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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Strasbourg vs Lens

Strasbourg vs Lens

Result • Ligue 1·Strasbourg·Lens

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 29, 2026
15:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Strasbourg

Strasbourg

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.00
X3.86
21.97
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
medium Confidence
Lens

Lens

Away
Odds
14.00
X3.86
21.97
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Win Probabilities
21%
Strasbourg
29%
Draw
50%
Lens
Home4.0021%
Draw3.8629%
Away1.9750%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Lens are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defence, and a dominant head-to-head record. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, though the home side's physical approach could pose a threat.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Strasbourg and Lens using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Strasbourg a 21% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Lens a 50% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: J. Mitchell
    36'
    Yellow Card: J. MitchellStrasbourg
  2. 38'
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)Lens
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)
  3. Goal: G. YassineAssist: S. Nanasi
    48'
    Goal: G. YassineStrasbourg · Assist: S. Nanasi
  4. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Ortega
    56'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideStrasbourg · J. Ortega
  5. 62'
    Substitution: R. AguilarLens · Out: M. Nawrocki
    Substitution: R. AguilarOut: M. Nawrocki
  6. 69'
    Yellow Card: F. IvanovicLens
    Yellow Card: F. Ivanovic
  7. 72'
    Substitution: A. BulatovicLens · Out: M. Cuisance
    Substitution: A. BulatovicOut: M. Cuisance
  8. 73'
    Substitution: T. HazardLens · Out: F. Ivanovic
    Substitution: T. HazardOut: F. Ivanovic
  9. Substitution: S. Amo-AmeyawOut: G. Reyna
    76'
    Substitution: S. Amo-AmeyawStrasbourg · Out: G. Reyna
  10. 80'
    Yellow Card: R. AguilarLens
    Yellow Card: R. Aguilar
  11. Substitution: K. CoulibalyOut: L. Hogsberg
    83'
    Substitution: K. CoulibalyStrasbourg · Out: L. Hogsberg
  12. Substitution: S. MaraOut: J. Ortega
    83'
    Substitution: S. MaraStrasbourg · Out: J. Ortega
  13. Yellow Card: G. Yassine
    84'
    Yellow Card: G. YassineStrasbourg
  14. Goal: G. YassineAssist: S. Nanasi
    85'
    Goal: G. YassineStrasbourg · Assist: S. Nanasi
  15. 89'
    Substitution: F. SotocaLens · Out: A. Sima
    Substitution: F. SotocaOut: A. Sima
  16. 89'
    Substitution: M. SoaresLens · Out: M. Skoras
    Substitution: M. SoaresOut: M. Skoras
  17. Substitution: F. BaldeOut: G. Yassine
    90'
    Substitution: F. BaldeStrasbourg · Out: G. Yassine
  18. Substitution: M. Del BlancoOut: S. Nanasi
    90'
    Substitution: M. Del BlancoStrasbourg · Out: S. Nanasi
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Strasbourg 2-1 Lens
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 4.0 – 7.0Real 3 – 6Lens more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 11.0Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.9Real 4Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-1chances only—
Shots on target✗ missPredicted 4.7 – 5.9Real 7 – 7Lens more shots on target✗ miss
Total shots—Predicted 12.8 – 17.3Real 16 – 17chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Jörgensen vs M. Cuisance: Strasbourg's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Lens' creative midfielder, who orchestrates attacks and can unlock defences.
2G. Doué vs O. Édouard: The home defender faces a tough test against Lens' striker, who is in good scoring form and will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
3S. Nanasi vs M. Gorgelin: Strasbourg's attacking midfielder will try to test the Lens goalkeeper, who has kept two clean sheets recently and will be confident.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Strasbourg

  • Home advantage at Stade de la Meinau
  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Poor form with a current losing streak
  • Leaky defence conceding 3.2 goals per game

Lens

  • Excellent form with two consecutive wins
  • Strong defensive record with two clean sheets in last five
  • Six players unavailable due to suspension and injuries
  • Failed to score in two of their last five matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
45%
48%
Lens163748

Moderate agreement on away win (48%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data provided, Lens enter this match as the clear favourites. They sit 2nd in the league with a perfect start, while Strasbourg are rooted to the bottom of the table. The away side's superior form, defensive solidity, and head-to-head edge all point towards a Lens victory.

