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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 2
  3. Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

Result • Ligue 2·Saint Etienne·Montpellier

Ligue 2
Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.60
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
high Confidence
Montpellier

Montpellier

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.60
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Win Probabilities
57%
Saint Etienne
25%
Draw
18%
Montpellier
Home1.7057%
Draw3.8025%
Away4.6018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Saint Etienne are clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Montpellier. The main risk is Montpellier's resolute defence, which has kept three clean sheets in their last five, potentially frustrating the home side.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 2 fixture between Saint Etienne and Montpellier using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Saint Etienne a 57% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Montpellier a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Maxime BernauerAssist: Irvin Cardona
    41'
    Goal: Maxime BernauerSaint Etienne · Assist: Irvin Cardona
  2. 42'
    Yellow Card: Zoumana CamaraMontpellier
    Yellow Card: Zoumana Camara
  3. Yellow Card: Augustine Boakye
    45'
    Yellow Card: Augustine BoakyeSaint Etienne
  4. 45+5'
    Goal: Daylam MeddahMontpellier · Assist: Nordan Mukiele
    Goal: Daylam MeddahAssist: Nordan Mukiele
  5. Goal: Augustine BoakyeAssist: Tamar Svetlin
    49'
    Goal: Augustine BoakyeSaint Etienne · Assist: Tamar Svetlin
  6. Substitution: Ben OldOut: Maxime Bernauer
    58'
    Substitution: Ben OldSaint Etienne · Out: Maxime Bernauer
  7. 59'
    Yellow Card: Naoufel El HannachMontpellier
    Yellow Card: Naoufel El Hannach
  8. Yellow Card: I. Cathro
    59'
    Yellow Card: I. CathroSaint Etienne
  9. Substitution: Joshua DuffusOut: Thierno Ballo
    64'
    Substitution: Joshua DuffusSaint Etienne · Out: Thierno Ballo
  10. Substitution: Mahmoud JaberOut: Zuriko Davitashvili
    65'
    Substitution: Mahmoud JaberSaint Etienne · Out: Zuriko Davitashvili
  11. 67'
    Yellow Card: Daylam MeddahMontpellier
    Yellow Card: Daylam Meddah
  12. 70'
    Substitution: Jérémy HatchiMontpellier · Out: Hichem Abderrebi
    Substitution: Jérémy HatchiOut: Hichem Abderrebi
  13. 71'
    Substitution: Théo ChennahiMontpellier · Out: Naoufel El Hannach
    Substitution: Théo ChennahiOut: Naoufel El Hannach
  14. Goal: Joshua DuffusAssist: Irvin Cardona
    71'
    Goal: Joshua DuffusSaint Etienne · Assist: Irvin Cardona
  15. Substitution: Jakob BreumOut: Augustine Boakye
    76'
    Substitution: Jakob BreumSaint Etienne · Out: Augustine Boakye
  16. Substitution: João FerreiraOut: Kevin Pedro
    77'
    Substitution: João FerreiraSaint Etienne · Out: Kevin Pedro
  17. 79'
    Substitution: Grégory AyemMontpellier · Out: Daylam Meddah
    Substitution: Grégory AyemOut: Daylam Meddah
  18. 79'
    Substitution: Mamadou CamaraMontpellier · Out: Laciné Megnan Pave
    Substitution: Mamadou CamaraOut: Laciné Megnan Pave
  19. 84'
    Substitution: Noah VidalMontpellier · Out: Nicolas Pays
    Substitution: Noah VidalOut: Nicolas Pays
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Larsonneur vs M. Michel: The goalkeepers' duel could be decisive; Larsonneur's shot-stopping against Michel's command of the area may determine the outcome.
2M. Bernauer vs M. Chambon: Bernauer's attacking runs from full-back will test Chambon's defensive discipline on Montpellier's left flank.
3N. Kasia Nkondo vs Naoufel El Hannach: The battle between Saint Etienne's centre-back and Montpellier's forward could shape the game's flow, with Nkondo's aerial strength against El Hannach's movement.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Saint Etienne

  • Prolific attack, averaging 3.4 goals per game in last five
  • Perfect home record (2 wins from 2)
  • Conceded in three of last five matches
  • Potential complacency due to top position

Montpellier

  • Solid defence, with three clean sheets in last five
  • Unbeaten in last five matches
  • Lack of goals, scoring only three in last five
  • Struggle to convert draws into wins

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Saint Etienne513514

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (51%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Saint Etienne enter this Ligue 2 clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a commanding position at the top of the table. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game, while their defence has remained solid, conceding just over one per match. Montpellier, though unbeaten in their last five, have drawn three of those and have been far less potent in front of goal, scoring only three times in that span.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne's momentum is exceptional — five consecutive victories with 13 goals scored and only three conceded. Montpellier have shown resilience, keeping three clean sheets, but their inability to convert chances into wins (three draws) suggests a lack of cutting edge. The home side's 100% win rate in their last five outings dwarfs Montpellier's 50%.

