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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Strasbourg vs Lens

Strasbourg vs Lens

Result • Ligue 1·Strasbourg·Lens

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 29, 2026
15:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Strasbourg

Strasbourg

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.00
X3.86
21.97
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
medium Confidence
Lens

Lens

Away
Odds
14.00
X3.86
21.97
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Win Probabilities
21%
Strasbourg
29%
Draw
50%
Lens
Home4.0021%
Draw3.8629%
Away1.9750%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Lens are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defence, and a dominant head-to-head record. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, though the home side's physical approach could pose a threat.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Strasbourg and Lens using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Strasbourg a 21% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Lens a 50% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: J. Mitchell
    36'
    Yellow Card: J. MitchellStrasbourg
  2. 38'
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)Lens
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)
  3. Goal: G. YassineAssist: S. Nanasi
    48'
    Goal: G. YassineStrasbourg · Assist: S. Nanasi
  4. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Ortega
    56'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideStrasbourg · J. Ortega
  5. 62'
    Substitution: R. AguilarLens · Out: M. Nawrocki
    Substitution: R. AguilarOut: M. Nawrocki
  6. 69'
    Yellow Card: F. IvanovicLens
    Yellow Card: F. Ivanovic
  7. 72'
    Substitution: A. BulatovicLens · Out: M. Cuisance
    Substitution: A. BulatovicOut: M. Cuisance
  8. 73'
    Substitution: T. HazardLens · Out: F. Ivanovic
    Substitution: T. HazardOut: F. Ivanovic
  9. Substitution: S. Amo-AmeyawOut: G. Reyna
    76'
    Substitution: S. Amo-AmeyawStrasbourg · Out: G. Reyna
  10. 80'
    Yellow Card: R. AguilarLens
    Yellow Card: R. Aguilar
  11. Substitution: K. CoulibalyOut: L. Hogsberg
    83'
    Substitution: K. CoulibalyStrasbourg · Out: L. Hogsberg
  12. Substitution: S. MaraOut: J. Ortega
    83'
    Substitution: S. MaraStrasbourg · Out: J. Ortega
  13. Yellow Card: G. Yassine
    84'
    Yellow Card: G. YassineStrasbourg
  14. Goal: G. YassineAssist: S. Nanasi
    85'
    Goal: G. YassineStrasbourg · Assist: S. Nanasi
  15. 89'
    Substitution: F. SotocaLens · Out: A. Sima
    Substitution: F. SotocaOut: A. Sima
  16. 89'
    Substitution: M. SoaresLens · Out: M. Skoras
    Substitution: M. SoaresOut: M. Skoras
  17. Substitution: F. BaldeOut: G. Yassine
    90'
    Substitution: F. BaldeStrasbourg · Out: G. Yassine
  18. Substitution: M. Del BlancoOut: S. Nanasi
    90'
    Substitution: M. Del BlancoStrasbourg · Out: S. Nanasi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Jörgensen vs M. Cuisance: Strasbourg's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Lens' creative midfielder, who orchestrates attacks and can unlock defences.
2G. Doué vs O. Édouard: The home defender faces a tough test against Lens' striker, who is in good scoring form and will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
3S. Nanasi vs M. Gorgelin: Strasbourg's attacking midfielder will try to test the Lens goalkeeper, who has kept two clean sheets recently and will be confident.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Strasbourg

  • Home advantage at Stade de la Meinau
  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Poor form with a current losing streak
  • Leaky defence conceding 3.2 goals per game

Lens

  • Excellent form with two consecutive wins
  • Strong defensive record with two clean sheets in last five
  • Six players unavailable due to suspension and injuries
  • Failed to score in two of their last five matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
45%
48%
Lens163748

Moderate agreement on away win (48%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data provided, Lens enter this match as the clear favourites. They sit 2nd in the league with a perfect start, while Strasbourg are rooted to the bottom of the table. The away side's superior form, defensive solidity, and head-to-head edge all point towards a Lens victory.

