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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 2
  3. Nantes vs Rodez

Nantes vs Rodez

Result • Ligue 2·Nantes·Rodez

Ligue 2
Ligue 2
Aug 22, 2026
12:00
medium Confidence
Nantes

Nantes

Home
Final Score
2-5
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-5
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.75
24.75
Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire
medium Confidence
WINNER
Rodez

Rodez

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.75
24.75
Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire
Win Probabilities
51%
Nantes
27%
Draw
22%
Rodez
Home1.7051%
Draw3.7527%
Away4.7522%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Nantes are the clear favourites at home, with the market giving them a decisive edge despite their recent losses. The main risk is their poor form, which could allow Rodez to spring an upset if they fail to convert their chances.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 2 fixture between Nantes and Rodez using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Nantes a 51% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Rodez a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Goal: K. CorredorAssist: M. Cafaro
    4'
    Goal: K. CorredorNantes · Assist: M. Cafaro
  2. 7'
    Yellow Card: C. IssanchouRodez
    Yellow Card: C. Issanchou
  3. 15'
    Goal: I. BaldeRodez · Assist: R. Ponti
    Goal: I. BaldeAssist: R. Ponti
  4. Goal: K. CorredorAssist: W. Younoussa
    24'
    Goal: K. CorredorNantes · Assist: W. Younoussa
  5. Substitution: D. TabibouOut: K. Corredor
    45+3'
    Substitution: D. TabibouNantes · Out: K. Corredor
  6. 47'
    Goal: R. PontiRodez
    Goal: R. Ponti
  7. Yellow Card: M. Cafaro
    55'
    Yellow Card: M. CafaroNantes
  8. 63'
    Substitution: E. Jean-LambertRodez · Out: R. Ponti
    Substitution: E. Jean-LambertOut: R. Ponti
  9. 63'
    Substitution: O. JolyRodez · Out: D. Pavlovic
    Substitution: O. JolyOut: D. Pavlovic
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card: J. MendesRodez
    Yellow Card: J. Mendes
  11. Substitution: B. DeuffOut: I. Sissoko
    69'
    Substitution: B. DeuffNantes · Out: I. Sissoko
  12. Substitution: L. LerouxOut: J. Lepenant
    69'
    Substitution: L. LerouxNantes · Out: J. Lepenant
  13. Substitution: M. DaboOut: M. Cafaro
    69'
    Substitution: M. DaboNantes · Out: M. Cafaro
  14. 71'
    Goal: I. BaldeRodez · Assist: R. Lipinski
    Goal: I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
  15. 72'
    Goal: I. BaldeRodez · Assist: R. Lipinski
    Goal: I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
  16. 73'
    Yellow Card: I. BaldeRodez
    Yellow Card: I. Balde
  17. 74'
    Substitution: S. LuyambulaRodez · Out: C. Issanchou
    Substitution: S. LuyambulaOut: C. Issanchou
  18. 74'
    Substitution: K. NageraRodez · Out: I. Balde
    Substitution: K. NageraOut: I. Balde
  19. Yellow Card: W. Younoussa
    76'
    Yellow Card: W. YounoussaNantes
  20. 86'
    Substitution: N. NsingiRodez · Out: M. Touho
    Substitution: N. NsingiOut: M. Touho
  21. Substitution: J. KoneOut: H. Guirassy
    87'
    Substitution: J. KoneNantes · Out: H. Guirassy
  22. 90+5'
    Own goal: S. Sow (Own goal)Rodez
    Own goal: S. Sow (Own goal)
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1I. Ganago vs C. Jolibois: Ganago's movement and finishing will test Jolibois's positioning and aerial ability.
2L. Perrin vs I. Baldé: Perrin's defensive discipline will be crucial in containing Baldé's pace and direct running.
3J. Lepenant vs S. Benchamma: The midfield duel will determine control of the game, with Lepenant's passing range against Benchamma's energy.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Nantes

  • Home advantage at Stade de la Beaujoire
  • Superior league position and squad depth
  • Two-match losing streak
  • Failed to score in two of last five games

Rodez

  • Better recent form with a win in their last two
  • Solid attacking output with 1.6 goals per game
  • Lower league position and fewer points
  • Conceded 1.8 goals per game on average

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
45%
36%
Draw313634

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (36%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Nantes enter as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities giving them a decisive edge. Despite their recent struggles, the market still expects them to overcome a lower-ranked Rodez side at home.