Key Factors: Saint Etienne's home advantage is perfect (2 wins from 2), and their head-to-head record is overwhelmingly dominant, having won seven of the last nine meetings. Montpellier's defensive solidity could make them hard to break down, but their offensive struggles and inferior overall quality point to a home victory.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours Saint Etienne. Their superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Montpellier make them the rightful favourites. While Montpellier's defence may keep the score respectable, the home side's quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextSaint Etienne

Combo Winner : Saint Etienne and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Saint EtienneMontpellier
63%Strength36%
81%Attacking Potential19%
25%Defensive Potential75%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
89%Goals H2H11%
63%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Saint EtienneInjuries · MontpellierLive scores →

Statistical Context

Saint Etienne

WDLWW
  • WOct 10, 26H · Rodez2-0
  • DSep 19, 26A · Metz2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Dunkerque2-1
  • WAug 31, 26A · Dijon2-3
  • WAug 22, 26H · Grenoble4-0

Montpellier

WDWDW
  • WOct 9, 26H · Grenoble2-0
  • DSep 18, 26A · Reims1-1
  • WSep 11, 26H · PAU1-0
  • DAug 28, 26H · Boulogne0-0
  • WAug 21, 26A · Dunkerque0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Saint Etienne8+1319WDLWW
2Reims9+817WDDWD
3RED Star FC 938+317WWWWL
4Nancy9+316WWWLL
5Montpellier8+315WDWLD
6PAU9+214WWWLD

Head to Head

7
Saint Etienne
0
Draws
2
Montpellier
  • Feb 7, 26Saint Etienne – Montpellier1-0
  • Oct 4, 25Montpellier – Saint Etienne0-2
  • Mar 16, 25Montpellier – Saint Etienne0-2
  • Nov 23, 24Saint Etienne – Montpellier1-0
  • Jul 31, 24Montpellier – Saint Etienne1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Saint EtienneMontpellier
Played77
Goals Scored196
Goals Conceded85
Avg Scored2.70.9
Avg Conceded1.10.7
Clean Sheets24

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier — Match Analysis

Saint Etienne are clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Montpellier. The main risk is Montpellier's resolute defence, which has kept three clean sheets in their last five, potentially frustrating the home side.

Saint Etienne enter this Ligue 2 clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect five-match winning streak and a commanding position at the top of the table. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game, while their defence has remained solid, conceding just over one per match. Montpellier, though unbeaten in their last five, have drawn three of those and have been far less potent in front of goal, scoring only three times in that span.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne's momentum is exceptional — five consecutive victories with 13 goals scored and only three conceded. Montpellier have shown resilience, keeping three clean sheets, but their inability to convert chances into wins (three draws) suggests a lack of cutting edge. The home side's 100% win rate in their last five outings dwarfs Montpellier's 50%.

Key Factors: Saint Etienne's home advantage is perfect (2 wins from 2), and their head-to-head record is overwhelmingly dominant, having won seven of the last nine meetings. Montpellier's defensive solidity could make them hard to break down, but their offensive struggles and inferior overall quality point to a home victory.

Conclusion: The data strongly favours Saint Etienne. Their superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Montpellier make them the rightful favourites. While Montpellier's defence may keep the score respectable, the home side's quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Saint Etienne: 57% · Draw: 25% · Montpellier: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 59% · Under 2.5: 41% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Saint Etienne wins: 7 · Draws: 0 · Montpellier wins: 2

Form (latest first): Saint Etienne: WDLWW · Montpellier: WDWDW

  • G. Larsonneur vs M. Michel: The goalkeepers' duel could be decisive; Larsonneur's shot-stopping against Michel's command of the area may determine the outcome.
  • M. Bernauer vs M. Chambon: Bernauer's attacking runs from full-back will test Chambon's defensive discipline on Montpellier's left flank.
  • N. Kasia Nkondo vs Naoufel El Hannach: The battle between Saint Etienne's centre-back and Montpellier's forward could shape the game's flow, with Nkondo's aerial strength against El Hannach's movement.

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Ligue 2

Ligue 2

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 2France
Nantes
Oct 1712:00
Dunkerque
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
Ligue 2France
Metz
Oct 1712:00
Sochaux
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Ligue 2France
RED Star FC 93
Oct 1718:00
Saint Etienne
14.5522%
X3.4529%
22.0449%
Ligue 2France
Rodez
Oct 1918:45
Montpellier
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Ligue 2France
Clermont Foot
Oct 2318:00
Guingamp
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Ligue 2France
Nancy
Oct 2318:00
Laval
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 2France
Sochaux
Oct 2318:00
Annecy
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
PAU
Oct 2318:00
Grenoble
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
Dunkerque
Oct 2318:00
Metz
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Ligue 2France
Montpellier
Oct 2412:00
RED Star FC 93
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Ligue 2France
Dijon
Oct 2412:00
Rodez
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 2France
Saint Etienne
Oct 2418:00
Nantes
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Ligue 2France
Boulogne
Oct 2619:45
Reims
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.5618%
21.6162%
Ligue 2France
Nantes
Oct 3019:00
Clermont Foot
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Ligue 2France
Grenoble
Oct 3019:00
Dijon
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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