Form Analysis: Lens have won their last two matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 2, with two clean sheets in their last five. Strasbourg, in contrast, are on a losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games and conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Lens' defensive organisation has been impressive, conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average, while Strasbourg's leaky defence has shipped 3.2 per game. Additionally, Lens have a stronger head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Strasbourg are also missing five players through injury, further weakening an already struggling side.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable away win. Lens' form, defensive stability, and historical dominance over Strasbourg make them the overwhelming favourites. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor form leave them with little hope of turning the tide.

Statistical ContextLens

Combo Double chance : draw or Lens and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
StrasbourgLens
42%Strength58%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
46%Goals H2H54%
42%Wins the Game58%
Head-to-head →Injuries · StrasbourgInjuries · LensLive scores →

Statistical Context

Strasbourg

LDWLW
  • LSep 19, 26A · Paris FC2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Monaco1-1
  • WSep 6, 26A · Estac Troyes2-6
  • LAug 21, 26A · Marseille4-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Monaco5-4

Lens

LDWLW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Monaco2-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Auxerre5-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Angers5+17WDLWL
8Strasbourg507LDWWL
9Le Mans506WDDLD
10Auxerre5-56WWLLL
11Stade Brestois 295-15LLWDD
12Lorient5-15LDWLD
13Toulouse5-25WDLDL
14Nice5-35WLDLD
15Lens504LDLLW
16Estac Troyes5-74LLLWD

Head to Head

3
Strasbourg
3
Draws
4
Lens
  • Feb 27, 26Strasbourg – Lens1-1
  • Nov 22, 25Lens – Strasbourg1-0
  • Feb 16, 25Lens – Strasbourg0-2
  • Oct 6, 24Strasbourg – Lens2-2
  • Feb 10, 24Lens – Strasbourg3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

StrasbourgLens
Played44
Goals Scored98
Goals Conceded87
Avg Scored2.32.0
Avg Conceded2.01.8
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

StrasbourgLens
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Strasbourg vs Lens — Match Analysis

Lens are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defence, and a dominant head-to-head record. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, though the home side's physical approach could pose a threat.

Based on the data provided, Lens enter this match as the clear favourites. They sit 2nd in the league with a perfect start, while Strasbourg are rooted to the bottom of the table. The away side's superior form, defensive solidity, and head-to-head edge all point towards a Lens victory.

Form Analysis: Lens have won their last two matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 2, with two clean sheets in their last five. Strasbourg, in contrast, are on a losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games and conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: Lens' defensive organisation has been impressive, conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average, while Strasbourg's leaky defence has shipped 3.2 per game. Additionally, Lens have a stronger head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Strasbourg are also missing five players through injury, further weakening an already struggling side.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable away win. Lens' form, defensive stability, and historical dominance over Strasbourg make them the overwhelming favourites. Strasbourg's injury crisis and poor form leave them with little hope of turning the tide.

Win Probabilities: Strasbourg: 21% · Draw: 29% · Lens: 50%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Strasbourg wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Lens wins: 4

Form (latest first): Strasbourg: LDWLW · Lens: LDWLW

  • F. Jörgensen vs M. Cuisance: Strasbourg's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Lens' creative midfielder, who orchestrates attacks and can unlock defences.
  • G. Doué vs O. Édouard: The home defender faces a tough test against Lens' striker, who is in good scoring form and will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
  • S. Nanasi vs M. Gorgelin: Strasbourg's attacking midfielder will try to test the Lens goalkeeper, who has kept two clean sheets recently and will be confident.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Oct 1113:00
Strasbourg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Rennes
Oct 1115:15
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1118:45
Marseille
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Oct 1618:45
Toulouse
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Oct 1715:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1718:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1718:45
Lens
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 1813:00
Marseille
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1815:15
Monaco
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

Betting Tips

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