Form Analysis: Nantes are on a two-match losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games, and have not kept a clean sheet in that period. Rodez, meanwhile, have won one and lost one of their last two, showing slightly better momentum. However, Nantes' overall squad quality and home advantage are likely to outweigh their recent dip in form.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the market's confidence in Nantes, which is reinforced by their superior league position (18th vs 7th) and home advantage. Rodez's away form is not specified, but their overall record suggests they are competitive. The absence of any major injuries for either side means both teams should be at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a home victory, but the margin is not overwhelming. Nantes' recent form is a concern, but the market's assessment and the home crowd should see them through. A narrow win for Nantes is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextRodez

Double chance : draw or Rodez

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NantesRodez
37%Strength62%
25%Attacking Potential75%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
37%Wins the Game62%
Head-to-head →Injuries · NantesInjuries · RodezLive scores →

Statistical Context

Nantes

WLWDL
  • WSep 19, 26A · Boulogne1-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Sochaux1-0
  • WSep 7, 26H · Nancy1-0
  • DAug 29, 26A · Guingamp3-3
  • LAug 14, 26A · Laval2-1

Rodez

LLLDL
  • LSep 18, 26H · Nancy3-4
  • LSep 11, 26H · Grenoble0-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Metz4-1
  • DAug 28, 26H · PAU2-2
  • LAug 14, 26A · Annecy2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Grenoble7-38DWLWL
14Rodez7-27LLLDW
15Nantes7-47WLWDL
16Clermont Foot7-26DDDDD

Season Statistics — 2026

NantesRodez
Played77
Goals Scored914
Goals Conceded1316
Avg Scored1.32.0
Avg Conceded1.92.3
Clean Sheets10

Nantes vs Rodez — Match Analysis

Nantes are the clear favourites at home, with the market giving them a decisive edge despite their recent losses. The main risk is their poor form, which could allow Rodez to spring an upset if they fail to convert their chances.

Based on the data, Nantes enter as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities giving them a decisive edge. Despite their recent struggles, the market still expects them to overcome a lower-ranked Rodez side at home.

Form Analysis: Nantes are on a two-match losing streak, having failed to score in two of their last five games, and have not kept a clean sheet in that period. Rodez, meanwhile, have won one and lost one of their last two, showing slightly better momentum. However, Nantes' overall squad quality and home advantage are likely to outweigh their recent dip in form.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the market's confidence in Nantes, which is reinforced by their superior league position (18th vs 7th) and home advantage. Rodez's away form is not specified, but their overall record suggests they are competitive. The absence of any major injuries for either side means both teams should be at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a home victory, but the margin is not overwhelming. Nantes' recent form is a concern, but the market's assessment and the home crowd should see them through. A narrow win for Nantes is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Nantes: 51% · Draw: 27% · Rodez: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 56% · Under 2.5: 44% · BTTS: 60%

Form (latest first): Nantes: WLWDL · Rodez: LLLDL

  • I. Ganago vs C. Jolibois: Ganago's movement and finishing will test Jolibois's positioning and aerial ability.
  • L. Perrin vs I. Baldé: Perrin's defensive discipline will be crucial in containing Baldé's pace and direct running.
  • J. Lepenant vs S. Benchamma: The midfield duel will determine control of the game, with Lepenant's passing range against Benchamma's energy.

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Ligue 2

Ligue 2

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 2France
Montpellier
Oct 918:00
Grenoble
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
Ligue 2France
Nancy
Oct 918:00
Guingamp
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Ligue 2France
Sochaux
Oct 918:00
Boulogne
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Ligue 2France
PAU
Oct 918:00
Laval
12.1347%
X3.3330%
24.3523%
Ligue 2France
Dunkerque
Oct 918:00
Annecy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Ligue 2France
Nantes
Oct 1012:00
Reims
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
Clermont Foot
Oct 1012:00
RED Star FC 93
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Ligue 2France
Saint Etienne
Oct 1018:00
Rodez
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
Ligue 2France
Dijon
Oct 1218:45
Metz
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
Ligue 2France
Guingamp
Oct 1618:00
PAU
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 2France
Reims
Oct 1618:00
Dijon
Early projection
11.4569%
X5.8817%
27.1414%
Ligue 2France
Grenoble
Oct 1618:00
Boulogne
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Ligue 2France
Laval
Oct 1618:00
Clermont Foot
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Ligue 2France
Annecy
Oct 1618:00
Nancy
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Ligue 2France
Nantes
Oct 1712:00
Dunkerque
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%

Betting Tips

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