Form Analysis: Lens have won their last two matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 2, with two clean sheets in their last five. Strasbourg, in contrast, are on a losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games and conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Lens' defensive organisation has been impressive, conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average, while Strasbourg's leaky defence has shipped 3.2 per game. Additionally, Lens have a stronger head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Strasbourg are also missing five players through injury, further weakening an already struggling side.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable away win. Lens' form, defensive stability, and historical dominance over Strasbourg make them the overwhelming favourites. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor form leave them with little hope of turning the tide.

Statistical ContextLens

Combo Double chance : draw or Lens and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
StrasbourgLens
42%Strength58%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
46%Goals H2H54%
42%Wins the Game58%

More information

Ligue 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 109/9Head-to-headStrasbourg – LensInjuriesStrasbourgInjuriesLensLive scores

Statistical Context

Strasbourg

LWLLL
  • LNov 6, 26A · Toulouse3-1
  • WNov 1, 26H · Auxerre5-1
  • LOct 25, 26A · Rennes3-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Paris Saint Germain1-3
  • LOct 11, 26A · Nice2-1

Lens

LLWLW
  • LNov 4, 26H · Como1-9
  • LOct 30, 26A · Lille1-0
  • WOct 24, 26H · Paris FC2-1
  • LOct 21, 26A · Club Brugge KV3-0
  • WOct 17, 26A · Estac Troyes1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Nice9+114WWLWW
9Lens9+313LWWWL
10Toulouse10+113WLDWD
11Stade Brestois 299+412WLDWL
12Lorient9-112LDWWL
13Strasbourg10-410LWLLL
14Auxerre9-1010LDWLW

Head to Head

3
Strasbourg
3
Draws
4
Lens
  • Feb 27, 26Strasbourg – Lens1-1
  • Nov 22, 25Lens – Strasbourg1-0
  • Feb 16, 25Lens – Strasbourg0-2
  • Oct 6, 24Strasbourg – Lens2-2
  • Feb 10, 24Lens – Strasbourg3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

StrasbourgLens
Played93
Goals Scored173
Goals Conceded197
Avg Scored1.91.0
Avg Conceded2.12.3
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

StrasbourgLens
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Strasbourg vs Lens — Match Analysis

Lens are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defence, and a dominant head-to-head record. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, though the home side's physical approach could pose a threat.

Based on the data provided, Lens enter this match as the clear favourites. They sit 2nd in the league with a perfect start, while Strasbourg are rooted to the bottom of the table. The away side's superior form, defensive solidity, and head-to-head edge all point towards a Lens victory.

Form Analysis: Lens have won their last two matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 2, with two clean sheets in their last five. Strasbourg, in contrast, are on a losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games and conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Lens' defensive organisation has been impressive, conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average, while Strasbourg's leaky defence has shipped 3.2 per game. Additionally, Lens have a stronger head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Strasbourg are also missing five players through injury, further weakening an already struggling side.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable away win. Lens' form, defensive stability, and historical dominance over Strasbourg make them the overwhelming favourites. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor form leave them with little hope of turning the tide.

Win Probabilities: Strasbourg: 21% · Draw: 29% · Lens: 50%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Strasbourg wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Lens wins: 4

Form (latest first): Strasbourg: LWLLL · Lens: LLWLW

  • F. Jörgensen vs M. Cuisance: Strasbourg's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Lens' creative midfielder, who orchestrates attacks and can unlock defences.
  • G. Doué vs O. Édouard: The home defender faces a tough test against Lens' striker, who is in good scoring form and will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
  • S. Nanasi vs M. Gorgelin: Strasbourg's attacking midfielder will try to test the Lens goalkeeper, who has kept two clean sheets recently and will be confident.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Nov 718:00
Paris FC
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 720:05
Estac Troyes
11.2083%
X7.6913%
225.004%
Ligue 1France
Rennes
Nov 814:00
Lille
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Nov 816:15
Nice
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Nov 816:15
Lyon
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Nov 816:15
Lorient
13.0333%
X3.3330%
22.7037%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Nov 816:15
Monaco
15.8817%
X3.5728%
21.8255%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 819:45
Marseille
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Nov 2019:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2116:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Nov 2119:45
Lyon
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Nov 2119:45
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Nov 2119:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 2119:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Nov 2214:00
Angers
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%

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