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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain

Result • Ligue 1·Strasbourg·Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Oct 17, 2026
15:15
high Confidence
Strasbourg

Strasbourg

Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
16.00
X5.00
21.40
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
high Confidence
WINNER
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
Odds
16.00
X5.00
21.40
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Win Probabilities
13%
Strasbourg
23%
Draw
64%
Paris Saint Germain
Home6.0013%
Draw5.0023%
Away1.4064%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Strasbourg's physical home approach in wet conditions, which could disrupt PSG's rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Strasbourg and Paris Saint Germain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Strasbourg a 13% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Paris Saint Germain a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 69%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 69%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Giovanni ReynaAssist: Gessime Yassine
    17'
    Goal: Giovanni ReynaStrasbourg · Assist: Gessime Yassine
  2. 53'
    Substitution: Nuno MendesParis Saint Germain · Out: Lucas Digne
    Substitution: Nuno MendesOut: Lucas Digne
  3. 54'
    Substitution: Désiré DoueParis Saint Germain · Out: Dro Fernández
    Substitution: Désiré DoueOut: Dro Fernández
  4. 54'
    Substitution: VitinhaParis Saint Germain · Out: Lucas Beraldo
    Substitution: VitinhaOut: Lucas Beraldo
  5. Substitution: Samuel Amo-AmeyawOut: Fábio Baldé
    60'
    Substitution: Samuel Amo-AmeyawStrasbourg · Out: Fábio Baldé
  6. 63'
    Substitution: Achraf HakimiParis Saint Germain · Out: João Neves
    Substitution: Achraf HakimiOut: João Neves
  7. 63'
    Substitution: Ousmane DembéléParis Saint Germain · Out: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    Substitution: Ousmane DembéléOut: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  8. 70'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedParis Saint Germain · Désiré Doue
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedDésiré Doue
  9. 72'
    Missed penalty: Ousmane DembéléParis Saint Germain · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: Ousmane DembéléMissed penalty
  10. Substitution: Samir El-MourabetOut: Pape Demba Diop
    75'
    Substitution: Samir El-MourabetStrasbourg · Out: Pape Demba Diop
  11. Yellow Card: Conrad Harder
    76'
    Yellow Card: Conrad HarderStrasbourg
  12. 77'
    Goal: Ilya ZabarnyiParis Saint Germain · Assist: Ousmane Dembélé
    Goal: Ilya ZabarnyiAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
  13. Yellow Card: Dario Essugo
    78'
    Yellow Card: Dario EssugoStrasbourg
  14. Substitution: Yaya DiemeOut: Gessime Yassine
    83'
    Substitution: Yaya DiemeStrasbourg · Out: Gessime Yassine
  15. Substitution: Jacobo OrtegaOut: Conrad Harder
    83'
    Substitution: Jacobo OrtegaStrasbourg · Out: Conrad Harder
  16. 85'
    Goal: Ousmane DembéléParis Saint Germain
    Goal: Ousmane Dembélé
  17. 90+3'
    Goal: Désiré DoueParis Saint Germain · Assist: Ferrán Torres
    Goal: Désiré DoueAssist: Ferrán Torres
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Strasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint Germain
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 2.6 – 6.9Real 3 – 6Paris Saint Germain more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 9.5Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 2.8Real 2Over 1.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-0chances only—
Shots on target✗ missPredicted 5.2 – 6.3Real 8 – 7Paris Saint Germain more shots on target✗ miss
Total shots—Predicted 13.4 – 17.6Real 16 – 18chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Strasbourg

  • Physical style suited to wet conditions
  • Strong home record (1W-1D-0L)
  • Eight players out through injury/suspension
  • Two-game losing streak

Paris Saint Germain

  • Five-game winning streak
  • High-scoring attack (3.2 goals per game)
  • Several key players injured
  • Occasional defensive lapses (1.0 goals conceded per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Paris Saint Germain123454

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter at Stade de la Meinau, with the market and statistical model both pointing to an away victory. Strasbourg will need to produce a remarkable performance to upset the odds.

