • N. Aguerd · Groin Injury
  • A. Gomes · Injury
  • G. Kondogbia · Injury
  • L. Balerdi · Calf Injury
  • T. Nnadi · Injury
  • F. Moumbagna · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Marseille — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Marseille are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stronger statistical profile, despite their recent two-match losing run. The main risk is their own injury list and Troyes' home resilience, which could keep this tighter than expected.

Marseille are the clear favourites for this Ligue 1 encounter, with the statistical model and the head-to-head record both pointing strongly in their direction. Estac Troyes have shown flashes of resilience but face a significant step up in class.…

Win Probabilities: Estac Troyes: 32% · Draw: 26% · Marseille: 42%

H2H: Estac Troyes wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Marseille wins: 7

Form (latest first): Estac Troyes: LLWDL · Marseille: LLLWW

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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