Form Analysis: PSG arrive on a five-match winning streak, scoring 3.2 goals per game and conceding just 1.0, with one clean sheet. Strasbourg, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches and have struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets in their last five. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSG's attacking prowess is reflected in their 59% form rating and 57% defensive rating, while Strasbourg's 55% attack rating is offset by a 43% defense rating. The head-to-head record heavily favors PSG, who have won six of the last nine meetings. Injuries also play a role: Strasbourg are without eight players, including key midfielder S. Nanasi, while PSG are missing several stars but have greater squad depth to cope.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable PSG win. Strasbourg's home advantage and physical style in wet conditions may cause some problems, but the gulf in class and form should see the champions-elect take all three points.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
42%Strength57%
55%Attacking Potential45%
43%Defensive Potential57%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
43%Goals H2H57%
42%Wins the Game57%

More information

Ligue 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 109/9Head-to-headStrasbourg – Paris Saint GermainInjuriesStrasbourgInjuriesParis Saint GermainLive scores

Statistical Context

Strasbourg

WLLLD
  • WNov 1, 26H · Auxerre5-1
  • LOct 25, 26A · Rennes3-0
  • LOct 11, 26A · Nice2-1
  • LSep 19, 26A · Paris FC2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Monaco1-1

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW
  • WNov 3, 26A · Villarreal0-6
  • WOct 30, 26A · Le Havre1-5
  • WOct 26, 26H · Lyon2-0
  • WOct 20, 26H · Barcelona4-2
  • WOct 14, 26A · Manchester City2-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120WWWWW
2Lille9+618WDDWL
12Toulouse9-110LDWDW
13Strasbourg9-210WLLLL
14Auxerre9-1010LDWLW

Head to Head

1
Strasbourg
3
Draws
6
Paris Saint Germain
  • Feb 1, 26Strasbourg – Paris Saint Germain1-2
  • Oct 17, 25Paris Saint Germain – Strasbourg3-3
  • May 3, 25Strasbourg – Paris Saint Germain2-1
  • Oct 19, 24Paris Saint Germain – Strasbourg4-2
  • Feb 2, 24Strasbourg – Paris Saint Germain1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Played83
Goals Scored1214
Goals Conceded185
Avg Scored1.54.7
Avg Conceded2.31.7
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Over 2.5 Goals6/107/10
Both Teams Scored6/105/10
Clean Sheets2/104/10

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain — Match Analysis

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Strasbourg's physical home approach in wet conditions, which could disrupt PSG's rhythm.

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter at Stade de la Meinau, with the market and statistical model both pointing to an away victory. Strasbourg will need to produce a remarkable performance to upset the odds.

Form Analysis: PSG arrive on a five-match winning streak, scoring 3.2 goals per game and conceding just 1.0, with one clean sheet. Strasbourg, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches and have struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets in their last five. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSG's attacking prowess is reflected in their 59% form rating and 57% defensive rating, while Strasbourg's 55% attack rating is offset by a 43% defense rating. The head-to-head record heavily favors PSG, who have won six of the last nine meetings. Injuries also play a role: Strasbourg are without eight players, including key midfielder S. Nanasi, while PSG are missing several stars but have greater squad depth to cope.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable PSG win. Strasbourg's home advantage and physical style in wet conditions may cause some problems, but the gulf in class and form should see the champions-elect take all three points.

Win Probabilities: Strasbourg: 13% · Draw: 23% · Paris Saint Germain: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 70% · Under 2.5: 30% · BTTS: 69%

H2H: Strasbourg wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Paris Saint Germain wins: 6

Form (latest first): Strasbourg: WLLLD · Paris Saint Germain: WWWWW

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Nov 619:45
Strasbourg
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Nov 716:15
Paris FC
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 719:45
Estac Troyes
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Ligue 1France
Rennes
Nov 814:00
Lille
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Nov 816:15
Nice
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Nov 816:15
Lyon
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Nov 816:15
Lorient
13.0333%
X3.3330%
22.7037%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Nov 816:15
Monaco
15.8817%
X3.5728%
21.8255%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 819:45
Marseille
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Nov 2019:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2116:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Nov 2119:45
Lyon
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Nov 2119:45
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Nov 2119:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 2119:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%

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